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TOP 9 • Q • • NBCP LIVE

Gerrit Cole or Gavin Williams

Who Should I Start? - Week 21 • Start New
Gerrit Cole

Gerrit Cole

SPNew York Yankees NYY
Gavin Williams

Gavin Williams

SPCleveland Guardians CLE
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Cole over Williams

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Gerrit Cole

Gerrit Cole continues to anchor the Yankees rotation with dominant strikeout displays

Gerrit Cole has been exceptional over the last 30 days, racking up 39 strikeouts across 30.1 innings while maintaining a 2.99 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP. The second-place Yankees hold a 61-47 record in the AL East and continue to navigate injuries to rotation pieces like Carlos Rodón. Cole slots in as a reliable starter in the rotation, shaking off early-season health hurdles to perform like a true staff ace.

His recent stretch aligns closely with our season projection of a 3.44 ERA and 200 strikeouts, proving that his post-surgery performance is fully stabilized and sustainable rather than a temporary hot streak. With a career strikeouts-per-nine rate hovering near 10.0, his elite base-runner prevention and heavy strikeout volume remain foundational for fantasy rosters.

Cole highlights the week ahead as a two-start pitcher, lining up for appearances against the Chicago White Sox and the Chicago Cubs. He already handled the White Sox efficiently earlier in the week and will draw favorable matchups against opposing staffs carrying elevated ERAs and WHIPs. Fantasy managers should lock him into all active lineups for maximum volume and ratio stabilization. Start.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News Gerrit Cole
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Williams over Cole

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Gavin Williams

Gavin Williams delivers dominant strikeout performances heading into a two-start week

Gavin Williams has been electric on the mound lately, racking up 34 strikeouts over his last 14 days and throwing an immaculate inning against the Twins. The Guardians sit in second place in the AL Central with a 56-54 record, relying heavily on Williams anchoring the middle of the rotation alongside key contributors like Tanner Bibee and Joey Cantillo. With the team navigating minor bullpen injuries to players like Shawn Armstrong, Williams' durability and missing bats remain essential.

Williams is currently pacing well ahead of our season projection of 145 strikeouts, already sitting at 168 punchouts through 131.7 innings with a strong 3.76 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. His recent surge in strikeout rate over the past month demonstrates that his elite swing-and-miss ability is sustainable rather than a temporary fluke, aligning with his high-end skill set.

Williams gets set for a busy week featuring a pair of matchups, checking the box as a two-start pitcher. He lines up to face the Arizona Diamondbacks and starting pitcher Merrill Kelly, who holds a 4.86 ERA and 1.45 WHIP, providing a favorable environment to rack up counting stats. Lock him into all fantasy lineups for this two-start turn. Start.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News Gavin Williams
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Performance Gerrit Cole
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000721.001
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.081-0001820.772
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Gavin Williams
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.570-1001210.571
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.290-1002310.432
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Gerrit Cole
OWN
98%
+2.24 compared to last week
START
75%
+28.74 compared to last week
OWN/START Gavin Williams
OWN
100%
+0.45 compared to last week
START
75%
+12.87 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Gerrit Cole
24th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Gavin Williams
22nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Gerrit Cole

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 25th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 57th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Zack Wheeler
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to him now for a discount.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 50 in WHIP and is currently ranked 50th with 1.19
  • Top 100 in ERA and is currently ranked 97th
  • Top 75 in wins and is currently ranked 67th with 3
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 4.5 PPG. If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +4, L: +5, WHIP: +1.09, ERA: +3.57, K's: +73, Walks: +14
Breakdown Gavin Williams

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 23rd among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 31st.
  • The current leader among SP's is Zack Wheeler
  • He is putting up close to the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 35 in WHIP and is currently ranked 26th with 1.07
  • Currently ranked 105th in ERA with 4.64
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 82nd with 14
  • Top 10 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 9th with 80
  • Currently ranked 151st in wins with 2
  • Top 50 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 40th with 57.0
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.2 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +4, L: +2, WHIP: -0.307, ERA: +0.325, K's: +51, Walks: -24
Next Up Health Check
Injury Gerrit Cole

