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DeVonta Smith or Baker Mayfield

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith

WRPhiladelphia Eagles PHI
Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield

QBTampa Bay Bucs TB
OR
πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Smith over Mayfield

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook DeVonta Smith

Promoted to Clear WR1 Status, Philly's Top Target is Poised for a Career-Defining Season

Following the departure of veteran star A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith enters the season as the undisputed leader of the Eagles' receiving corps. Backed by rookie Makai Lemon and speedster Hollywood Brown on the depth chart, Smith commands a massive target projection. He has historically proven his high floor, surpassing 800 receiving yards in five straight seasons, including 1,097 yards last year.

This dominant role has caused his market value to climb significantly. His ADP in PPR formats has risen from the late fourth round in May to a premium third-round pick around 38.00 in early July. Our models suggest this climbing cost remains a strong value rather than an over-hyped reach, as his volume security provides an incredibly safe foundation.

We project Smith to secure 82 receptions on 122 targets for 1,084 yards and six touchdowns, translating to a top-tier fantasy asset. With his superb route running and established chemistry with Jalen Hurts, Smith is a secure, high-ceiling starter. Fantasy managers should comfortably view him as a weekly locked-in WR2 with genuine WR1 upside.


Updated 4 hrs ago

Latest News DeVonta Smith
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πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mayfield over Smith

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Baker Mayfield

Contract Year Motivation and a Retooled Passing Game Keep Baker Mayfield Valued as a Stable QB2

Baker Mayfield enters the 2026 season highly motivated, playing out the final year of his contract after extension talks stalled. Anchoring Tampa Bay's offense, he must adjust to a retooled receiving corps. While losing Mike Evans hurts, Mayfield still has Chris Godwin Jr. alongside talented young targets Jalen McMillan and rookie Emeka Egbuka.

Fantasy managers have kept Mayfield’s ADP steady around 131. Our models view this flat market price as an excellent value for a player rostered in 86% of leagues. He serves as an ideal late-round backup with weekly streaming potential, especially in leagues utilizing PPR scoring.

Our projections slate Mayfield for 3,857 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. Having delivered 27 passing scores in 2025, his high-floor passing volume makes him a stable QB2, though team coaches have urged him to avoid unnecessary hits to stay healthy.


Updated 4 hrs ago

Latest News Baker Mayfield
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Performance DeVonta Smith
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Baker Mayfield
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches DeVonta Smith
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 WAS πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 @TEN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 @CHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 LAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
5 @JAC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
7 DAL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 @WAS πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
10 NYG πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 PIT πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 @DAL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 @ARI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 IND πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 SEA πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 HOU πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 @SF πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
18 @NYG πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
19 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Baker Mayfield
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @CIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 CLE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 MIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
5 @DAL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 PIT πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
7 @CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 ATL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
10 @CHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 @DET πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 LAC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 @BAL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 NO πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 @ATL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 LAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
18 @NO πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START DeVonta Smith
OWN
98%
No change since last week.
START
80%
+2.28 compared to last week
OWN/START Baker Mayfield
OWN
86%
+2.27 compared to last week
START
36%
+2.27 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus DeVonta Smith
14th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Baker Mayfield
20th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown DeVonta Smith

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 15th among WR's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 20th with 140.70 total points (7.41 avg).
  • Currently 168.6 points behind the leader: Puka Nacua
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.4.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 15 in receptions and is currently ranked 14th among WR.
  • Top 20 in targets and is currently ranked 16th among WR.
  • Top 15 in reception yards with 1097 and 13.22 YPC and is currently ranked 14th among WR.
  • Top 75 in Rec TDs with 4, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 53rd among WR.
  • Rushing Stats

    Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +23, Rec Yards: +334 Rec TDs: -4,
  • Known to break out for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long REC TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 82, REC YDS: 1084, REC TDS: 6
Breakdown Baker Mayfield

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 21st among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 13th with 275.46 total points (15.30 avg).
  • Currently 158.78 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 15.3.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 15 in pass yards with 3734 (207.44 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass tds with 27 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass completions with 352 (19.56 per game) and is currently ranked 7th.
  • Top 6 in interceptions with 13 (0.72 per game) and is currently ranked 6th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: -682, TDs: -12, INTs: -2
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3857, PASS TDS: 25, RUSH YDS: 312, RUSH TDS: 2
Next Up Health Check
Injury DeVonta Smith

No Injury Reported

Injury Baker Mayfield

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups DeVonta Smith

Week 1
Philadelphia Eagles VS Washington Commanders

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
26.53398.651084223.76
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 29th with 72.00 total points (4.24 avg).
  • Currently 155 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.2 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 27th in rush defense with 2406 (141.53 per game).
  • Ranked 23rd in pass defense with 4371 (257.12 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 26.53 per game and currently ranked 27th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 22nd in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +48.94, Turnovers: -7 Sacks: +3, INTs: EVEN, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +2.12,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 42, INT: 10, TDS: 4, PA/G: 28.2, YDS/G: 408
Matchups Baker Mayfield

Week 1
Tampa Bay Bucs @ Cincinnati Bengals

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.94416.2420133523.88
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 26th with 77.00 total points (4.53 avg).
  • Currently 150 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.5 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 31st in rush defense with 2607 (153.35 per game).
  • Ranked 27th in pass defense with 4469 (262.88 per game).
  • Top 12 in interceptions with 13 (0.76 per game) and currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.94 per game and currently ranked 30th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 19th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +45.36, Turnovers: -5 Sacks: +3, INTs: -4, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: +3.53,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 40, INT: 13, TDS: 3, PA/G: 30.8, YDS/G: 404.7
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating DeVonta Smith
21.40
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Baker Mayfield
17.04
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career DeVonta Smith
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2021 PHI 16 103 64 916 14.3 5 0 0 0 0
2022 PHI 16 136 95 1210 12.7 7 0 0 0 0
2023 PHI 16 112 81 1066 13.2 7 0 0 0 0
2024 PHI 13 89 68 833 12.3 8 1 1 1 0
2025 PHI 16 124 83 1097 13.2 4 0 0 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 17 118 85 1111 13 7 0 0 1 0
Totals 89 617 431 5627 13.1 33 1 1 1 0
Career Baker Mayfield
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2018 CLE 14 3725 64% 27 14 93.7 131 0 6
2019 CLE 16 3827 59% 22 21 78.8 141 3 3
2020 CLE 16 3826 63% 29 8 97.2 168 1 4
2021 CLE 14 3010 61% 17 13 83.1 134 1 3
2022 CAR 12 2163 60% 10 8 79.0 89 1 2
2023 TB 16 4044 64% 28 10 94.6 163 1 3
2024 TB 16 4500 71% 41 16 106.8 378 3 2
2025 TB 16 3734 63% 27 13 88.3 401 1 3
3-YEAR AVG 18 4383 66% 35 14 97.6 332 2 3
Totals 129 29904 63% 210 106 91.4 1670 11 27
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs MIL 09:45 EDT EST
ATH vs MIA 09:40 EDT EST
ATL vs NYM 07:15 EDT EST
BAL @CIN 07:10 EDT EST
BOS @LAA 09:38 EDT EST
CHC vs STL 04:05 EDT EST
CHW @CLE 07:10 EDT EST
COL vs SF 08:10 EDT EST
HOU vs TB 08:15 EDT EST
LAD vs SD 10:10 EDT EST
MIN @NYY 07:05 EDT EST
PIT @WAS 06:45 EDT EST
SEA vs TOR 10:10 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled