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Brandon Pfaadt or Shane Bieber

Who Should I Start? - Week 21 • Start New
Brandon Pfaadt

Brandon Pfaadt

SPArizona Diamondbacks ARI
Shane Bieber

Shane Bieber

SPToronto Blue Jays TOR
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Pfaadt over Bieber

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Brandon Pfaadt

Brandon Pfaadt rolling through recent starts as a fixture in the Diamondbacks rotation

Pfaadt has been dialed in over his recent outings, stringing together impressive performances highlighted by a 1.89 ERA and a sharp 1.08 WHIP across his last 30 days of work. He currently locks down the number four spot in the starting rotation for an Arizona squad that sits second in the NL West with a 57-52 record. The Diamondbacks are navigating several pitching injuries to rotation mates like Zac Gallen and Michael Soroka, making Pfaadt's stability all the more critical.

Looking at his broader body of work, his recent stretch outpaces his overall season numbers, where he holds a 4.42 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP across 69.2 frames. While the strikeout rate has fluctuated, his improved control and ability to pitch deep into games point toward a sustainable mid-rotation contribution rather than a temporary flash in the pan. Our models expect him to settle in nicely as he shoulders an increased workload down the stretch.

The upcoming schedule features a two-start week on the road, beginning with a matchup against the Pirates and concluding against the Guardians. He will face Cleveland pitching led by Tanner Bibee and Parker Messick, both of whom present tough ratios to crack. Even with the challenging road matchups ahead, his current momentum and locked-in role make him a strong recommendation. Start.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News Brandon Pfaadt
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Bieber over Pfaadt

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Shane Bieber

Shane Bieber looks to bounce back after a tough outing amidst Blue Jays struggles

Shane Bieber has hit a rough patch recently, allowing 7.2 innings with a 6.25 ERA and 1.39 WHIP over his last 7 days of action. The Blue Jays currently sit in fifth place in the AL East with a 50-59 record while dealing with multiple injuries across the roster, including a recent hamstring issue for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Despite these team struggles and a recent blowup start, Bieber remains the anchor of the Blue Jays rotation as their primary starter.

Looking at the underlying metrics, his recent struggles have inflated his season ERA to 6.06 across 29.7 innings, which falls short of our solid season projection of a 3.47 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. However, his strong strikeout rate of 1.35 per inning over the last week shows that his swing-and-miss stuff remains intact. Given his track record of frontline success, this recent stretch points more toward temporary volatility than a permanent regression.

The upcoming schedule offers a mixed bag as Bieber looks to find his footing, featuring a slate against Washington and St. Louis. While he has already logged an appearance early in the week against the Nationals, managers must navigate his high-volatility ratios before committing to him in deeper weekly formats. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News Shane Bieber
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Performance Brandon Pfaadt
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-000411.001
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.381-000531.232
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Shane Bieber
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
180.000-1000635.001
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
6.251-100361.392
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Brandon Pfaadt
OWN
32%
+8.54 compared to last week
START
15%
+2.33 compared to last week
OWN/START Shane Bieber
OWN
48%
-6.99 compared to last week
START
16%
-1.74 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Brandon Pfaadt
118th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Shane Bieber
105th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Brandon Pfaadt

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 118th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 79th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Zack Wheeler
  • You have to be impressed by how much better he is performing. Can he keep this up or is it a fluke?
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 53rd with 1.20
  • Top 20 in ERA and is currently ranked 17th with 2.36
  • Top 35 in wins and is currently ranked 29th with 5
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 3.5 PPG. If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -5, L: -6, WHIP: +0.015, ERA: -0.712, K's: -49, Walks: -4
Breakdown Shane Bieber

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 105th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 135th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Zack Wheeler
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 154th in WHIP with 1.72
  • Currently ranked 144th in ERA with 6.06
  • Top 50 in walks and is currently ranked 50th with 18
  • Currently ranked 114th in wins with 2
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2.3 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: +2, WHIP: +1.64, ERA: +5.79, K's: +22, Walks: +18
Next Up Health Check
Injury Brandon Pfaadt

