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Jaylin Noel or Jake Ferguson

Who Should I Start? - Week 7 • Start New
Jaylin Noel

Jaylin Noel

WR • Houston Texans HOU
Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson

TE • Dallas Cowboys DAL
OR
EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Noel over Ferguson

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Noel ... 0%

BOTH ... 66.67%

PROJECTION
FPTS: 4.9
REC REC YD REC TD FPTS
1.7 22.9 0.1 4.9
No projection for today.
Coming soon.
Outlook Jaylin Noel

Jaylin Noel vs. Giants — Big-Play Spark Faces Crowded Target Tree

Noel has flashed electric efficiency over his last two games, hauling in nine catches for 148 yards and two touchdowns while posting an impressive 4.86 yards per route run in Week 6. However, Houston's receiver room is crowded with Nico Collins, Tank Dell, and newly acquired Marvin Harrison Jr. commanding primary looks, leaving Noel in situational and rotational slot packages.

Our projections anticipate modest volume this week, forecasting around two receptions for 24 yards. With Houston favored by 10 points at home, game script may lean away from heavy aerial volume. While fantasy managers have taken note of his splash plays—boosting his roster rate to 22%—Noel is best viewed as a high-upside stash rather than a weekly starter.


FantasySP AI Analysis Updated 12 hrs ago
Latest News Jaylin Noel
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EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Ferguson over Noel

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Ferguson ... 0%

BOTH ... 66.67%

PROJECTION
FPTS: 7.78
REC REC YD REC TD FPTS
3.18 22.06 0.39 7.78
No projection for today.
Coming soon.
Outlook Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson Seeks Target Rebound in Divisional Clash at Philadelphia

Ferguson remains the clear starting tight end on the Cowboys' depth chart ahead of Brevyn Spann-Ford, but his recent involvement has cooled off. Over his past two outings, he has hauled in just five passes for 32 total yards on nine targets, causing fantasy managers to hesitate as his start rate has dropped to 21%.

Traveling to face the rival Eagles, our projections anticipate a modest stat line of roughly 3.2 receptions for 22 yards and 7.8 fantasy points. While his three receiving scores on the season demonstrate reliable red-zone utility, his low per-catch average and declining volume relegate him to a touchdown-dependent streaming option.


FantasySP AI Analysis Updated 12 hrs ago
Latest News Jake Ferguson
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Performance Jaylin Noel
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
410726.8501
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
914816.4502
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Jake Ferguson
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
2136.570
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
5326.4110
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up ❱ Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Jaylin Noel
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 BUF 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 CIN 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 @IND 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 DAL 🔓 🔓 🔓
5 @TEN 🔓 🔓 🔓
6 @JAC 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Jake Ferguson
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @NYG 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 WAS 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 BAL 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 @HOU 🔓 🔓 🔓
5 TB 🔓 🔓 🔓
6 @GB 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up ❱ Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Jaylin Noel
OWN
22%
+13.86 compared to last week
START
 
4%
+2.32 compared to last week
OWN/START Jake Ferguson
OWN
56%
-15.16 compared to last week
START
20%
-9.7 compared to last week
Next Up ❱ Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Jaylin Noel
40th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Jake Ferguson
19th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up ❱ Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Jaylin Noel

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 40th among WR's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 22nd with 48.00 total points (8.00 avg).
  • Currently 67.86 points behind the leader: Jaxon Smith-Njigba
  • He is doing much better than most people thought he would.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have increased by 5.5 PPG. If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 75 in receptions, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 53rd among WR.
  • Top 75 in targets, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 68th among WR.
  • Top 25 in reception yards with 334 and 19.65 YPC and is currently ranked 22nd among WR.
  • Top 50 in Rec TDs with 2 and is currently ranked 39th among WR.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 6 in rush attempts with 4 (0.67 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among WR.
  • Top 6 in rush yards with 26 (4.33 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among WR.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +12, Rec Yards: +312 Rec TDs: +1,
  • Big play ability! If your league has bonus points for long REC TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 45, REC YDS: 500, REC TDS: 6
Breakdown Jake Ferguson

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 19th among TE's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 21st with 27.50 total points (4.58 avg).
  • Currently 42.8 points behind the leader: Isaiah Likely
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Decline in numbers lately by 3 PPG.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 25 in receptions and is currently ranked 23rd among TE.
  • Top 25 in targets and is currently ranked 21st among TE.
  • Top 25 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 24th among TE.
  • Top 10 in red zone receptions and is currently ranked 10th among TE.
  • Top 35 in reception yards with 115 and 6.76 YPC and is currently ranked 34th among TE.
  • Top 10 in Rec TDs with 3 and is currently ranked 9th among TE.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: -27, Rec Yards: -190 Rec TDs: -1,
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 50, REC YDS: 600, REC TDS: 6
Next Up ❱ Health Check
Injury Jaylin Noel

No Injury Reported

Injury Jake Ferguson

No Injury Reported

Next Up ❱ Matchup Comparison
Matchups Jaylin Noel

Week 7
Houston Texans VS New York Giants

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.33334.1796813.25
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 22nd among DST's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 15th with 35.00 total points (5.83 avg).
  • Currently 24 points behind the leader: Vikings DST
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 2.8 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 8 in turnovers with 9 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Ranked 29th in rush defense with 813 (135.50 per game).
  • Top 8 in pass defense with 1192 (198.67 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 6 in interceptions with 6 (1.00 per game) and currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Top 22 in points against with 23.33 per game and currently ranked 21st among DST.
  • Top 10 in Total TDs with 1 (0.17 per game) and currently ranked 10th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -52.66, Turnovers: +4 Sacks: -5, INTs: +2, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: -0.67,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 33, INT: 11, TDS: 4, PA/G: 27.4, YDS/G: 382
Matchups Jake Ferguson

Week 7
Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
22.83373.1733803.02
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 14th among DST's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 29th with 16.00 total points (2.67 avg).
  • Currently 43 points behind the leader: Vikings DST
  • He has been under achieving. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.8 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 21st in rush defense with 716 (119.33 per game).
  • Ranked 25th in pass defense with 1523 (253.83 per game).
  • Top 18 in points against with 22.83 per game and currently ranked 18th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 25th in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +181.99, Turnovers: -19 Sacks: -19, INTs: -9, TDs: -3, Points Allowed: +1.92,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 37, INT: 15, TDS: 5, PA/G: 20.3, YDS/G: 333.8
Next Up ❱ Ratings Comparison
Rating Jaylin Noel
11.75
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Jake Ferguson
12.88
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up ❱ Career Comparison
Career Jaylin Noel
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2025 HOU 15 37 27 296 11.0 2 7 17 2.4 0
2026 HOU 6 21 17 334 19.6 2 4 26 6.5 0
ON PACE 18 63 51 1002 19.6 6 12 78 6.5 0
3-YEAR AVG 8 19 14 148 11 1 4 9 2.4 0
Totals 22 59 44 630 14.3 4 11 43 3.9 0
Career Jake Ferguson
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2022 DAL 11 22 19 174 9.2 2 0 0 0 0
2023 DAL 16 102 71 761 10.7 5 0 0 0 0
2024 DAL 14 86 59 494 8.4 0 0 0 0 0
2025 DAL 16 108 87 660 7.6 8 2 2 1 0
2026 DAL 6 24 17 115 6.8 3 0 0 0 0
ON PACE 18 72 51 345 6.8 9 0 0 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 17 103 76 669 8.8 5 1 1 1 0
Totals 68 355 264 2331 8.8 21 2 2 1 0
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Matchups

Week 7
ARI vs DEN
ATL vs SF
BAL vs CIN
BUF vs BYE
CAR vs TB
CHI vs NE
CLE @TEN
DAL @PHI
DET vs GB
HOU vs NYG
IND @MIN
JAC vs BYE
KC @SEA
LAC vs BYE
LAR @LV
MIA @NYJ
NO vs PIT
WAS vs BYE
Matchup Time Pitchers
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
ATL @ORL 7:00 PM EST
BKN vs CHA 7:30 PM EST
CHI @TOR 7:30 PM EST
DAL @HOU 8:30 PM EST
GS @LAL 10:00 PM EST
IND @NO 8:00 PM EST
LAC vs SAC 10:30 PM EST
MEM vs UTA 8:00 PM EST
MIA vs MIN 7:30 PM EST
MIL @WAS 7:00 PM EST
PHO @POR 10:00 PM EST
Matchup Time
BUF vs PHI 7:30 PM EST
FLA @OTT 7:30 PM EST