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KC Concepcion or Aaron Jones Sr.

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
KC Concepcion

KC Concepcion

WRCleveland Browns CLE
Aaron Jones Sr.

Aaron Jones Sr.

RBMinnesota Vikings MIN
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Concepcion over Jones Sr.

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook KC Concepcion

Dynamic Rookie Slot Receiver Offers High-Upside Value at Depressed Draft Cost

Rookie first-round pick KC Concepcion enters his debut campaign slated as the starting slot receiver in Cleveland's revamped offense. He generated major buzz throughout training camp, showcasing sharp route running and earning praise from coordinator Todd Monken as a potential focal point alongside Jerry Jeudy and Denzel Boston.

Our models project Concepcion for a productive initial campaign, forecasting 65 receptions on 90 targets for 730 yards and three touchdowns (145.0 fantasy points). His ability to separate quickly underneath gives him an immediate path to consistent volume in PPR formats, regardless of who takes snaps under center.

Draft market momentum has seen Concepcion slide from an early-August ADP near 120 down to the 164 range, even as fantasy ownership jumped to 79%. This recent dip presents a prime value opportunity to draft an explosive starting rookie at a discounted late-round price.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News KC Concepcion
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Jones Sr. over Concepcion

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Aaron Jones Sr.

Veteran Lead Role Offers Late-Round Value Amid Falling Draft Cost

Entering his 10th NFL campaign, Aaron Jones Sr. continues to lead Minnesota's backfield rotation alongside Jordan Mason. While his workload scaled back to 141 carries across 13 games last season, his reliable pass protection and versatile receiving chops keep him firmly in line for high-value touches.

Fantasy drafters have grown increasingly wary of his age-31 campaign, triggering a sharp ADP slide from around pick 112 down toward 160 over the final month of drafts. That steep late-summer discount transforms him from a questionable investment into an appealing value in 1.0 PPR formats.

Our projections expect Jones to compile 700 rushing yards and eight total touchdowns on 160 carries, adding 28 receptions for 174.0 fantasy points. If he maintains the primary role on early downs and in passing situations, he profiles as a dependable flex option outperforming his market price.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Aaron Jones Sr.
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Performance KC Concepcion
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Aaron Jones Sr.
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches KC Concepcion
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Aaron Jones Sr.
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 GB 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 @CHI 🔓 🔓 🔓
8 @TB 🔓 🔓 🔓
9 MIA 🔓 🔓 🔓
10 @NO 🔓 🔓 🔓
11 BYE 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 IND 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 @DET 🔓 🔓 🔓
13 BUF 🔓 🔓 🔓
14 @GB 🔓 🔓 🔓
15 @SF 🔓 🔓 🔓
16 ATL 🔓 🔓 🔓
17 CAR 🔓 🔓 🔓
18 @NE 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START KC Concepcion
OWN
78%
+3.95 compared to last week
START
 
2%
+0.49 compared to last week
OWN/START Aaron Jones Sr.
OWN
88%
+1.79 compared to last week
START
15%
-4 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus KC Concepcion
44th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Aaron Jones Sr.
42nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown KC Concepcion

    Overview

  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years:
  • Season Outlook

Breakdown Aaron Jones Sr.

    Overview

  • Just about every team utilizies the dreaded 'running backs by comittee' policy. Two solid #1 starters are hard to find.
  • Experts rank this player at 42nd among RB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 44th with 96.40 total points (6.89 avg).
  • Currently 269.2 points behind the leader: Christian McCaffrey
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 6.9.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 35 in receptions and is currently ranked 32nd among RB.
  • Top 25 in targets and is currently ranked 23rd among RB.
  • Top 50 in Rec TDs with 1 and is currently ranked 37th among RB.
  • Top 35 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 29th among RB.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 50 in rush yards with 589 (42.07 per game) and is currently ranked 38th among RB.
  • He is top 75 in rush tds with 2 (0.14 per game), though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 55th among RB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 3 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Rush Yards: -615, Rush AVG: -0.3 Rush TDs: -3, Receptions: -20, Rec Yards: -193 Rec TDs: -1,
  • Season Outlook

  • RUSH ATT: 160, RUSH YDS: 700, RUSH TDS: 6, REC: 27, REC YDS: 200, REC TDS: 2
Next Up Health Check
Injury KC Concepcion

No Injury Reported

Injury Aaron Jones Sr.

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups KC Concepcion

Week 1
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
20.17319.8932223343.03
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 5th with 147.00 total points (8.17 avg).
  • Currently 80 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 8.2.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in total yards against with 338.71 per game and is currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Top 2 in turnovers with 31 (1.82 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 2 in rush defense with 1510 (88.82 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among DST.
  • Ranked 21st in pass defense with 4248 (249.88 per game).
  • Top 2 in interceptions with 22 (1.29 per game) and currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 8 in points against with 19.76 per game and currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 8 in Total TDs with 4 (0.24 per game) and currently ranked 7th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -60.29, Turnovers: +22 Sacks: -3, INTs: +14, TDs: +3, Points Allowed: -3.89,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 27, INT: 13, TDS: 5, PA/G: 21, YDS/G: 322.6
Matchups Aaron Jones Sr.

Week 1
Minnesota Vikings VS Green Bay Packers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
21.72316.831693703.21
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 24th with 83.00 total points (4.61 avg).
  • Currently 144 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.6 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in total yards against with 335.47 per game and is currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Ranked 18th in rush defense with 2094 (123.18 per game).
  • Top 8 in pass defense with 3609 (212.29 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 12 in points against with 21.18 per game and currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 29th in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +35.93, Turnovers: -19 Sacks: -24, INTs: -12, TDs: -3, Points Allowed: +1.87,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 32, INT: 13, TDS: 3, PA/G: 22.5, YDS/G: 331.3
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating KC Concepcion
15.12
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Aaron Jones Sr.
16.77
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career KC Concepcion
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
ON PACE NAN NAN NAN NAN NAN NAN NAN 0 NAN
3-YEAR AVG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0
Career Aaron Jones Sr.
RUSH RECEIVING
YEAR TEAM GP ATT YD AVG TD TGTS REC YD AVG TD
2017 GB 10 81 448 5.5 4 18 9 22 2.4 0
2018 GB 12 133 729 5.5 8 35 26 206 7.9 1
2019 GB 16 236 1084 4.6 16 69 49 474 9.7 3
2020 GB 14 201 1104 5.5 9 63 47 355 7.6 2
2021 GB 15 171 799 4.7 4 65 52 391 7.5 6
2022 GB 16 213 1121 5.3 2 72 59 395 6.7 5
2023 GB 11 142 656 4.6 2 43 30 233 7.8 1
2024 MIN 16 255 1138 4.5 5 62 51 408 8.0 2
2025 MIN 13 141 589 4.2 2 45 31 215 6.9 1
ON PACE 59 635 2651 4.2 9 203 140 968 6.9 5
3-YEAR AVG 15 197 886 4.5 4 54 40 296 7.5 1
Totals 130 1645 8068 4.9 56 493 366 2753 7.5 21
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs PHI 03:40 EDT EST
ATH @TEX 02:35 EDT EST
ATL @WAS 01:05 EDT EST
BAL @COL 03:10 EDT EST
BOS vs SEA 04:10 EDT EST
CHC vs MIL 07:40 EDT EST
CHW @HOU 08:10 EDT EST
CIN vs SD 12:40 EDT EST
CLE vs TOR 06:40 EDT EST
DET @MIN 07:40 EDT EST
KC vs MIA 07:40 EDT EST
LAA vs NYY 09:38 EDT EST
LAD vs STL 10:10 EDT EST
NYM @TB 06:40 EDT EST
PIT vs SF 06:40 EDT EST
Matchup Time
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