No Injury Reported

Injury Gavin Williams

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Gerrit Cole
DateOpponentResult
Jul 27@CHWBrent HeadrickW 5-9
Jul 28@CHWGerrit ColeW 2-3
Jul 29@CHWJordan HicksL 6-5
Jul 30@CHWSeranthony DominguezL 2-1
Jul 31@CHCWill WarrenW 0-2
Aug 01@CHCTrent ThorntonL 5-2
Aug 02@CHCColin Rea
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.502-0001340.922
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Gavin Williams
DateOpponentResult
Jul 27@CIN
Jul 28@CINJose FrancoL 2-0
Jul 28@CINColin HoldermanW 5-6
Jul 29@CINErik SabrowskiW 1-6
Jul 31VS ARIJonathan LoaisigaL 1-4
Aug 01VS ARIGerardo CarrilloL 8-12
Aug 02VS ARIMerrill Kelly
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.771-1001910.922
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Gerrit Cole
12.14
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Gavin Williams
16.28
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Gerrit Cole
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2013 PIT 19 117.1 1727 100 28 0 10-7 3.22 1.17 7.7 324
2014 PIT 22 138.0 2197 138 40 0 11-5 3.65 1.21 9 366
2015 PIT 32 205.2 3234 202 44 0 19-8 2.67 1.11 8.8 594
2016 PIT 21 113.2 1938 98 36 0 7-10 3.88 1.47 7.8 263
2017 PIT 33 203.0 3298 196 55 0 12-12 4.26 1.25 8.7 487
2018 HOU 32 198.0 3257 276 64 0 15-5 2.91 1.05 12.6 634
2019 HOU 38 249.0 3913 373 59 0 24-6 2.39 0.89 13.5 874
2020 NYY 15 91.1 1499 124 21 0 9-3 2.86 0.95 12.2 291
2021 NYY 31 184.0 3019 246 43 0 16-9 3.33 1.08 12 540
2022 NYY 32 193.2 3160 245 49 0 14-7 3.49 1.01 11.4 554
2023 NYY 33 206.2 3286 222 48 0 15-4 2.66 0.99 9.7 614
2024 NYY 22 121.2 1986 121 39 0 9-5 3.18 1.18 9 307
2026 NYY 12 68.0 1065 73 14 0 4-5 3.57 1.09 9.7 161
ON PACE 17 100 1554 106 20 0 5-7 3.57 1.09 9.7 234
3-YEAR AVG 28 164 2636 172 44 0 12-5 2.83 1.06 9.4 460
Career 342 2078.1 33579 2414 540 0 0-0 3.19 1.1 10.5
Career Gavin Williams
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2023 CLE 16 82.0 1386 81 37 0 3-5 3.29 1.26 8.9 166
2024 CLE 17 76.0 1408 83 32 0 3-10 5.21 1.41 9.8 116
2025 CLE 32 171.1 3013 181 84 0 12-6 2.99 1.28 9.5 437
2026 CLE 22 133.1 2079 168 38 0 10-6 3.71 1.07 11.3 356
ON PACE 31 193 3007 243 54 0 14-8 3.71 1.07 11.3 514
3-YEAR AVG 22 109 1936 115 51 0 6-7 3.63 1.31 9.5 240
Career 87 460.1 7886 513 191 0 0-0 3.64 1.24 10
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @CLE 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Gavin Williams
ATH vs DET 04:05 EDT EST Gage Jump
Keider Montero
ATL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST
Cade Cavalli
BAL vs PHI 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Wheeler
BOS @LAD 07:20 EDT EST Jake Bennett
Emmet Sheehan
CHC vs NYY 02:20 EDT EST Colin Rea
Gerrit Cole
CHW @TB 01:40 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Griffin Jax
CIN vs PIT 01:40 EDT EST Chase Burns
Mitch Keller
COL vs KC 03:10 EDT EST Kyle Freeland
Seth Lugo
HOU vs TEX 02:10 EDT EST Peter Lambert
Kumar Rocker
LAA vs MIL 03:15 EDT EST Walbert Urena
Jacob Misiorowski
MIA @NYM 01:40 EDT EST Sandy Alcantara
Robert Stock
MIN @SEA 04:10 EDT EST Taj Bradley
George Kirby
SD vs SF 04:10 EDT EST Michael King
Landen Roupp
STL @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Matthew Liberatore
Max Scherzer
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled