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Matt Chapman or Curtis Mead

Who Should I Start? - Week 13 • Start New
Matt Chapman

Matt Chapman

3BSan Francisco Giants SF
Curtis Mead

Curtis Mead

1BWashington Nationals WAS
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Chapman over Mead

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Matt Chapman

Matt Chapman is on an absolute tear, making him a must-start option for the remainder of the week despite some tough upcoming matchups.

Matt Chapman has been scorching hot over the last seven days, posting an elite .609 batting average with four home runs and 16 RBIs. This surge is a welcome sight for the fourth-place Giants (28-41), who are currently dealing with a questionable injury status for shortstop Willy Adames. Chapman remains locked in as San Francisco's everyday starter at third base and is the focal point of the offense.

While his recent 14-day stretch (.404 BA, five homers) is clearly an unsustainable hot streak compared to his career baseline, Chapman's underlying power is very real. Our models project him to finish the season with around 15 home runs and 54 RBIs. Expect some regression toward his projected .238 average, but his elite hard-hit metrics and secure role make him a highly valuable asset.

Looking at the remaining schedule, the Giants have three home games left this week against the Cubs. Chapman will face a stiff challenge on Friday against Ben Brown, who carries a stingy 1.74 ERA and 0.88 WHIP, but has a much friendlier matchup on Sunday against Colin Rea and his elevated 5.37 ERA. Given his historic run of form, lock him in. Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Matt Chapman
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mead over Chapman

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Curtis Mead

Mead's Surging Power Outburst Secures Everyday Role in Washington

Curtis Mead is carving out a secure, everyday role in Washington's lineup, primarily serving as the starting third baseman while providing valuable defensive flexibility at first and second. At just 25 years old and entering his fourth big-league season, the young infielder has historically struggled with a low launch angle, but recent mechanical adjustments have unlocked a significant power surge. His development and solid defense have solidified his spot in the heart of the Nationals' batting order.

Our models project Mead for 10 home runs, 42 RBIs, and a .238/.307/.362 slash line over his remaining 80 projected at-bats. While his career average sits closer to .240, his improved plate discipline (highlighted by a projected .307 OBP) and neutral batting average profile make him a stabilizing presence rather than a risk. If he maintains his strong metrics against right-handed pitching, his run and RBI counting stats will continue to climb in a surprisingly productive Washington offense.

For fantasy managers, Mead represents an intriguing post-hype sleeper who has finally secured the volume required to be relevant in mixed leagues. He won't provide much in the speed category, but his potential to chip in double-digit home runs with dual-position eligibility makes him an excellent corner-infield target. He offers a very safe playing-time floor with room for significant ceiling if his newfound fly-ball revolution fully takes root.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Curtis Mead
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Performance Matt Chapman
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.529263.6670.94106
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.4095208.5090.841013
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Curtis Mead
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.182233.2500.50006
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.220276.2890.415012
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Matt Chapman
OWN
79%
+21.15 compared to last week
START
70%
+24.42 compared to last week
OWN/START Curtis Mead
OWN
39%
+1.68 compared to last week
START
29%
+1.5 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Matt Chapman
18th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Curtis Mead
24th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Matt Chapman

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 19th among 3B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 9th.
  • The current leader among 3B's is Miguel Vargas
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 187th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.298
  • Ranked 209th in batting average with 0.245
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 134th with 0.344
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 202nd with 0.396
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 176th with 0.740
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 92nd with 25
  • Top 100 in RBI and is currently ranked 94th with 30
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 167th in runs scored with 25
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2.9 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.013, OBP: -0.016, HRs: -6, RBI: +7, Runs: -2, Wlks: -10, Stls: -7,
Breakdown Curtis Mead

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: 1B 3B . However, he plays 1B most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 25th among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 25th.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • Wow, would you look at that. The experts got it right on the money.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 391st in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.231
  • Ranked 269th in batting average with 0.231
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 160th with 0.337
  • Top 100 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 90th with 0.476
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 102nd with 0.813
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 374th with 1
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 189th in RBI with 24
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 170th in runs scored with 27
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.021, OBP: +0.06, HRs: +7, RBI: +22, Runs: +24, Wlks: +18, Stls: EVEN,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Matt Chapman

No Injury Reported

Injury Curtis Mead

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Matt Chapman
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08VS WASClayton BeeterL 3-4
Jun 09VS WASBrad LordL 3-6
Jun 10VS WASReiver SanmartinW 11-10
Jun 12VS CHCJavier AssadL 1-5
Jun 13VS CHCBen Brown
Jun 14VS CHCColin Rea
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.4864187.5710.857010
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Curtis Mead
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08@SFClayton BeeterW 3-4
Jun 09@SFBrad LordW 3-6
Jun 10@SFReiver SanmartinL 11-10
Jun 12VS SEABryce MillerL 2-10
Jun 13VS SEALuis Castillo
Jun 14VS SEAEmerson Hancock
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.136233.1740.40907
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Matt Chapman
10.51
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Curtis Mead
9.02
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Matt Chapman
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2017 OAK 82 68 14 39 40 0 31 .234 .311 .472 201
2018 OAK 145 152 24 100 69 1 58 .278 .356 .508 434
2019 OAK 152 143 36 99 91 1 72 .245 .338 .503 484
2020 OAK 36 33 10 22 25 0 8 .232 .276 .535 104
2021 OAK 148 108 27 74 72 3 78 .208 .312 .405 391
2022 TOR 145 118 26 77 72 2 61 .230 .320 .435 420
2023 TOR 142 123 17 66 54 4 63 .238 .329 .421 382
2024 SF 154 142 27 98 78 15 64 .247 .328 .463 532
2025 SF 127 105 21 76 61 9 71 .231 .343 .430 422
2026 SF 69 65 6 33 37 0 30 .256 .344 .402 212
ON PACE 159 150 13 76 85 0 69 .256 .344 .402 490
3-YEAR AVG 141 123 22 80 64 9 66 .239 .333 .439 445
Career 1200 1057 208 684 599 35 536 .241 .330 .455
Career Curtis Mead
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2023 TB 26 23 1 12 6 0 7 .258 .327 .348 59
2024 TB 38 29 1 10 7 2 6 .238 .282 .287 70
2025 TB 86 56 3 25 18 5 15 .233 .298 .321 168
2026 WAS 55 40 10 31 29 3 24 .238 .344 .476 191
ON PACE 127 92 23 71 67 6 55 .238 .344 .476 442
3-YEAR AVG 50 36 2 16 10 2 9 .239 .299 .317 99
Career 205 148 15 78 60 10 52 .239 .312 .360
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @CIN 04:10 EDT EST Michael Soroka
Rhett Lowder
ATH vs COL 10:05 EDT EST Joey Estes
Kyle Freeland
ATL @NYM 04:10 EDT EST Martin Perez
Sean Manaea
BAL vs SD 04:05 EDT EST Trey Gibson
Randy Vasquez
BOS vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST Ranger Suarez
Jacob deGrom
CHC @SF 10:05 EDT EST Ben Brown
Trevor McDonald
CHW vs LAD 04:10 EDT EST Sean Burke
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
CLE vs DET 04:10 EDT EST Joey Cantillo
Tarik Skubal
HOU @KC 07:10 EDT EST Mike Burrows
Noah Cameron
LAA vs TB 10:07 EDT EST Jose Soriano
Griffin Jax
MIA @PIT 04:05 EDT EST Lake Bachar
Bubba Chandler
MIL vs PHI 07:10 EDT EST Shane Drohan
Aaron Nola
MIN vs STL 02:10 EDT EST Connor Prielipp
Matthew Liberatore
NYY @TOR 03:07 EDT EST Cam Schlittler
Kevin Gausman
SEA @WAS 04:05 EDT EST Luis Castillo
Cade Cavalli
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled