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Dalton Kincaid or Kyle Pitts Sr.

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid

TEBuffalo Bills BUF
Kyle Pitts Sr.

Kyle Pitts Sr.

TEAtlanta Falcons ATL
OR
πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Kincaid over Pitts Sr.

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Dalton Kincaid

Post-Surgery Recovery and Stable ADP Make Kincaid a Value Target

Dalton Kincaid is entering the season with high expectations after bypassing offseason knee surgery. He reports feeling better than ever, putting health concerns to rest. Although listed behind Dawson Knox on the depth chart, Kincaid is projected as our clear pass-catching leader at tight end in this high-powered offense.

We project Kincaid to lead the tight end room with 58 receptions for 695 yards and five touchdowns. Coming off a 2025 season where he averaged a career-high 14.6 yards per catch and scored five times, his downfield efficiency makes him a top target for Josh Allen.

Draft market trends show Kincaid's ADP has stabilized around 107 overall after brief June fluctuations. At this reasonable price, our models view Kincaid as a prime draft-day value. He possesses a highly bankable target floor in a 1.0 PPR scoring format.


Updated 10 hrs ago

Latest News Dalton Kincaid
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πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Pitts Sr. over Kincaid

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Kyle Pitts Sr.

Securely Signed but Faced with Quarterback Questions in Atlanta

After signing a historic three-year, $54 million extension, Kyle Pitts Sr. is locked in as Atlanta's premier tight end. Coming off a career-best 2025 season where he secured 90 receptions for 953 yards and five touchdowns, he is poised to remain a major focal point in the passing game alongside Drake London and Jahan Dotson.

His draft stock has seen significant volatility, briefly spiking to an ADP of 48 in early June before settling comfortably at 84. In 1.0 PPR formats, this current mid-round price tag represents a strong value opportunity. Our models project him to reach 74 receptions and 812 yards, indicating he is a safe bet to return top-tier value at a discounted cost.

Despite his talent, fantasy managers must weigh his recent comments expressing uncertainty about the Falcons' quarterback room, which features Michael Penix Jr. and Tua Tagovailoa. While the passing environment introduces some risk, his high target share and elite physical profile make him a highly desirable, locked-in starting tight end.


Updated 10 hrs ago

Latest News Kyle Pitts Sr.
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Performance Dalton Kincaid
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Kyle Pitts Sr.
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Dalton Kincaid
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @HOU πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 DET πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 LAC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 NE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
5 @LAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 @LV πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 BAL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
10 @MIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 @NYJ πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 MIA πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 KC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 @NE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 @GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 CHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 @DEN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 @MIA πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
18 NYJ πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
19 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
20 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Kyle Pitts Sr.
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @PIT πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 @GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 @NO πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 BAL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
7 CHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 SF πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 @TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
10 CIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 KC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 @MIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 DET πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 @CLE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 @WAS πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 NO πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
18 @CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Dalton Kincaid
OWN
73%
-6.57 compared to last week
START
18%
+1.22 compared to last week
OWN/START Kyle Pitts Sr.
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
80%
No change since last week.
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Dalton Kincaid
14th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Kyle Pitts Sr.
7th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Dalton Kincaid

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 14th among TE's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 13th with 110.20 total points (5.51 avg).
  • Currently 87.6 points behind the leader: Trey McBride
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.5.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 35 in receptions and is currently ranked 30th among TE.
  • Top 35 in targets and is currently ranked 33rd among TE.
  • Top 35 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 32nd among TE.
  • Top 20 in reception yards with 571 and 14.64 YPC and is currently ranked 19th among TE.
  • Top 15 in Rec TDs with 5 and is currently ranked 14th among TE.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 3 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: -3, Rec Yards: +150 Rec TDs: +5,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 58, REC YDS: 695, REC TDS: 5
Breakdown Kyle Pitts Sr.

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 7th among TE's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 5th with 125.30 total points (6.96 avg).
  • Currently 72.5 points behind the leader: Trey McBride
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 3 in receptions and is currently ranked 2nd among TE.
  • Top 3 in targets and is currently ranked 2nd among TE.
  • Top 20 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 20th among TE.
  • Top 3 in reception yards with 953 and 10.59 YPC and is currently ranked 2nd among TE.
  • Top 15 in Rec TDs with 5 and is currently ranked 13th among TE.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 18 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +90, Rec Yards: +953 Rec TDs: +5,
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 74, REC YDS: 812, REC TDS: 4
Next Up Health Check
Injury Dalton Kincaid

No Injury Reported

Injury Kyle Pitts Sr.

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Dalton Kincaid

Week 1
Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
17.32288.1634215664.48
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 2nd with 196.00 total points (10.32 avg).
  • Currently 31 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 10.3.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 6 in total yards against with 322.06 per game and is currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Top 4 in turnovers with 29 (1.71 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Top 4 in rush defense with 1736 (102.12 per game) and is currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Top 10 in pass defense with 3739 (219.94 per game) and is currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Top 8 in sacks with 47 (2.76 per game) and currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 4 in interceptions with 19 (1.12 per game) and currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Top 2 in points against with 17.35 per game and currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 8 in Total TDs with 4 (0.24 per game) and currently ranked 7th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +5.41, Turnovers: +1 Sacks: -7, INTs: -2, TDs: -2, Points Allowed: -3.73,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 46, INT: 14, TDS: 3, PA/G: 18.4, YDS/G: 294.6
Matchups Kyle Pitts Sr.

Week 1
Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.17372.0630165134.48
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 7th with 141.00 total points (7.83 avg).
  • Currently 86 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.8.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 4 in turnovers with 27 (1.59 per game) and is currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Ranked 13th in rush defense with 2021 (118.88 per game).
  • Ranked 30th in pass defense with 4676 (275.06 per game).
  • Top 6 in sacks with 48 (2.82 per game) and currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Top 10 in interceptions with 15 (0.88 per game) and currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Top 18 in points against with 22.76 per game and currently ranked 17th among DST.
  • Top 8 in Total TDs with 3 (0.18 per game) and currently ranked 8th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +66.36, Turnovers: -4 Sacks: +6, INTs: EVEN, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +2.02,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 44, INT: 13, TDS: 2, PA/G: 24.2, YDS/G: 379.3
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Dalton Kincaid
14.13
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Kyle Pitts Sr.
16.74
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Dalton Kincaid
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2023 BUF 16 91 73 673 9.2 2 0 0 0 0
2024 BUF 13 75 44 448 10.2 2 0 0 0 0
2025 BUF 12 49 39 571 14.6 5 0 0 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 15 78 57 622 11 3 0 0 0 0
Totals 48 246 179 1978 11.1 12 0 0 0 0
Career Kyle Pitts Sr.
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2025 ATL 16 123 90 953 10.6 5 0 0 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 9 62 45 477 10.6 3 0 0 0 0
Totals 18 123 90 953 10.6 5 0 0 0 0
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs STL 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs WAS 10:05 EDT EST
ATL vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST
BAL @HOU 04:10 EDT EST
BOS vs TB 04:10 EDT EST
CHC vs MIN 02:20 EDT EST
CHW @TOR 03:07 EDT EST
CIN @COL 03:10 EDT EST
CLE vs PIT 01:10 EDT EST
DET @LAA 10:07 EDT EST
KC vs SD 04:10 EDT EST
LAD @NYY 08:08 EDT EST
MIA @MIL 04:10 EDT EST
NYM @PHI 04:05 EDT EST
SEA vs SF 08:08 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled