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Tyler Phillips or Kodai Senga

Who Should I Start? - Week 14 • Start New
Tyler Phillips

Tyler Phillips

SPMiami Marlins MIA
Kodai Senga

Kodai Senga

SPNew York Mets NYM
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Phillips over Senga

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Tyler Phillips

Sizzling surface ratios mask underlying regression risks for Marlins righty

Tyler Phillips has carved out a vital role for himself in Miami, currently slotting in as a key mid-rotation starter for a Marlins squad managing a wave of pitching injuries. At 28 years old, the right-hander has capitalized on vacancies in the rotation created by long-term injuries to key starters like Eury Perez. While he has bounced between starting and relief roles in the past, the current landscape ensures he has plenty of runway to pile up starts in the immediate future.

From a category perspective, Phillips is a difficult player to parse for fantasy managers. On one hand, our models project him to throw around 70.0 innings with 65 strikeouts, a decent strikeout rate for a back-end fantasy asset. On the other hand, our data expects a notable regression to a 4.37 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. His high-wire act of pitching with heavy traffic on the bases is highly likely to catches up to him, making him a major risk to bloat your team ratios if his luck turns.

Ultimately, Phillips represents a high-risk, low-reward option in most standard mixed leagues. While his current surface-level numbers might tempt needy managers, his lack of high-end strikeout dominance and elevated walk rate cap his upside. He is best utilized as a deep-league streaming option or bench depth rather than an everyday starter you can rely on weekly.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Tyler Phillips
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Senga over Phillips

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Kodai Senga

Kodai Senga's return delayed by nerve irritation, set to resume rehab assignment

Kodai Senga has been sidelined since late April with lumbar spine inflammation and was recently slowed by right arm ulnar nerve irritation during his recovery. He remains out of action for the fifth-place Mets, who currently sit at the bottom of the NL East division. However, our data indicates a positive step forward as he is scheduled to resume his minor-league rehab assignment this Thursday with Double-A Binghamton.

Prior to landing on the injured list, Senga struggled to a 9.68 ERA over five tough starts, but his track record suggests that rough stretch was a fluke. Our season projections remain bullish on his talent, forecasting a solid 3.76 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and 105 strikeouts over 115 innings once he is fully healthy. Given his historic strikeout upside, Senga remains an elite stash candidate who should not be dropped.

Senga will not throw any major league frames this week as the Mets travel to face the Reds and Phillies. Since he is still in the middle of his minor-league buildup, he cannot be activated in any fantasy lineups yet. Keep him safely parked in an injured list slot until he is fully cleared to rejoin the big-league rotation. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Kodai Senga
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Performance Tyler Phillips
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000520.801
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.931-000851.522
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Kodai Senga
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Tyler Phillips
OWN
 
9%
+5.87 compared to last week
START
 
9%
+5.52 compared to last week
OWN/START Kodai Senga
OWN
21%
+6.7 compared to last week
START
 
9%
+6.87 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Tyler Phillips
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Kodai Senga
122nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Tyler Phillips

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 110th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Not too impressive in saves and is currently ranked 121st with 1
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2.5 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: EVEN, L: +1, WHIP: -0.025, ERA: -2.58, K's: +21, Walks: +14
Breakdown Kodai Senga

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 122nd among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 258th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -7, L: +1, WHIP: +0.794, ERA: +7.37, K's: -47, Walks: -18
Next Up Health Check
Injury Tyler Phillips

No Injury Reported

Injury Kodai Senga

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Tyler Phillips
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15@PHIZack WheelerL 7-0
Jun 16@PHIJesus Luzardo
Jun 17@PHIAndrew Painter
Jun 19VS SFTrevor McDonald
Jun 20VS SFLogan Webb
Jun 21VS SFAdrian Houser
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.600-000331.802
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Kodai Senga
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15@CINChase BurnsL 12-0
Jun 16@CINBrady Singer
Jun 17@CINNick Lodolo
Jun 18@PHIAaron Nola
Jun 20@PHICristopher Sanchez
Jun 21@PHIZack Wheeler
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Tyler Phillips
5.59
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Kodai Senga
6.20
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Tyler Phillips
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 PHI 8 36.2 578 28 7 0 4-1 6.87 1.42 6.9 73
2025 MIA 54 73.0 1114 52 24 4 2-1 2.96 1.21 6.4 164
2026 MIA 19 46.0 780 41 24 2 1-1 1.96 1.37 8 106
ON PACE 42 103 1730 90 53 4 2-2 1.96 1.37 8 235
3-YEAR AVG 31 54 846 40 16 2 3-1 4.25 1.29 6.6 119
Career 81 155.2 2472 121 55 0 0-0 3.58 1.3 7
Career Kodai Senga
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2023 NYM 29 164.0 2797 202 77 0 12-7 3.07 1.24 11.1 450
2024 NYM 4 10.1 168 13 8 0 1-1 7.84 1.55 11.3 17
2025 NYM 22 111.0 1902 109 55 0 7-6 3.16 1.35 8.8 245
2026 NYM 5 20.0 367 23 13 0 0-4 9 1.95 10.4 7
ON PACE 11 45 825 51 29 0 0-9 9 1.95 10.4 14
3-YEAR AVG 18 94 1622 108 47 0 7-5 3.32 1.29 10.2 237
Career 60 303.0 5234 347 153 0 0-0 3.68 1.35 10.3
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs LAA 09:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Reid Detmers
ATH vs PIT 09:40 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Mitch Keller
ATL vs SF 07:15 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Adrian Houser
BAL @SEA 09:40 EDT EST Brandon Young
Logan Gilbert
BOS vs TOR 06:45 EDT EST Payton Tolle
Dylan Cease
CHC vs COL 08:05 EDT EST Edward Cabrera
Ryan Feltner
CHW @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Davis Martin
Gerrit Cole
CIN vs NYM 07:10 EDT EST Brady Singer
Kodai Senga
CLE @MIL 07:40 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Robert Gasser
DET @HOU 08:10 EDT EST Framber Valdez
Hunter Brown
KC @WAS 06:45 EDT EST Michael Wacha
Foster Griffin
LAD vs TB 10:10 EDT EST Justin Wrobleski
Drew Rasmussen
MIA @PHI 06:40 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Jesus Luzardo
MIN @TEX 08:05 EDT EST Zebby Matthews
Kumar Rocker
SD @STL 07:45 EDT EST Michael King
Andre Pallante
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled