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SF
LAR
o48.5
-3.5
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DAL
NYG
o48.5
+3
8:20PM • PREVIEW NBC/P
DEN
KC
o43
-2.5
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NE
SEA
o44.5
-3.5
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CAR
o47.5
+3
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CIN
o50.5
-3.5
1:00PM • PREVIEW FOX
NO
DET
o50.5
-7
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BUF
HOU
o44.5
+1
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BAL
IND
o48
+3.5
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CLE
JAX
o40.5
-8
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PIT
o42
-3
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TEN
o39
-2
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LAC
o47.5
-10
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LV
o40.5
-3.5
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MIN
o45.5
-1.5
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PHI
o45.5
-5.5
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Brian Thomas or Kenny Gainwell

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Brian Thomas

Brian Thomas

WRJacksonville Jaguars JAC
Kenny Gainwell

Kenny Gainwell

RBTampa Bay Bucs TB
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Thomas over Gainwell

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Brian Thomas

Late-Summer Draft Discount Creates Major Value Opportunity

Entering his third NFL season, Brian Thomas Jr. is positioned as Jacksonville's primary perimeter receiver following a down 2025 campaign where he posted 707 yards. After showcasing elite ceiling with a 1,282-yard rookie year, offseason reports highlighted improved route nuances and renewed chemistry with Trevor Lawrence.

Our projections anticipate a solid bounce-back season, earmarking Thomas for 70 receptions, 920 yards, and five touchdowns on 99 targets. While a recent minor shoulder knock limited him in late August, coaching updates indicated it was purely precautionary ahead of the regular season opener.

Market sentiment has overreacted to that brief injury scare. After holding steady around pick 67 throughout the summer, his draft cost dropped into the 110–119 range. In full PPR formats, this sudden ADP plunge transforms Jacksonville's top outside target from an ordinary mid-round pick into an immense value steal.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Brian Thomas
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Gainwell over Thomas

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Kenny Gainwell

Pass-Catching Role Offers Standalone PPR Value at a Discount

Gainwell enters the season operating as the primary pass-catching and change-of-pace back behind starter Bucky Irving in Tampa Bay. While he is not in line for early-down dominance, his reliable receiving ability keeps him firmly involved in Baker Mayfield's passing attack on obvious passing downs.

Our projections forecast a productive complementary campaign with 40 receptions on 68 targets for 325 yards and two scores, alongside 135 carries for 475 yards and four touchdowns (171.0 PPR points). His target share should maintain a usable weekly floor in full PPR formats despite limited red-zone carries.

Market sentiment has steadily declined, with his ADP dropping from pick 96 in July to around 144 entering September. As fantasy manager enthusiasm has cooled, this sliding draft cost makes Gainwell an intriguing late-round value steal who can deliver steady flex utility if the backfield split holds.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Kenny Gainwell
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Performance Brian Thomas
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Kenny Gainwell
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Brian Thomas
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 CLE 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 @DEN 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 NE 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 @CIN 🔓 🔓 🔓
5 PHI 🔓 🔓 🔓
6 HOU 🔓 🔓 🔓
7 BYE 🔓 🔓 🔓
9 IND 🔓 🔓 🔓
10 @BAL 🔓 🔓 🔓
11 @TEN 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 @NYG 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 TEN 🔓 🔓 🔓
13 @CHI 🔓 🔓 🔓
14 PIT 🔓 🔓 🔓
15 @HOU 🔓 🔓 🔓
16 @DAL 🔓 🔓 🔓
17 WAS 🔓 🔓 🔓
18 @IND 🔓 🔓 🔓
19 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Kenny Gainwell
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Brian Thomas
OWN
96%
-0.51 compared to last week
START
18%
-2.87 compared to last week
OWN/START Kenny Gainwell
OWN
94%
+0.54 compared to last week
START
18%
-0.32 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Brian Thomas
32nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Kenny Gainwell
36th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Brian Thomas

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among WR's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 43rd with 98.90 total points (5.21 avg).
  • Currently 210.4 points behind the leader: Puka Nacua
  • He is listed on the injury report about his Shoulder (Since Aug 31, 2026). Check out his player news for a closer look.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.2.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 50 in receptions and is currently ranked 44th among WR.
  • Top 50 in targets and is currently ranked 40th among WR.
  • Top 50 in reception yards with 707 and 14.73 YPC and is currently ranked 39th among WR.
  • Top 100 in Rec TDs with 2, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 88th among WR.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 35 in rush yards with 21 (1.17 per game) and is currently ranked 32nd among WR.
  • Top 15 in rush tds with 1 (0.06 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among WR.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 3 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: -30, Rec Yards: -451 Rec TDs: -7,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 70, REC YDS: 910, REC TDS: 5
Breakdown Kenny Gainwell

    Overview

  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years:
  • Season Outlook

Next Up Health Check
Injury Brian Thomas

SHOULDER - Since Aug 31, 2026

Week 1
Injury Kenny Gainwell

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Brian Thomas

Week 1
Jacksonville Jaguars VS Cleveland Browns

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
22.29326.1218115344.24
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 10th with 129.00 total points (7.59 avg).
  • Currently 98 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.6.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 8 in total yards against with 326.12 per game and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Ranked 14th in rush defense with 2039 (119.94 per game).
  • Top 4 in pass defense with 3505 (206.18 per game) and is currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Top 4 in sacks with 53 (3.12 per game) and currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Top 14 in points against with 22.29 per game and currently ranked 14th among DST.
  • Top 6 in Total TDs with 4 (0.24 per game) and currently ranked 5th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +10.59, Turnovers: +3 Sacks: +13, INTs: +5, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: -4.76,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 43, INT: 13, TDS: 3, PA/G: 23.7, YDS/G: 301.4
Matchups Kenny Gainwell

Week 1
Tampa Bay Bucs @ Cincinnati Bengals

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.94416.2420133523.76
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 26th with 77.00 total points (4.53 avg).
  • Currently 150 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.5 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 31st in rush defense with 2607 (153.35 per game).
  • Ranked 27th in pass defense with 4469 (262.88 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.94 per game and currently ranked 30th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 23rd in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +45.36, Turnovers: -5 Sacks: +3, INTs: -4, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: +3.53,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 38, INT: 13, TDS: 4, PA/G: 30.8, YDS/G: 404.7
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Brian Thomas
18.19
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Kenny Gainwell
15.57
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Brian Thomas
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2024 JAC 16 133 87 1282 14.7 10 6 48 8 0
2025 JAC 14 91 48 707 14.7 2 3 21 7 1
ON PACE 63 410 216 3182 14.7 9 14 95 7 5
3-YEAR AVG 10 75 45 663 14.7 4 3 23 7.7 0
Totals 32 226 137 2010 14.7 13 9 69 7.7 1
Career Kenny Gainwell
RUSH RECEIVING
YEAR TEAM GP ATT YD AVG TD TGTS REC YD AVG TD
ON PACE NAN NAN NAN NAN NAN NAN NAN NAN
3-YEAR AVG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0
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RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs PHI 03:40 EDT EST
ATH @TEX 02:35 EDT EST
ATL @WAS 01:05 EDT EST
BAL @COL 03:10 EDT EST
BOS vs SEA 04:10 EDT EST
CHC vs MIL 07:40 EDT EST
CHW @HOU 08:10 EDT EST
CIN vs SD 12:40 EDT EST
CLE vs TOR 06:40 EDT EST
DET @MIN 07:40 EDT EST
KC vs MIA 07:40 EDT EST
LAA vs NYY 09:38 EDT EST
LAD vs STL 10:10 EDT EST
NYM @TB 06:40 EDT EST
PIT vs SF 06:40 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled