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o41.5
-7.5
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24
16
FINALFINAL
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+6.5
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NO
o42
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Sam Darnold or Christian Watson

Who Should I Start? - Week 5 • Start New
Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold

QB • Seattle Seahawks SEA
Christian Watson

Christian Watson

WR • Green Bay Packers GB
OR
EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Darnold over Watson

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Darnold ... 1.67%

BOTH ... 46.67%

PROJECTION
FPTS: 16.9
CMP/ATT PASS YD PASS TD INT RUSH YD RUSH TD FPTS
15/23 190.05 1.84 0.88 4.59 0 16.9
No projection for today.
Coming soon.
Outlook Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold vs SF — NFC West Showdown at Lumen Field

Now fully past his early-season glute injury, Darnold commands Seattle's offense in a marquee NFC West showdown against the undefeated 49ers. With backfield injuries continuing to test Seattle's depth, the game script could force additional passing volume, putting plenty of trust in primary targets Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Cooper Kupp.

Our weekly projection lands at 16.9 fantasy points, expecting Darnold to compile approximately 190 passing yards and nearly two passing touchdowns. While currently rostered in 63% of fantasy leagues, his start rate sits at 29%, positioning him as a viable streaming candidate or QB2 whose overall ceiling is challenged by a disciplined San Francisco defense.


FantasySP AI Analysis Updated 1 hr ago
Latest News Sam Darnold
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EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Watson over Darnold

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Watson ... 48.33%

BOTH ... 46.67%

PROJECTION
FPTS: 16.14
REC REC YD REC TD FPTS
3.84 64.25 0.73 16.14
No projection for today.
Coming soon.
Outlook Christian Watson

Christian Watson vs. Bears — Prime Target in Line for Big Divisional Test

Healthy and operating as Green Bay's primary perimeter wide receiver, Christian Watson enters Week 5 already boasting four touchdowns on the year. With Jayden Reed sidelined on injured reserve, Watson remains the focal point of the Packers' aerial attack, commanding 13 targets over his past two contests.

Facing Chicago at Lambeau Field, our projections slot Watson for roughly 64 receiving yards on four receptions alongside high-leverage red-zone looks (16.1 projected fantasy points). Started in over 90% of fantasy leagues, fantasy managers should feel confident slotting him into their lineups across all formats.


FantasySP AI Analysis Updated 1 hr ago
Latest News Christian Watson
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Performance Sam Darnold
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
16859.12160
Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
54765.763110
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Christian Watson
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
34715.7180
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
1014314.3341
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up ❱ Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Sam Darnold
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 NE 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 @ARI 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 @WAS 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 LAC 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Christian Watson
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @MIN 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 @NYJ 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 ATL 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 @TB 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up ❱ Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Sam Darnold
OWN
63%
-6.49 compared to last week
START
29%
-4.55 compared to last week
OWN/START Christian Watson
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
91%
No change since last week.
Next Up ❱ Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Sam Darnold
16th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Christian Watson
8th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up ❱ Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Sam Darnold

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 16th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 26th with 41.50 total points (10.38 avg).
  • Currently 69.96 points behind the leader: Josh Allen
  • He should be doing a bit better than this. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have increased by 10.1 PPG. That is great, but how long can he perform at this level? If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 25 in pass yards with 560 (140.00 per game) and is currently ranked 27th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass tds with 6 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 15th among QB.
  • Top 20 in interceptions with 3 (0.75 per game) and is currently ranked 17th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: -345, TDs: +1, INTs: +1
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3675, PASS TDS: 25, RUSH YDS: 50, RUSH TDS: 1
Breakdown Christian Watson

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 8th among WR's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 4th with 57.00 total points (14.25 avg).
  • Currently 27.66 points behind the leader: Jaxon Smith-Njigba
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 9.6.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 15 in receptions and is currently ranked 15th among WR.
  • Top 15 in targets and is currently ranked 12th among WR.
  • Top 6 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 4th among WR.
  • Top 6 in red zone receptions and is currently ranked 4th among WR.
  • Top 10 in reception yards with 330 and 16.50 YPC and is currently ranked 9th among WR.
  • Top 3 in Rec TDs with 4 and is currently ranked 3rd among WR.
  • Rushing Stats

    Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +20, Rec Yards: +330 Rec TDs: +4,
  • The amount of touchdowns per game is ridiculous. Can he keep it up?
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 70, REC YDS: 1000, REC TDS: 10
Next Up ❱ Health Check
Injury Sam Darnold

No Injury Reported

Injury Christian Watson

No Injury Reported

Next Up ❱ Matchup Comparison
Matchups Sam Darnold

Week 5
Seattle Seahawks VS San Francisco 49ers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
16.00314.5031602.95
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 16th among DST's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 18th with 20.00 total points (5.00 avg).
  • Currently 28 points behind the leader: Vikings DST
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Decline in numbers lately by 3 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 6 in total yards against with 314.50 per game and is currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Top 10 in rush defense with 399 (99.75 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Top 10 in pass defense with 859 (214.75 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Top 4 in points against with 16.00 per game and currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Top 12 in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) and currently ranked 12th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +26.5, Turnovers: EVEN Sacks: +1, INTs: +1, TDs: EVEN, Points Allowed: -2.75,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 26, INT: 11, TDS: 3, PA/G: 23.2, YDS/G: 361.5
Matchups Christian Watson

Week 5
Green Bay Packers VS Chicago Bears

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
16.25296.50631003.95
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 12th among DST's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 8th with 30.00 total points (7.50 avg).
  • Currently 18 points behind the leader: Vikings DST
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 4 in total yards against with 296.50 per game and is currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Top 10 in turnovers with 6 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Ranked 13th in rush defense with 410 (102.50 per game).
  • Top 4 in pass defense with 776 (194.00 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Top 10 in sacks with 10 (2.50 per game) and currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Top 4 in points against with 16.25 per game and currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 23rd in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -89.5, Turnovers: -3 Sacks: +5, INTs: -4, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: -13,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 35, INT: 15, TDS: 3, PA/G: 25.9, YDS/G: 384.4
Next Up ❱ Ratings Comparison
Rating Sam Darnold
13.27
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Christian Watson
19.82
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up ❱ Career Comparison
Career Sam Darnold
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2018 NYJ 13 2865 58% 17 15 77.6 138 1 4
2019 NYJ 13 3024 62% 19 13 84.3 62 2 6
2020 NYJ 12 2208 60% 9 11 72.7 217 2 2
2021 CAR 12 2526 60% 9 13 71.9 222 5 4
2022 CAR 6 1143 59% 7 3 92.6 106 2 2
2023 SF 10 297 61% 2 1 85.1 15 1 1
2024 MIN 16 4319 66% 35 12 102.5 212 1 4
2025 SEA 16 4292 67% 27 14 100.1 94 0 6
2026 SEA 3 560 65% 6 3 101.1 11 0 0
ON PACE 14 2520 65% 27 14 101.1 50 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 15 3051 66% 22 9 99.9 113 1 4
Totals 108 22151 62% 137 86 87.4 1110 14 30
Career Christian Watson
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2022 GB 14 65 41 611 14.9 7 7 80 11.4 2
2023 GB 9 53 28 422 15.1 5 4 11 2.8 0
2024 GB 14 53 29 620 21.4 2 4 23 5.8 0
2025 GB 12 69 43 696 16.2 7 1 3 3 0
2026 GB 4 32 20 330 16.5 4 0 0 0 0
ON PACE 18 144 90 1485 16.5 18 0 0 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 12 57 33 574 17.4 4 3 12 4.1 0
Totals 55 275 163 2699 16.6 25 16 117 7.3 2
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Matchups

Week 5
ARI vs DET
ATL vs BAL
BUF @LAR
CAR vs BYE
CHI @GB
CIN @MIA
CLE @NYJ
DAL vs TB
DEN @LAC
HOU @TEN
IND @PIT
JAC vs PHI
KC vs BYE
LV @NE
MIN @NO
NYG @WAS
SEA vs SF
Matchup Time Pitchers
MIL vs SD 08:00 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
ANA @WPG 8:00 PM EST
CBJ vs PIT 7:00 PM EST
DET vs SEA 7:00 PM EST
NYR @WAS 7:00 PM EST