No Injury Reported

Injury Shane Bieber

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Brandon Pfaadt
DateOpponentResult
Jul 27@PITMason MontgomeryL 3-2
Jul 28@PITGerardo CarrilloW 7-8
Jul 29@PITEduardo RodriguezW 0-3
Jul 31@CLEJonathan LoaisigaW 1-4
Aug 01@CLEGerardo CarrilloW 8-12
Aug 02@CLEGavin Williams
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-000411.001
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Shane Bieber
DateOpponentResult
Jul 27@WASMason FluhartyW 2-3
Jul 28@WASCade CavalliL 8-6
Jul 29@WASTrey YesavageW 2-5
Jul 31VS STLJeff HoffmanW 3-1
Aug 01VS STLKevin GausmanW 5-1
Aug 02VS STLMatthew Liberatore
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
180.000-1000635.001
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Brandon Pfaadt
9.44
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Shane Bieber
9.05
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Brandon Pfaadt
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2023 ARI 24 113.1 1942 120 31 0 3-10 5.48 1.4 9.5 181
2024 ARI 32 177.0 2793 185 42 0 11-10 4.83 1.27 9.4 385
2025 ARI 33 174.1 2920 147 37 0 13-9 5.27 1.34 7.6 337
2026 ARI 19 69.2 1117 49 21 0 5-1 4.39 1.33 6.3 142
ON PACE 27 101 1630 71 30 0 7-1 4.39 1.33 6.3 206
3-YEAR AVG 30 154 2552 151 37 0 9-10 5.2 1.34 8.8 301
Career 108 532.0 8772 501 131 0 0-0 5.08 1.34 8.5
Career Shane Bieber
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2018 CLE 20 110.0 1805 118 23 0 11-5 4.66 1.38 9.7 285
2019 CLE 34 212.0 3332 259 40 0 15-8 3.31 1.06 11 624
2020 CLE 13 82.0 1343 129 23 0 8-2 2.3 0.95 14.2 289
2021 CLE 16 98.1 1559 134 33 0 7-4 3.11 1.19 12.3 283
2022 CLE 32 206.0 2982 207 39 0 13-8 2.93 1.05 9 542
2023 CLE 21 125.2 1954 107 34 0 6-6 3.87 1.26 7.7 271
2024 CLE 2 12.0 166 20 1 0 2-0 0 0.92 15 55
2025 TOR 12 59.0 955 55 13 0 6-3 3.66 1.15 8.4 142
2026 TOR 7 31.1 561 22 18 0 2-2 5.74 1.63 6.3 45
ON PACE 10 46 818 32 26 0 2-2 5.74 1.63 6.3 65
3-YEAR AVG 12 65 1025 61 16 0 5-3 3.53 1.19 8.3 156
Career 157 927.0 14657 1051 224 0 0-0 3.45 1.16 10.2
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @CLE 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Gavin Williams
ATH vs DET 04:05 EDT EST Gage Jump
Keider Montero
ATL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST
Cade Cavalli
BAL vs PHI 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Wheeler
BOS @LAD 07:20 EDT EST Jake Bennett
Emmet Sheehan
CHC vs NYY 02:20 EDT EST Colin Rea
Gerrit Cole
CHW @TB 01:40 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Griffin Jax
CIN vs PIT 01:40 EDT EST Chase Burns
Mitch Keller
COL vs KC 03:10 EDT EST Kyle Freeland
Seth Lugo
HOU vs TEX 02:10 EDT EST Peter Lambert
Kumar Rocker
LAA vs MIL 03:15 EDT EST Walbert Urena
Jacob Misiorowski
MIA @NYM 01:40 EDT EST Sandy Alcantara
Robert Stock
MIN @SEA 04:10 EDT EST Taj Bradley
George Kirby
SD vs SF 04:10 EDT EST Michael King
Landen Roupp
STL @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Matthew Liberatore
Max Scherzer
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled