What To Expect In Fantasy Baseball From Pitchers On New Teams: Marcus Stroman, Tyler Glasnow, Luis Severino
Lou breaks down the fantasy baseball prospects of three big-name pitchers who have been on the move this MLB offseason.
This MLB off-season has seen a ton of player movement. There are still high-profile free agents available, and when they sign, it will change the fantasy baseball landscape, but for now, let’s take a look at some big-name pitchers who have already changed teams this offseason and how it impacts their fantasy baseball value.
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Fantasy Outlook Of Marcus Stroman On The Yankees
Stroman was born and raised in New York and grew up a Yankees fan. Signing with the Yankees is a dream come true for him. In terms of what it means for the Yankees, well, they needed a middle-of-the-rotation arm, and they got a guy in Stroman who has been fairly consistent throughout his career. The nine-year MLB veteran has a career 3.65 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, and 7.5 K/9. None of which should be considered great, but all of which can be valuable to you in fantasy baseball when you are looking for a reliable SP6 who can eat innings for you, not destroy your ratios, and rack up wins. That is what Stroman should be able to do on this new and improved Yankees team. Stroman is primarily a ground-ball pitcher, something that should serve him well in a hitter/home run-friendly Yankee Stadium. For those who may question how Stroman will handle pitching in the Big Apple, although it wasn’t with the Yankees, Stroman has pitched in New York already, with the Mets in part of 2019 and a full season in 2021. His 2021 season was one of his best, as he posted a 3.02 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP in 33 starts. Stroman has also pitched in big games in his career; playoff games with the Blue Jays and for Team USA in the World Baseball Classic. He has experience in the AL East, which is helpful as well. His fantasy baseball ADP over the past month has been in the 280 range, which you can expect to see rise up into the 230-240 range over the next few weeks now that he has signed with a big-name team in the Yankees. Taking him as your SP6 and the 100th or so overall pitcher off the board is a solid pick, just don’t jump the gun and start setting new minimum picks on him; although he’s relatively safe, there is no upside.
Fantasy Outlook Of Tyler Glasnow On The Dodgers
When healthy, Glasnow has proven to be a top-of-the-line caliber SP in both MLB and fantasy baseball. The problem with that is he is almost never healthy, and certainly not for an entire season. It might be hard to believe, but last season, at the age of 29, Glasnow set career highs in games started and innings. He made 21 starts for the Rays and threw 120 innings, helping a pitching staff that was in dire need of assistance after three of their top arms all underwent season-ending surgery. The upside that Glasnow possesses is outstanding; since joining the Rays in 2018, he posted ERAs under 2.00 twice, under 3.00 three times, and this past season was in the mid 3’s. He has a career 11.5 K/9, which is exceptional, and hasn’t posted lower than a 12.2 K/9 since 2019. The move to the Dodgers is excellent, and when Glasnow is pitching, he will provide your fantasy roster with SP1 production. If you are lucky enough to get another 120 innings out of him in 2024, then you are in good shape. If you happen to get somewhere between 50-90 innings from him, which is what he typically delivers, then you are going to be in trouble based on where you need to draft him. Since December 1st, Glasgow has had an ADP of 42, which means you are taking him in the third round of your 15-team leagues. He has a minimum pick of 26th overall and a maximum pick of 72nd overall. The minimum pick is outrageous and even the max pick makes me a little nauseous. This is a pitcher who before 2023 never threw more than 111 innings (2018) and never made more than 14 starts. As good as he can be when he is pitching, he just never pitches enough to warrant such a high draft pick. I am completely staying away from him at his current ADP and wouldn’t consider drafting him until around pick 90 overall, and at that point, he is likely going to be off the board.
Fantasy Outlook Of Luis Severino With The Mets
Sevy had a disastrous final season with the Yankees in 2023. He had a career-worst K/9, a horrible 1.64 WHIP, and an even more horrible 6.65 ERA. As bad as his 2023 season was, the Mets had no problem giving him a free-agent contract in the hopes that he could bounce back and return to form. You see, Severino has always been a very good pitcher, when healthy. When healthy is, of course, the key phrase here, considering that Sevy only threw 12 innings in 2019, didn’t pitch in 2020, and only threw six innings in 2021. He has had a bevy of injury-plagued seasons and 2023 was no different. He missed the beginning of the season, and upon his return he was dreadful in every way. Now if you want to look at some positives, Severino has put together some terrific seasons in his career, including two seasons in which he threw over 190 innings, won a combined 34 games, and had a combined ERA in the low 3.00s. In fact, even as recently as 2022, Severino was solid when he did pitch. He made 19 starts in 2022, throwing 102 innings and posting a 3.18 ERA, a 1.00 WHIP, and a solid 9.9 K/9. With a fresh start in 2024, leaving the best division and one of the worst pitchers’ parks in baseball, I have renewed optimism surrounding Sevy. Since December 1st, he has an ADP in the 340s which is the 22nd round in your 15-team leagues and of absolutely no risk to you at all. His min pick is 211 and his max pick is 364. I wouldn’t touch him at his min pick, there are just too many other pitchers in that range that come with much less risk, however at his ADP or max pick, Severino is an interesting flier who could return SP3 level production if things go your way. He can always just as easily be one of your first cuts in April if/when he hits the IL, with no real harm done at that investment cost.
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