Outlook T.J. Hockenson
Starting Tight End Poised for Bounce-Back Season in Revamped Vikings Passing Attack
T.J. Hockenson remains the starting tight end in Minnesota's offense, operating alongside dynamic playmakers like Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison. In an aerial attack now spearheaded by Kyler Murray, Hockenson is primed to reclaim his status as a consistent mid-range target earner. While his 2025 campaign saw a dip in production with 457 receiving yards, his secure starting role keeps him highly viable.
Our models project Hockenson to take a step forward with 64 receptions for 575 yards and three touchdowns this season. This expected volume of 85 targets highlights his steady reliability as a safety valve in the passing game.
In draft circles, Hockenson's ADP has remained remarkably stable around pick 158 in 1.0 PPR formats. This makes him an outstanding late-round value for managers who prefer to wait on the position, especially given our optimistic projections compared to his cheap market price.
Updated 9 hrs ago
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Outlook Dalton Kincaid
Post-Surgery Bounce-Back Sets Stage for Third-Year Breakout in Buffalo's Elite Offense
Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid opted against offseason knee surgery and reports feeling the best of his career. Despite being listed behind Dawson Knox on the depth chart, Kincaid remains a primary weapon for Josh Allen in an offense loaded with weapons like DJ Moore. Our projections anticipate a step forward from his 39-catch, 571-yard campaign last year, where he showcased his ceiling with five scores.
We project Kincaid to secure 58 receptions on 85 targets for 695 yards and five touchdowns. This steady projection places him in the low-end TE1 conversation. Buffalo's aerial attack should remain among the league's best, ensuring Kincaid gets plenty of looks over the middle of the field to sustain a reliable fantasy floor.
His current draft trends indicate a stable market, with his ADP holding steady around pick 107. After briefly spiking into the early 70s, Kincaid has settled into a late-round range that represents an absolute steal relative to our models. Buying him at this price allows fantasy managers to secure a high-upside tight end with excellent value in 1.0 PPR leagues.
Updated 9 hrs ago
