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Clay Holmes or Brandon Woodruff

Who Should I Start? - Week 19 • Start New
Clay Holmes

Clay Holmes

SPNew York Mets NYM
Brandon Woodruff

Brandon Woodruff

SPMilwaukee Brewers MIL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Holmes over Woodruff

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Clay Holmes

Clay Holmes progressing through rehab assignments with late July return in sight

Holmes remains sidelined on the injured list as he continues recovering from a fractured tibia suffered back in mid-May, keeping him out of action for the Mets. The Mets currently sit in fifth place in the NL East with a 43-60 record, and getting their reliable starter back will provide a much-needed boost to the rotation. Recent updates indicate he is embarking on rehab activities this weekend with a potential major league activation anticipated before the end of July.

Before his unfortunate injury cut his season short, our models showed Holmes performing brilliantly with a 2.48 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP across nine starts. While our season projection anticipates some regression to a 3.66 ERA and 1.30 WHIP over 155 innings as he ramps back up, his proven ability to generate ground balls suggests his stellar early form was largely legit rather than a fluke.

The Mets face a challenging week ahead starting with a road series against the Milwaukee Brewers before returning home to host the Los Angeles Dodgers. Given that Holmes is still recovering and working his way back from the injured list, he will not take the mound for any games this week. Verdict: Hold.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Clay Holmes
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Woodruff over Holmes

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Brandon Woodruff

Brandon Woodruff sidelined for the season following shoulder capsule surgery

Brandon Woodruff's season has officially come to an end as he undergoes a second major shoulder capsule surgery. The veteran right-hander was placed on the 60-day injured list due to right shoulder inflammation following early exits and recurring dead arm symptoms. The first-place Brewers, currently leading the NL Central with a 64-38 record, will have to navigate the rest of the year without him as the rotation deals with several other injuries to arms like Kyle Harrison and Quinn Priester.

Woodruff posted a sparkling 2.68 ERA and a 0.85 WHIP across 43.7 innings in his nine starts this year before the injury struck, flashing the elite ratios our models have come to expect. However, our season projection of 146 innings and 130 strikeouts is completely wiped out by the extensive recovery timeline ahead. Fantasy managers must move on and drop the right-hander as he eyes a lengthy rehab process looking toward future seasons.

The Brewers face a light schedule ahead, but Woodruff will contribute zero games or stats to your weekly matchups moving forward. With a weekly projection of zeros across the board and an indefinite recovery timetable following his capsule surgery, he holds no value for the remainder of the season. Drop.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Brandon Woodruff
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Performance Clay Holmes
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Brandon Woodruff
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Clay Holmes
OWN
34%
+3.63 compared to last week
START
 
3%
-0.04 compared to last week
OWN/START Brandon Woodruff
OWN
39%
-23.89 compared to last week
START
12%
-1.92 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Clay Holmes
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Brandon Woodruff
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Clay Holmes

    Overview

  • I couldn't find any stats of this player even playing a game in the past 60 days. This is most likely due to an injury or time in the minors.
Breakdown Brandon Woodruff

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 245th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • In the past two weeks he has had an awful lot of time off and he's listed on the injury report. He may have some nagging injuries with his Shoulder (Since Jul 4, 2026). Stay clear of him if its going to stick around, otherwise now is the time to get a guy at a bargain price since he is hurt. Check out his player news.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • WHIP is among the best in the league currently ranked 1st with 0.49
  • ERA is among the best in the league currently ranked 7th with 1.88
  • His average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.7.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: EVEN, L: +2, WHIP: +0.261, ERA: +0.913, K's: +24, Walks: +10
Next Up Health Check
Injury Clay Holmes

LEG - Since May 15, 2026

Holmes is dealing with a fractured tibia and has been placed on the 60-day injured list. He is expected to return in late July for the Mets.
Injury Brandon Woodruff

SHOULDER - Since Jul 4, 2026

Woodruff is dealing with right shoulder inflammation and has been placed on the 60-day injured list.
Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Clay Holmes
DateOpponentResult
Jul 20@MILCraig YohoL 8-3
Jul 21@MILZac ThorntonW 0-4
Jul 22@MILLogan HendersonL 4-3
Jul 24VS LADRoki SasakiL 2-4
Jul 25VS LADYoshinobu Yamamoto
Jul 26VS LADEmmet Sheehan
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.600-100411.001
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Brandon Woodruff
DateOpponentResult
Jul 20VS NYMCraig YohoW 8-3
Jul 21VS NYMZac ThorntonL 0-4
Jul 22VS NYMLogan HendersonW 4-3
Jul 24VS COLTomoyuki SuganoL 2-5
Jul 25VS COLRyan Feltner
Jul 26VS COLKyle Freeland
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Clay Holmes
7.03
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Brandon Woodruff
0.00
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Clay Holmes
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2018 PIT 11 26.1 499 21 23 0 1-3 6.84 2.01 7.2 34
2019 PIT 35 47.2 915 56 36 0 1-2 5.85 1.7 10.6 82
2020 PIT 1 1.1 22 1 0 0 0-0 0 1.5 6.8 3
2021 PIT 70 72.0 1140 79 29 0 8-4 3.75 1.15 9.9 172
2022 NYY 64 66.2 1017 69 22 20 7-4 2.43 1.01 9.3 264
2023 NYY 66 60.2 1024 71 23 24 4-4 2.67 1.2 10.5 262
2024 NYY 80 63.1 1258 80 27 30 6-6 3.55 1.48 11.4 308
2025 NYM 33 161.0 2764 129 66 0 12-8 3.63 1.34 7.2 331
2026 NYM 9 52.2 828 45 18 0 4-4 2.39 1.1 7.7 119
ON PACE 14 82 1289 70 28 0 6-6 2.39 1.1 7.7 185
3-YEAR AVG 60 94 1682 93 39 18 7-6 3.41 1.35 8.8 301
Career 369 544.2 9467 551 244 0 0-0 3.65 1.33 9.1
Career Brandon Woodruff
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2017 MIL 8 43.0 716 32 14 0 2-3 4.81 1.33 6.7 83
2018 MIL 19 42.1 750 47 14 1 3-0 3.61 1.18 10 109
2019 MIL 23 125.2 2031 146 30 0 11-3 3.58 1.12 10.5 345
2020 MIL 14 78.1 1297 100 18 0 3-6 3.22 1 11.5 202
2021 MIL 30 175.1 2712 205 43 0 8-10 2.62 0.95 10.5 468
2022 MIL 26 146.1 2437 180 41 0 12-4 3.14 1.07 11.1 423
2023 MIL 11 67.0 1041 74 15 0 5-1 2.28 0.82 9.9 210
2025 MIL 12 64.2 964 83 14 0 7-2 3.2 0.91 11.6 203
2026 MIL 9 45.1 639 47 10 0 2-2 2.58 0.82 9.3 115
ON PACE 14 71 1005 73 15 0 3-3 2.58 0.82 9.3 181
3-YEAR AVG 8 43 668 52 10 0 4-1 2.66 0.86 10.6 137
Career 152 776.1 12587 914 199 0 0-0 3.16 1.03 10.6
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @WAS 04:05 EDT EST Mitch Bratt
Foster Griffin
ATH @MIN 07:10 EDT EST Mason Barnett
ATL @BAL 07:05 EDT EST Bryce Elder
Brandon Young
BOS vs TOR 04:10 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Dylan Cease
CHC @PIT 06:40 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Paul Skenes
CHW vs HOU 07:10 EDT EST Sean Burke
Hunter Brown
CIN @STL 07:15 EDT EST Hunter Greene
Andre Pallante
CLE @TB 06:10 EDT EST Tanner Bibee
Nick Martinez
COL @MIL 07:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Robert Gasser
DET vs KC 01:10 EDT EST Casey Mize
Michael Wacha
LAA @SF 04:05 EDT EST Ryan Johnson
Robbie Ray
LAD @NYM 07:15 EDT EST Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Nolan McLean
MIA vs SD 04:10 EDT EST Eury Perez
JP Sears
NYY @PHI 06:05 EDT EST Ryan Weathers
SEA @TEX 07:15 EDT EST Bryan Woo
Nathan Eovaldi
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled