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Derrick Henry or Aaron Jones Sr.

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry

RBBaltimore Ravens BAL
Aaron Jones Sr.

Aaron Jones Sr.

RBMinnesota Vikings MIN
OR
πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Henry over Jones Sr.

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Derrick Henry

Elite Volume and Baltimore's Run-Heavy Scheme Keep Henry as a Premium Fantasy Asset

Derrick Henry enters his eleventh season as the lead back in Baltimore's explosive offense. Operating ahead of Justice Hill and Rasheen Ali on the depth chart, our models anticipate another heavy workload for the veteran, who registered over 320 carries in consecutive seasons. His secure goal-line role and volume floor make him a highly dependable fantasy option.

Despite concerns regarding his age, the 32-year-old remains in peak condition, dedicating significant resources to annual body maintenance. He quickly shrugged off a minor OTA collision in May, returning to practice immediately. This legendary durability and elite physical profile help mitigate the typical age-curve risks associated with veteran runners.

In PPR leagues, Henry’s ADP experienced a brief late-May dip before rebounding strongly to 23. Our projections point to 1,440 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns, confirming that his current early-third-round price tag represents a stellar value. Managers can confidently draft him as a robust RB1 with weekly tournament-winning upside.


Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Derrick Henry
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πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Jones Sr. over Henry

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Aaron Jones Sr.

Proven Veteran Set to Lead Minnesota's Backfield with Sneaky RB2 Upside

Aaron Jones Sr. leads Minnesota's backfield ahead of Jordan Mason on the depth chart. Despite entering his age-31 season, the veteran remains highly efficient. Our projections expect 151 carries and 41 receptions, preserving a versatile role in both the ground and passing games.

His market momentum is rising. In 1.0 PPR formats, his ADP has climbed from the early-120s to around 111. Fantasy managers are realizing his value, and our models view this shifting price as a fantastic opportunity to secure a productive starter at a discount.

With near 98% rostership, Jones is highly valued for his stability. While our data projects a modest four total touchdowns, his high-floor passing-game usage makes him a reliable RB2. He should easily outperform his current draft-day cost if he stays healthy.


Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Aaron Jones Sr.
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Performance Derrick Henry
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Aaron Jones Sr.
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Derrick Henry
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @IND πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 NO πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 @DAL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 TEN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
5 @ATL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 @CLE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 CIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 @BUF πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
10 JAC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 LAC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 @CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 @HOU πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 @PIT πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 CLE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 @CIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
18 PIT πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Aaron Jones Sr.
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 @CHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 @TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 MIA πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
10 @NO πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 IND πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 @DET πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 BUF πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 @GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 @SF πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 ATL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
18 @NE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Derrick Henry
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
98%
No change since last week.
OWN/START Aaron Jones Sr.
OWN
98%
No change since last week.
START
53%
No change since last week.
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Derrick Henry
11th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Aaron Jones Sr.
35th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Derrick Henry

    Overview

  • Just about every team utilizies the dreaded 'running backs by comittee' policy. Two solid #1 starters are hard to find.
  • Experts rank this player at 11th among RB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 6th with 285.30 total points (15.85 avg).
  • Currently 80.3 points behind the leader: Christian McCaffrey
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 15.9.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 75 in receptions, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 52nd among RB.
  • Top 75 in targets, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 51st among RB.
  • Top 75 in Rec TDs with 0, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 64th among RB.
  • Top 3 in red zone attempts and is currently ranked 3rd among RB.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 3 in rush attempts with 328 (18.22 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among RB.
  • Top 3 in rush yards with 1659 (92.17 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd among RB.
  • Top 3 in rush tds with 18 (1.00 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among RB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Rush Yards: -277, Rush AVG: -0.9 Rush TDs: +3, Receptions: EVEN, Rec Yards: +4 Rec TDs: -2,
  • His touches per game on the ground are great.
  • Season Outlook

  • RUSH ATT: 275, RUSH YDS: 1440, RUSH TDS: 12, REC: 17, REC YDS: 158, REC TDS: 2
Breakdown Aaron Jones Sr.

    Overview

  • Just about every team utilizies the dreaded 'running backs by comittee' policy. Two solid #1 starters are hard to find.
  • Experts rank this player at 35th among RB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 44th with 96.40 total points (6.89 avg).
  • Currently 269.2 points behind the leader: Christian McCaffrey
  • He should be doing a bit better than this. Look for him to bounce back.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 6.9.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 35 in receptions and is currently ranked 32nd among RB.
  • Top 25 in targets and is currently ranked 23rd among RB.
  • Top 50 in Rec TDs with 1 and is currently ranked 44th among RB.
  • Top 35 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 29th among RB.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 50 in rush yards with 589 (42.07 per game) and is currently ranked 38th among RB.
  • He is top 75 in rush tds with 2 (0.14 per game), though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 56th among RB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 3 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Rush Yards: -615, Rush AVG: -0.3 Rush TDs: -3, Receptions: -20, Rec Yards: -193 Rec TDs: -1,
  • Season Outlook

  • RUSH ATT: 151, RUSH YDS: 679, RUSH TDS: 3, REC: 41, REC YDS: 300, REC TDS: 1
Next Up Health Check
Injury Derrick Henry

No Injury Reported

Injury Aaron Jones Sr.

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Derrick Henry

Week 1
Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
24.24393.7621143913.76
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 19th with 95.00 total points (5.59 avg).
  • Currently 132 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.6.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in turnovers with 21 (1.24 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Top 10 in rush defense with 1880 (110.59 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Ranked 32nd in pass defense with 4814 (283.18 per game).
  • Top 10 in interceptions with 14 (0.82 per game) and currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Top 22 in points against with 24.24 per game and currently ranked 21st among DST.
  • Currently ranked 24th in Total TDs with 1 (0.06 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +22.76, Turnovers: EVEN Sacks: +5, INTs: +1, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: -0.82,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 40, INT: 12, TDS: 1, PA/G: 25.8, YDS/G: 371.7
Matchups Aaron Jones Sr.

Week 1
Minnesota Vikings VS Green Bay Packers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
21.72316.831693703.70
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 23rd with 83.00 total points (4.61 avg).
  • Currently 144 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.6 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in total yards against with 335.47 per game and is currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Ranked 18th in rush defense with 2094 (123.18 per game).
  • Top 8 in pass defense with 3609 (212.29 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 12 in points against with 21.18 per game and currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 29th in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +35.93, Turnovers: -19 Sacks: -24, INTs: -12, TDs: -3, Points Allowed: +1.87,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 22.5, YDS/G: 331.3
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Derrick Henry
27.81
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Aaron Jones Sr.
18.04
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Derrick Henry
RUSH RECEIVING
YEAR TEAM GP ATT YD AVG TD TGTS REC YD AVG TD
2016 TEN 14 110 490 4.5 5 15 13 137 10.5 0
2017 TEN 16 176 744 4.2 5 17 11 136 12.4 1
2018 TEN 16 215 1059 4.9 12 18 15 100 6.7 0
2019 TEN 15 303 1539 5.1 16 25 18 206 11.4 2
2020 TEN 16 396 2067 5.2 17 34 22 125 5.7 0
2021 TEN 8 219 937 4.3 10 20 18 154 8.6 0
2022 TEN 16 349 1538 4.4 13 41 33 398 12.1 0
2023 TEN 16 280 1167 4.2 12 36 28 214 7.6 0
2024 BAL 16 325 1921 5.9 16 22 19 193 10.2 2
2025 BAL 16 328 1659 5.1 18 23 17 174 10.2 0
3-YEAR AVG 18 325 1672 5.1 16 28 21 194 9.1 1
Totals 156 2743 13391 4.9 127 253 194 1837 9.5 5
Career Aaron Jones Sr.
RUSH RECEIVING
YEAR TEAM GP ATT YD AVG TD TGTS REC YD AVG TD
2017 GB 10 81 448 5.5 4 18 9 22 2.4 0
2018 GB 12 133 729 5.5 8 35 26 206 7.9 1
2019 GB 16 236 1084 4.6 16 69 49 474 9.7 3
2020 GB 14 201 1104 5.5 9 63 47 355 7.6 2
2021 GB 15 171 799 4.7 4 65 52 391 7.5 6
2022 GB 16 213 1121 5.3 2 72 59 395 6.7 5
2023 GB 11 142 656 4.6 2 43 30 233 7.8 1
2024 MIN 16 255 1138 4.5 5 62 51 408 8.0 2
2025 MIN 13 141 589 4.2 2 45 31 215 6.9 1
3-YEAR AVG 15 197 886 4.5 4 54 40 296 7.5 1
Totals 130 1645 8068 4.9 56 493 366 2753 7.5 21
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs WAS 09:40 EDT EST
ATH @HOU 08:10 EDT EST
ATL vs PIT 07:15 EDT EST
BAL @TOR 07:07 EDT EST
BOS @NYY 07:05 EDT EST
CHC vs SF 02:20 EDT EST
CHW @PHI 06:40 EDT EST
CIN @STL 08:15 EDT EST
CLE @TEX 08:15 EDT EST
COL vs MIL 08:40 EDT EST
DET vs SEA 06:40 EDT EST
KC @MIN 08:15 EDT EST
LAA @LAD 10:10 EDT EST
MIA vs TB 07:10 EDT EST
NYM @SD 09:40 EDT EST
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled