NFL
CIN
ATL
34
17
FINALFINAL
JAX
BAL
33
10
FINALFINAL
DET
MIA
6
3
CLE
NO
3
3
HOU
LAC
o40.5
+5.5
4:05PM • PREVIEW CBS/P
LV
SF
o52
-9.5
4:25PM • PREVIEW FOX
GB
NE
o44.5
-3
4:25PM • PREVIEW FOX
ARI
SEA
o39.5
-8.5
4:25PM • PREVIEW FOX
TB
CHI
o47.5
-6
8:20PM • PREVIEW NBC/P
BUF
MIN
o44
+3
8:15PM • PREVIEW ABC/E

Dalton Kincaid or Kaelon Black

Who Should I Start? - Week 9 • Start New
Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid

TE • Buffalo Bills BUF
Kaelon Black

Kaelon Black

RB • San Francisco 49ers SF
OR
EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Kincaid over Black

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Kincaid ... 36.11%

BOTH ... 8.33%

PROJECTION
FPTS: 8.27
REC REC YD REC TD FPTS
2.67 33.65 0.21 8.27
No projection for today.
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Outlook Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid @ MIN — Primed for TE1 Upside in Minnesota

Kincaid enters Week 9 completely healthy after overcoming a chest issue to post four catches for 86 yards and a touchdown against Baltimore in his last outing. Anchoring Buffalo's tight end corps, his route participation remains secure, and his target potential gets an extra boost with receiver Joshua Palmer ruled out.

Our models project Kincaid for nearly 34 receiving yards on roughly four targets (8.3 fantasy points), yet his role inside Buffalo's potent offense creates a significantly higher ceiling. With his start rate rebounding back to 38% across leagues, he shapes up as a solid TE1 start in what should be a competitive matchup.


FantasySP AI Analysis Updated 3 hrs ago
Latest News Dalton Kincaid
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EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Black over Kincaid

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Black ... 2.78%

BOTH ... 8.33%

PROJECTION
FPTS: 6.63
RUSH ATT RUSH YD RUSH TD REC REC YD REC TD FPTS
10.45 43.18 0.26 0.63 0.2 0 6.63
No projection for today.
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Outlook Kaelon Black

Kaelon Black vs. Raiders — Standout Backup in Line for Positive Game Script

Operating as the primary backup to Christian McCaffrey, Black has carved out a steady rotational role and drawn praise for efficiently executing San Francisco's gap scheme. With receivers Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel Sr. sidelined, the first-place 49ers enter as heavy home favorites and could lean heavily on the ground game.

We project Black for approximately 10 carries and 43 rushing yards against Las Vegas. While started in just 11% of leagues, his roster rate has surged to 62%, positioning him as an appealing deep-league flex option who could see extended second-half touches if San Francisco controls the pace.


FantasySP AI Analysis Updated 3 hrs ago
Latest News Kaelon Black
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Performance Dalton Kincaid
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
48621.5401
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
48621.5401
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Kaelon Black
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
12635.311-40
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up ❱ Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Dalton Kincaid
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @HOU 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 DET 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 LAC 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 NE 🔓 🔓 🔓
5 @LAR 🔓 🔓 🔓
6 @LV 🔓 🔓 🔓
8 BYE 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Kaelon Black
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @LAR 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 MIA 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 ARI 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 DEN 🔓 🔓 🔓
5 @SEA 🔓 🔓 🔓
6 WAS 🔓 🔓 🔓
7 @ATL 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up ❱ Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Dalton Kincaid
OWN
94%
+2.18 compared to last week
START
38%
-1.63 compared to last week
OWN/START Kaelon Black
OWN
62%
+17.98 compared to last week
START
10%
+9.9 compared to last week
Next Up ❱ Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Dalton Kincaid
15th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Kaelon Black
38th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up ❱ Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Dalton Kincaid

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 15th among TE's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 11th with 52.10 total points (7.44 avg).
  • Currently 32.3 points behind the leader: Trey McBride
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have increased by 7.2 PPG. That is great, but how long can he perform at this level? If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 20 in receptions and is currently ranked 18th among TE.
  • Top 20 in targets and is currently ranked 19th among TE.
  • Top 15 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 14th among TE.
  • Top 15 in red zone receptions and is currently ranked 13th among TE.
  • Top 6 in reception yards with 401 and 14.85 YPC and is currently ranked 6th among TE.
  • Top 35 in Rec TDs with 2 and is currently ranked 29th among TE.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +6, Rec Yards: +91 Rec TDs: -1,
  • Known to break out for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long REC TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 60, REC YDS: 650, REC TDS: 6
Breakdown Kaelon Black

    Overview

  • Just about every team utilizies the dreaded 'running backs by comittee' policy. Two solid #1 starters are hard to find.
  • Experts rank this player at 38th among RB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 52nd with 27.70 total points (3.96 avg).
  • Currently 134.1 points behind the leader: Jahmyr Gibbs
  • He has been under achieving. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have increased by 5.9 PPG. If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 100 in receptions, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 78th among RB.
  • Top 75 in targets, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 70th among RB.
  • Top 75 in Rec TDs with 0, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 56th among RB.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 50 in rush yards with 233 (33.29 per game) and is currently ranked 36th among RB.
  • Top 50 in rush tds with 1 (0.14 per game) and is currently ranked 49th among RB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 7 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Rush Yards: +233, Rush AVG: +4.1 Rush TDs: +1, Receptions: +3, Rec Yards: +4 Rec TDs: EVEN,
  • He is not getting enough touches to make a significant impact on the ground
  • Season Outlook

  • RUSH ATT: 135, RUSH YDS: 550, RUSH TDS: 8, REC: 20, REC YDS: 125, REC TDS: 1
Next Up ❱ Health Check
Injury Dalton Kincaid

No Injury Reported

Injury Kaelon Black

No Injury Reported

Next Up ❱ Matchup Comparison
Matchups Dalton Kincaid

Week 9
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
13.29296.861282516.66
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 6th among DST's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 2nd with 76.00 total points (10.86 avg).
  • Currently 2 points behind the leader: Buccaneers DST
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 2.4 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 2 in total yards against with 296.86 per game and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 8 in turnovers with 12 (1.71 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Ranked 14th in rush defense with 817 (116.71 per game).
  • Top 2 in pass defense with 1261 (180.14 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among DST.
  • Top 2 in sacks with 25 (3.57 per game) and currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 6 in interceptions with 8 (1.14 per game) and currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Top 2 in points against with 13.29 per game and currently ranked 1st among DST.
  • Top 10 in Total TDs with 1 (0.14 per game) and currently ranked 9th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +36.75, Turnovers: +4 Sacks: +3, INTs: +5, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: -10.71,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 49, INT: 13, TDS: 3, PA/G: 20.8, YDS/G: 300.3
Matchups Kaelon Black

Week 9
San Francisco 49ers VS Las Vegas Raiders

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.75397.131361812.48
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 13th with 44.00 total points (5.50 avg).
  • Currently 34 points behind the leader: Buccaneers DST

Defensive Stats

  • Top 4 in turnovers with 13 (1.63 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Ranked 31st in rush defense with 1171 (146.38 per game).
  • Ranked 30th in pass defense with 2006 (250.75 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.75 per game and currently ranked 31st among DST.
  • Top 12 in Total TDs with 1 (0.13 per game) and currently ranked 12th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +54.13, Turnovers: +6 Sacks: +3, INTs: +3, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +3.04,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 39, INT: 11, TDS: 2, PA/G: 27, YDS/G: 337.7
Next Up ❱ Ratings Comparison
Rating Dalton Kincaid
15.47
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Kaelon Black
9.52
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up ❱ Career Comparison
Career Dalton Kincaid
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2023 BUF 16 91 73 673 9.2 2 0 0 0 0
2024 BUF 13 75 44 448 10.2 2 0 0 0 0
2025 BUF 12 49 39 571 14.6 5 0 0 0 0
2026 BUF 7 35 27 401 14.9 2 0 0 0 0
ON PACE 17 85 66 974 14.9 5 0 0 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 15 78 57 622 11 3 0 0 0 0
Totals 55 281 206 2379 11.5 14 0 0 0 0
Career Kaelon Black
RUSH RECEIVING
YEAR TEAM GP ATT YD AVG TD TGTS REC YD AVG TD
2026 SF 7 57 233 4.1 1 6 3 4 1.3 0
ON PACE 17 138 566 4.1 2 15 7 10 1.3 0
3-YEAR AVG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Totals 7 57 233 4.1 1 6 3 4 1.3 0
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 9
ARI @SEA
ATL vs CIN
BAL vs JAC
BUF @MIN
CAR vs DEN
CHI vs TB
CLE @NO
DAL @IND
DET @MIA
GB @NE
HOU @LAC
KC vs NYJ
LAR @WAS
LV @SF
NYG @PHI
PIT vs BYE
TEN vs BYE
Matchup Time Pitchers
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
BKN @DAL 7:30 PM EST
BOS @MIL 8:00 PM EST
CHI vs PHI 3:30 PM EST
DET vs LAL 6:00 PM EST
LAC vs NO 9:00 PM EST
MIA @SAC 9:00 PM EST
MIN vs UTA 7:00 PM EST
Matchup Time
ANA vs PIT 8:00 PM EST
BOS vs FLA 1:00 PM EST
BUF vs VGK 3:30 PM EST
CGY vs PHI 7:00 PM EST
NJ @TOR 7:00 PM EST
TB @WPG 6:00 PM EST