2021 Fantasy Football: Week 6 Predictive Drops
Who are fantasy owners giving up on heading into Week 6? Let’s take a closer look at the data.
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Predictive analytics in a nutshell is a game-changer for fantasy players. No one else in the industry offers these types of insights. You will now be able to analyze the most important fantasy metrics of the current week BEFORE waivers are processed.
Find out the Expected Waiver Interest (EWI) of each player, as well as how much of your FAAB budget it would take to get “your guy” in the average league. You will now have unique insights into which players fantasy owners are giving up on and which players fantasy owners are fighting for in the current week.
[predict="drop-2021-6"]
Alex Collins leads the list at the time of publication. This isn’t because he has played terrible, but because Chris Carson is likely to return this coming Sunday. With Carson back, Collins has little to no value in fantasy football. If you have Collins, it’s probably safe to drop him.
Rookie running back Kenneth Gainwell is also being dropped by quite a bit of owners heading into Week 6. After producing double-digit fantasy points two weeks in a row, Gainwell struggled to get it going on Sunday. He only touched the ball three times and finished with 24 all-purpose yards. While I wouldn’t be happy with Gainwell’s performance, I still think it is too early to give up on the rookie. Gainwell had outproduced Miles Sanders in positive gamescripts, however, the game script on Sunday was poor from the very beginning. If you have space on your roster, give the rookie another chance.
[lastten="Kenneth Gainwell"]
Trey Sermon is being dropped by quite a few fantasy owners for two reasons. First, Sermon only saw one touch for seven yards in Week 5. Secondly, the Niners have a bye in Week 6. Since Sermon has been outplayed by Eli Mitchell, I understand why fantasy owners are giving up on the young rookie. He has not played well and has failed to live up to expectations. Sermon is worthy of a roster spot due to his upside when Mitchell is injured. However, outside of that, he probably doesn’t have much value anymore.
Curtis Samuel is one of the most given up on players heading into Week 6, mainly because he suffered a groin injury after seeing just one target in Week 5. Unless you are in an incredibly deep league, Samuel is safe to drop.
After producing just six fantasy points in Week 5, fantasy owners are dropping Sam Darnold. This is a big mistake. Yes, Darnold played very poorly in Week 5, however, prior to this week, he was the league leader in rushing touchdowns. Darnold has also performed very well in the passing game, with three 300-yard contests to start the season. Fantasy owners dropping Darnold need to think again. If the Darnold owner in your league gave up on him early, now is the time to swoop in and take advantage of the situation. You won’t get another opportunity to add a fringe QB1.
[projection="Sam Darnold"]
Marvin Jones caught a touchdown in back-to-back contests to start the season, but now he’s on a three-game drought. In those three games, he has 10 catches for 111 yards and 0 touchdowns. Although Jones has come back to earth, he is still worthy of a roster spot. Jones has tremendous upside with quarterback Trevor Lawrence under center. You shouldn’t be starting the wideout, but you shouldn’t be dropping him either.
Corey Davis has been up and down all season long. He’s got a two-touchdown game under his belt as well as a two reception, eight-yard contest under his belt. His performance has ranged from excellent to not very good at all. After coming up with an excellent catch in the Jets’ surprising victory over the Titans in Week 4, Davis caught just four of seven targets for 45 yards against the lowly Falcons secondary. If Davis can’t get it done against Atlanta, it’s hard to trust him against anyone else. Keep an eye on his box scores moving forward. Although I wouldn’t be quick to drop him, I wouldn’t be quick to start him either. Now is the time to leave him on your roster and evaluate his play after another couple weeks. That’s when you can make the final decision. For now, stand by.
[career="Corey Davis"]
