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Matthew Liberatore or Trevor McDonald

Who Should I Start? - Week 12 • Start New
Matthew Liberatore

Matthew Liberatore

SPSt. Louis Cardinals STL
Trevor McDonald

Trevor McDonald

SPSan Francisco Giants SF
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Liberatore over McDonald

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Matthew Liberatore

Matthew Liberatore shines in recent starts, offering streaming appeal against the Reds

Liberatore is locked in as the staff anchor for the third-place Cardinals (32-28). He has been in excellent form lately, registering a 2.67 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP with 14 strikeouts over his last 10.1 innings. Despite some team injury issues in the lineup, his role at the front of the rotation remains completely secure.

Our models project a 4.44 ERA and 1.32 WHIP for the rest of the season, which is closer to his career baselines than his recent hot streak. However, his 12.48 K/9 over the last 14 days suggests his new cut-ride fastball and improved curveball are yielding legitimate swing-and-miss growth that could help him beat those projections.

Liberatore is lined up for a single start on June 6th at home against the Reds. He will match up against Nick Lodolo, who enters with a mediocre 5.20 ERA and 1.37 WHIP, making this a highly favorable spot to deploy the Cardinals left-hander. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Matthew Liberatore
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting McDonald over Liberatore

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Trevor McDonald

Trevor McDonald's rookie magic fades amid recent ratio struggles, making him a risky option despite a two-start week.

McDonald has hit a rough patch, posting a 7.55 ERA and 1.40 WHIP over his last 14 days for the fourth-place Giants (24-38). Despite his struggles, he remains locked in as the number four starter in the rotation with teammate Tyler Mahle sidelined on the injured list. His latest outing on June 2 against Milwaukee resulted in a loss, yielding a 5.40 ERA over five innings.

While his recent 5.63 ERA over the last 30 days is concerning, McDonald's overall 4.69 ERA and 1.20 WHIP over 32.6 innings align closely with our season projection of a 4.43 ERA. His strikeout ability remains intact, but his walk rate has crept up recently, suggesting his current slump is a normal rookie adjustment period rather than a permanent regression.

As a two-start pitcher this week, McDonald has one remaining matchup on June 7 against the Cubs and Jameson Taillon, who enters with a vulnerable 5.13 ERA. Although the matchup is favorable on paper, McDonald's recent command issues and high ratio risk make him difficult to trust. Our verdict is to Sit him in standard formats until he stabilizes.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Trevor McDonald
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Performance Matthew Liberatore
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000410.781
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.671-1001431.292
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Trevor McDonald
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.400-100431.601
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.050-2001051.442
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Matthew Liberatore
OWN
19%
+4.11 compared to last week
START
 
5%
-0.65 compared to last week
OWN/START Trevor McDonald
OWN
20%
+2.03 compared to last week
START
13%
+2.71 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Matthew Liberatore
113th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Trevor McDonald
122nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Matthew Liberatore

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 113th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 93rd.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is doing much better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 153rd in WHIP with 1.61
  • Currently ranked 125th in ERA with 5.08
  • Top 50 in walks and is currently ranked 48th with 20
  • Top 75 in wins and is currently ranked 70th with 3
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: EVEN, L: -2, WHIP: +0.358, ERA: +0.478, K's: -1, Walks: +13
Breakdown Trevor McDonald

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 122nd among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 126th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 59th with 1.20
  • Currently ranked 110th in ERA with 4.69
  • Decline in numbers lately by 3.5 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: +3, WHIP: +1.15, ERA: +4.5, K's: +31, Walks: +9
Next Up Health Check
Injury Matthew Liberatore

No Injury Reported

Injury Trevor McDonald

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Matthew Liberatore
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01VS TEXJacob deGromL 1-2
Jun 02VS TEXCal QuantrillL 4-7
Jun 03VS TEXAndre PallanteW 5-3
Jun 05VS CINBrady Singer
Jun 06VS CINNick Lodolo
Jun 07VS CINRhett Lowder
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Trevor McDonald
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01@MILChad PatrickL 16-2
Jun 02@MILKyle HarrisonL 8-3
Jun 03@MILLogan WebbW 0-1
Jun 04@MILSam HentgesW 9-12
Jun 05@CHCEdward Cabrera
Jun 06@CHCBen Brown
Jun 07@CHCJameson Taillon
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.400-100431.601
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Matthew Liberatore
7.82
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Trevor McDonald
7.89
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Matthew Liberatore
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2022 STL 8 31.1 555 25 14 0 2-1 5.17 1.6 7.2 46
2023 STL 22 59.1 1059 46 25 0 3-6 5.46 1.53 7 79
2024 STL 60 76.2 1358 76 28 0 3-4 4.93 1.42 8.9 149
2025 STL 29 151.2 2388 122 40 0 8-12 4.09 1.29 7.2 271
2026 STL 12 62.0 1026 57 23 0 3-3 4.35 1.5 8.3 114
ON PACE 32 168 2770 153 62 0 8-8 4.35 1.5 8.3 306
3-YEAR AVG 37 94 1602 81 31 0 5-7 4.67 1.4 7.7 167
Career 131 374.0 6386 326 130 0 0-0 4.69 1.44 7.8
Career Trevor McDonald
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 SF 1 3.0 39 1 1 0 0-0 0 0.33 3 7
2025 SF 3 15.0 212 14 2 0 1-0 3.6 1.07 8.4 41
2026 SF 6 34.0 511 31 9 0 2-3 4.5 1.15 8.2 67
ON PACE 15 88 1314 79 23 0 5-7 4.5 1.15 8.2 171
3-YEAR AVG 2 9 126 8 2 0 1-0 3 1 8 24
Career 10 52.0 762 46 12 0 0-0 3.98 1.08 8
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RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs WAS 04:10 EDT EST Eduardo Rodriguez
Zack Littell
ATH @HOU 04:10 EDT EST Kade Morris
Tatsuya Imai
ATL vs PIT 04:10 EDT EST Spencer Strider
Braxton Ashcraft
BAL @TOR 03:07 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
BOS @NYY 07:35 EDT EST Ranger Suarez
Will Warren
CHC vs SF 02:20 EDT EST Ben Brown
Landen Roupp
CHW @PHI 04:05 EDT EST Sean Burke
Andrew Painter
CIN @STL 02:15 EDT EST Nick Lodolo
Matthew Liberatore
CLE @TEX 07:35 EDT EST Tanner Bibee
Jack Leiter
COL vs MIL 09:10 EDT EST Tanner Gordon
Jacob Misiorowski
DET vs SEA 01:10 EDT EST Keider Montero
Bryce Miller
KC @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Luinder Avila
Joe Ryan
LAA @LAD 10:10 EDT EST Jack Kochanowicz
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
MIA vs TB 04:10 EDT EST
Shane McClanahan
NYM @SD 10:10 EDT EST Nolan McLean
Griffin Canning
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
CAR @VGK 8:00 PM EST