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Zach Ertz or Dalton Kincaid

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Zach Ertz

Zach Ertz

TEn/a
Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid

TEBuffalo Bills BUF
OR
πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Ertz over Kincaid

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Zach Ertz

Veteran Tight End Eyes One Last Comeback After Injury

At nearly 36 years old, Zach Ertz is fighting to extend his impressive 13-year career after suffering an ACL injury during his 2025 campaign with Washington. Despite the setback, recent reports confirm the veteran is doing everything possible to return to the field, openly expressing interest in a reunion with the Philadelphia Eagles. Our data shows his ownership sitting at 45%, indicating that deep-league managers are still holding out hope for a late-summer signing.

While his starting roster rate is currently negligible at just 3%, Ertz proved last season that he can still be productive when healthy. In 13 games with Washington in 2025, he secured 50 receptions for 504 yards and four touchdowns, showing he can still deliver fantasy-viable stat lines in the right system.

However, fantasy managers must remain realistic about his ceiling. Without a team and coming off a major knee reconstruction at his age, he is strictly a late-round stash. If he signs with a tight-end-needy team, he could offer immediate streaming value, but he carries an incredibly low floor.


Updated 10 hrs ago

Latest News Zach Ertz
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πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Kincaid over Ertz

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Dalton Kincaid

Post-Surgery Recovery and Stable ADP Make Kincaid a Value Target

Dalton Kincaid is entering the season with high expectations after bypassing offseason knee surgery. He reports feeling better than ever, putting health concerns to rest. Although listed behind Dawson Knox on the depth chart, Kincaid is projected as our clear pass-catching leader at tight end in this high-powered offense.

We project Kincaid to lead the tight end room with 58 receptions for 695 yards and five touchdowns. Coming off a 2025 season where he averaged a career-high 14.6 yards per catch and scored five times, his downfield efficiency makes him a top target for Josh Allen.

Draft market trends show Kincaid's ADP has stabilized around 107 overall after brief June fluctuations. At this reasonable price, our models view Kincaid as a prime draft-day value. He possesses a highly bankable target floor in a 1.0 PPR scoring format.


Updated 10 hrs ago

Latest News Dalton Kincaid
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Performance Zach Ertz
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Dalton Kincaid
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Zach Ertz
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
5 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
7 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
10 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Dalton Kincaid
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @HOU πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 DET πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 LAC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 NE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
5 @LAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 @LV πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 BAL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
10 @MIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 @NYJ πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 MIA πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 KC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 @NE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 @GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 CHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 @DEN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 @MIA πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
18 NYJ πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
19 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
20 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Zach Ertz
OWN
45%
-1.51 compared to last week
START
 
3%
+0.17 compared to last week
OWN/START Dalton Kincaid
OWN
73%
-6.57 compared to last week
START
18%
+1.22 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Zach Ertz
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Dalton Kincaid
14th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Zach Ertz

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among TE's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 23rd with 76.40 total points (5.88 avg).
  • Currently 121.4 points behind the leader: Trey McBride
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.9.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 20 in receptions and is currently ranked 20th among TE.
  • Top 20 in targets and is currently ranked 19th among TE.
  • Top 35 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 27th among TE.
  • Top 25 in reception yards with 504 and 10.08 YPC and is currently ranked 22nd among TE.
  • Top 25 in Rec TDs with 4 and is currently ranked 23rd among TE.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 3 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: -11, Rec Yards: -106 Rec TDs: -2,
Breakdown Dalton Kincaid

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 14th among TE's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 13th with 110.20 total points (5.51 avg).
  • Currently 87.6 points behind the leader: Trey McBride
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.5.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 35 in receptions and is currently ranked 30th among TE.
  • Top 35 in targets and is currently ranked 33rd among TE.
  • Top 35 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 32nd among TE.
  • Top 20 in reception yards with 571 and 14.64 YPC and is currently ranked 19th among TE.
  • Top 15 in Rec TDs with 5 and is currently ranked 14th among TE.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 3 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: -3, Rec Yards: +150 Rec TDs: +5,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 58, REC YDS: 695, REC TDS: 5
Next Up Health Check
Injury Zach Ertz

No Injury Reported

Injury Dalton Kincaid

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Zach Ertz

Week 1
n/a VS n/a

TACK SOLO INT SACK DEF TD FSP
0.00
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years:
Matchups Dalton Kincaid

Week 1
Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
17.32288.1634215664.48
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 2nd with 196.00 total points (10.32 avg).
  • Currently 31 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 10.3.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 6 in total yards against with 322.06 per game and is currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Top 4 in turnovers with 29 (1.71 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Top 4 in rush defense with 1736 (102.12 per game) and is currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Top 10 in pass defense with 3739 (219.94 per game) and is currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Top 8 in sacks with 47 (2.76 per game) and currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 4 in interceptions with 19 (1.12 per game) and currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Top 2 in points against with 17.35 per game and currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 8 in Total TDs with 4 (0.24 per game) and currently ranked 7th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +5.41, Turnovers: +1 Sacks: -7, INTs: -2, TDs: -2, Points Allowed: -3.73,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 46, INT: 14, TDS: 3, PA/G: 18.4, YDS/G: 294.6
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Zach Ertz
5.72
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Dalton Kincaid
14.13
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Zach Ertz
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2013 PHI 14 56 36 469 13.0 4 0 0 0 0
2014 PHI 16 88 58 702 12.1 3 0 0 0 0
2015 PHI 15 112 75 853 11.4 2 0 0 0 0
2016 PHI 14 106 78 816 10.5 4 0 0 0 0
2017 PHI 14 110 74 824 11.1 8 0 0 0 0
2018 PHI 16 156 116 1163 10.0 8 0 0 0 0
2019 PHI 15 134 88 916 10.4 6 0 0 0 0
2020 PHI 11 72 36 335 9.3 1 0 0 0 0
2021 PHI 16 112 74 763 10.3 5 1 4 4 0
2022 ARI 10 69 47 406 8.6 4 0 0 0 0
2023 ARI 7 43 27 187 6.9 1 0 0 0 0
2024 WAS 16 91 66 654 9.9 7 0 0 0 0
2025 WAS 13 72 50 504 10.1 4 0 0 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 11 68 47 416 8.9 4 0 0 0 0
Totals 182 1246 843 8747 10.4 58 1 4 4 0
Career Dalton Kincaid
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2023 BUF 16 91 73 673 9.2 2 0 0 0 0
2024 BUF 13 75 44 448 10.2 2 0 0 0 0
2025 BUF 12 49 39 571 14.6 5 0 0 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 15 78 57 622 11 3 0 0 0 0
Totals 48 246 179 1978 11.1 12 0 0 0 0
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs STL 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs WAS 10:05 EDT EST
ATL vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST
BAL @HOU 04:10 EDT EST
BOS vs TB 04:10 EDT EST
CHC vs MIN 02:20 EDT EST
CHW @TOR 03:07 EDT EST
CIN @COL 03:10 EDT EST
CLE vs PIT 01:10 EDT EST
DET @LAA 10:07 EDT EST
KC vs SD 04:10 EDT EST
LAD @NYY 08:08 EDT EST
MIA @MIL 04:10 EDT EST
NYM @PHI 04:05 EDT EST
SEA vs SF 08:08 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled