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27
28
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BAL
o34
-3
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CLE
13
37
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CAR
o35.5
+1
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Luther Burden or J.K. Dobbins

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Luther Burden

Luther Burden

WRChicago Bears CHI
J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins

RBDenver Broncos DEN
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Burden over Dobbins

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Luther Burden

Primed for a Year 2 Breakthrough in Chicago's High-Powered Offense

Luther Burden enters his sophomore campaign primed for an expanded role in Chicago's passing attack alongside Rome Odunze. After hauling in 53 receptions for 740 yards as a rookie, the dynamic weapon has locked down starting perimeter duties catching passes from Caleb Williams.

A preseason groin injury cooled his market momentum, causing his draft cost to slide from the low 40s to around an ADP of 59. However, with reports indicating he is on track for the season opener, this dip offers prime value in full-PPR formats.

Our projections anticipate a sizable leap to 78 catches, 965 receiving yards, and six touchdowns for 208 fantasy points. If he stays healthy, Burden brings weekly WR2 upside at a WR3 draft price in an ascending offense.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Luther Burden
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Dobbins over Burden

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook J.K. Dobbins

Lead Role Carries Strong Value Despite Durability Risks

Dobbins enters the year leading Denver's backfield ahead of RJ Harvey and Jonah Coleman. When on the field, the veteran continues to produce high-end efficiency, posting a 5.0 yards-per-carry mark across 10 games with the Broncos last season. A minor August soft-tissue scare briefly raised eyebrows, but he remains the clear frontrunner for early-down volume under Sean Payton.

Our models project Dobbins to handle 215 rush attempts for 975 rushing yards and six scores, totaling 171 fantasy points. His PPR ceiling remains capped by limited passing-game involvement—projected for just 10 receptions—meaning his fantasy utility relies heavily on sustainable rushing volume and red-zone conversions.

Market sentiment has cooled noticeably following his recent training camp ailment, with his ADP sliding from the top 90 into the late 120s. That draft-day discount turns Dobbins into a worthwhile value target for managers hunting starting running back touches in the double-digit rounds.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News J.K. Dobbins
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Performance Luther Burden
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance J.K. Dobbins
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Luther Burden
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @CAR 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 MIN 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 PHI 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 NYJ 🔓 🔓 🔓
6 @GB 🔓 🔓 🔓
7 @ATL 🔓 🔓 🔓
8 NE 🔓 🔓 🔓
9 @SEA 🔓 🔓 🔓
10 TB 🔓 🔓 🔓
11 BYE 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 NO 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 @DET 🔓 🔓 🔓
13 JAC 🔓 🔓 🔓
14 @MIA 🔓 🔓 🔓
15 @BUF 🔓 🔓 🔓
16 GB 🔓 🔓 🔓
17 DET 🔓 🔓 🔓
18 @MIN 🔓 🔓 🔓
19 🔓 🔓 🔓
20 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches J.K. Dobbins
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @KC 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 JAC 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 LAR 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 @SF 🔓 🔓 🔓
5 @LAC 🔓 🔓 🔓
6 SEA 🔓 🔓 🔓
7 @ARI 🔓 🔓 🔓
8 KC 🔓 🔓 🔓
9 @CAR 🔓 🔓 🔓
10 BYE 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Luther Burden
OWN
98%
+6.29 compared to last week
START
56%
+6.62 compared to last week
OWN/START J.K. Dobbins
OWN
93%
+3.97 compared to last week
START
12%
+5.84 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Luther Burden
22nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus J.K. Dobbins
32nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Luther Burden

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among WR's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 45th with 93.20 total points (4.66 avg).
  • Currently 216.1 points behind the leader: Puka Nacua
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.7 PPG.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 50 in receptions and is currently ranked 42nd among WR.
  • Top 75 in targets, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 61st among WR.
  • Top 50 in reception yards with 698 and 13.96 YPC and is currently ranked 40th among WR.
  • Top 100 in Rec TDs with 2, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 78th among WR.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 25 in rush attempts with 7 (0.39 per game) and is currently ranked 21st among WR.
  • Top 15 in rush yards with 52 (2.89 per game) and is currently ranked 13th among WR.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 20 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +56, Rec Yards: +764 Rec TDs: +2,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 78, REC YDS: 960, REC TDS: 6
Breakdown J.K. Dobbins

    Overview

  • Just about every team utilizies the dreaded 'running backs by comittee' policy. Two solid #1 starters are hard to find.
  • Experts rank this player at 33rd among RB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 40th with 104.90 total points (10.49 avg).
  • Currently 260.7 points behind the leader: Christian McCaffrey
  • He is putting up close to the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 10.5.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 75 in receptions, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 67th among RB.
  • Top 75 in targets, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 67th among RB.
  • Top 100 in Rec TDs with 0, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 82nd among RB.
  • Ranked 147th in targets and is currently among RB.
  • Ranked 105th in targets and is currently among RB.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 25 in rush attempts with 153 (15.30 per game) and is currently ranked 35th among RB.
  • Top 35 in rush yards with 772 (77.20 per game) and is currently ranked 28th among RB.
  • Top 50 in rush tds with 4 (0.40 per game) and is currently ranked 42nd among RB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Rush Yards: -70, Rush AVG: +0.2 Rush TDs: -5, Receptions: -18, Rec Yards: -104 Rec TDs: EVEN,
  • His touches per game on the ground are great.
  • Season Outlook

  • RUSH ATT: 215, RUSH YDS: 965, RUSH TDS: 6, REC: 10, REC YDS: 75, REC TDS: 1
Next Up Health Check
Injury Luther Burden

No Injury Reported

Injury J.K. Dobbins

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Luther Burden

Week 1
Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.00338.5022163123.39
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 16th with 103.00 total points (5.72 avg).
  • Currently 124 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.7.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in turnovers with 21 (1.24 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Ranked 23rd in rush defense with 2243 (131.94 per game).
  • Top 12 in pass defense with 3850 (226.47 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Top 8 in interceptions with 15 (0.88 per game) and currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 16 in points against with 22.35 per game and currently ranked 15th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 22nd in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -56.26, Turnovers: +6 Sacks: -5, INTs: +8, TDs: +2, Points Allowed: -6.94,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 35, INT: 13, TDS: 2, PA/G: 23.8, YDS/G: 347.7
Matchups J.K. Dobbins

Week 1
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
19.29325.8214103503.39
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 21st with 90.00 total points (5.29 avg).
  • Currently 137 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.3.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 8 in total yards against with 325.82 per game and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 8 in rush defense with 1871 (110.06 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 8 in pass defense with 3668 (215.76 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 6 in points against with 19.29 per game and currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 32nd in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +71.09, Turnovers: -14 Sacks: -20, INTs: -6, TDs: -2, Points Allowed: +2.79,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 36, INT: 12, TDS: 3, PA/G: 20.5, YDS/G: 320.4
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Luther Burden
19.75
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating J.K. Dobbins
18.06
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Luther Burden
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2025 CHI 16 72 53 740 14.0 2 8 48 6 0
3-YEAR AVG 8 33 25 349 14 1 4 26 7.4 0
Totals 18 79 56 764 13.6 2 9 48 5.3 0
Career J.K. Dobbins
RUSH RECEIVING
YEAR TEAM GP ATT YD AVG TD TGTS REC YD AVG TD
2020 BAL 16 143 848 5.9 10 25 19 114 6.0 0
2022 BAL 8 92 520 5.7 2 8 7 42 6.0 1
2023 BAL 1 8 22 2.8 1 3 2 15 7.5 0
2024 LAC 13 195 905 4.6 9 38 32 153 4.8 0
2025 DEN 10 153 772 5.0 4 14 11 37 3.4 0
3-YEAR AVG 8 103 503 4.9 4 18 15 84 5.6 1
Totals 51 623 3197 5.1 26 99 78 455 5.8 2
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @SF 10:15 EDT EST
ATH vs BAL 09:40 EDT EST
ATL vs COL 07:15 EDT EST
BOS @NYY 07:15 EDT EST
CHC vs CIN 02:20 EDT EST
CHW @MIN 08:10 EDT EST
CLE vs KC 07:10 EDT EST
DET vs LAD 06:40 EDT EST
HOU @NYM 07:10 EDT EST
LAA vs PHI 09:38 EDT EST
MIA @WAS 06:45 EDT EST
MIL vs TEX 07:40 EDT EST
PIT @STL 08:15 EDT EST
SD @TB 07:10 EDT EST
SEA @TOR 07:15 EDT EST
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