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Aaron Jones Sr. or Christian Watson

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Aaron Jones Sr.

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB • Minnesota Vikings MIN
Christian Watson

Christian Watson

WR • Green Bay Packers GB
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Jones Sr. over Watson

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Learn More
Outlook Aaron Jones Sr.

Aging Veteran Offers Steady Flex Value in Minnesota Backfield

Aaron Jones Sr. remains the lead back in Minnesota, anchoring the depth chart ahead of Jordan Mason. Despite entering his age-31 season, the veteran still commands a significant role in both the ground game and as a receiver out of the backfield. Our models project 151 carries for 673 rushing yards and 42 receptions for 305 receiving yards.

Looking at his draft trends, Jones has seen his ADP climb steadily from a low of 124 in early May to a stable spot around 112 in June. This climbing cost indicates growing fantasy manager confidence in his locked-in volume. At this late-round price in PPR leagues, our projections view him as an outstanding depth addition rather than a risky reach.

While his days as a high-end RB1 are behind him, his high roster percentage reflects his secure floor. If he can maintain his efficiency behind the Vikings' offensive line, he will easily outperform his draft cost. We project him to finish with roughly 165 fantasy points, making him a reliable flex option.

Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Aaron Jones Sr.
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Watson over Jones Sr.

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Learn More
Outlook Christian Watson

Contract Extension and Deep-Threat Dominance Fuel Breakout Hype

After securing a massive four-year, $92.5 million contract extension, Christian Watson enters 2026 locked in as Jordan Love's primary perimeter weapon. He sits atop the depth chart alongside slot specialist Jayden Reed, anchoring a highly paid and dangerous receiving room.

Watson has been historically dominant on deep targets. Since returning from a torn ACL in 2025, he led the NFL in receptions, yards, and touchdowns on passes of 20-plus air yards. Our projections slate him for 56 receptions, 927 yards, and six touchdowns, but his personal goal of 1,100 yards and double-digit scores showcases his massive ceiling.

Draft markets have responded aggressively to his extension. Watson's ADP has climbed from the mid-70s in May, briefly peaking near 38, before stabilizing around pick 66. In PPR formats, this draft cost makes him an exceptional value pick with league-winning upside if he can sustain a full season of health.

Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Christian Watson
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Next Up ❱ Performance Comparison
Performance Aaron Jones Sr.
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Christian Watson
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up ❱ Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Aaron Jones Sr.
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 GB 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 @CHI 🔓 🔓 🔓
8 @TB 🔓 🔓 🔓
9 MIA 🔓 🔓 🔓
10 @NO 🔓 🔓 🔓
11 BYE 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 IND 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 @DET 🔓 🔓 🔓
13 BUF 🔓 🔓 🔓
14 @GB 🔓 🔓 🔓
15 @SF 🔓 🔓 🔓
16 ATL 🔓 🔓 🔓
17 CAR 🔓 🔓 🔓
18 @NE 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Christian Watson
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
8 @MIN 🔓 🔓 🔓
9 @NYJ 🔓 🔓 🔓
10 ATL 🔓 🔓 🔓
11 @TB 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 CHI 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 DAL 🔓 🔓 🔓
13 @DET 🔓 🔓 🔓
14 CAR 🔓 🔓 🔓
15 @NE 🔓 🔓 🔓
16 MIN 🔓 🔓 🔓
17 BYE 🔓 🔓 🔓
18 @LAR 🔓 🔓 🔓
19 @NO 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up ❱ Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Aaron Jones Sr.
OWN
98%
+0.13 compared to last week
START
55%
+0.75 compared to last week
OWN/START Christian Watson
OWN
84%
-1.11 compared to last week
START
29%
-1.86 compared to last week
Next Up ❱ Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Aaron Jones Sr.
35th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Christian Watson
29th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up ❱ Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Aaron Jones Sr.

    Overview

  • Just about every team utilizies the dreaded 'running backs by comittee' policy. Two solid #1 starters are hard to find.
  • Experts rank this player at 36th among RB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 44th with 96.40 total points (6.89 avg).
  • Currently 269.2 points behind the leader: Christian McCaffrey
  • He is putting up close to the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 6.9.

    • Receiving Stats

  • Top 35 in receptions and is currently ranked 32nd among RB.
  • Top 25 in targets and is currently ranked 24th among RB.
  • Top 50 in Rec TDs with 1 and is currently ranked 41st among RB.
  • Top 35 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 27th among RB.

    • Rushing Stats

  • Top 50 in rush yards with 589 (42.07 per game) and is currently ranked 38th among RB.
  • He is top 75 in rush tds with 2 (0.14 per game), though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 54th among RB.

    • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 3 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Rush Yards: -615, Rush AVG: -0.3 Rush TDs: -3, Receptions: -20, Rec Yards: -193 Rec TDs: -1,

    • Season Outlook

  • RUSH ATT: 151, RUSH YDS: 673, RUSH TDS: 3, REC: 42, REC YDS: 305, REC TDS: 2
Breakdown Christian Watson

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 28th among WR's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 39th with 111.90 total points (8.61 avg).
  • Currently 197.4 points behind the leader: Puka Nacua
  • He should be doing a bit better than this. Look for him to bounce back.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 8.6.

    • Receiving Stats

  • Top 75 in receptions, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 58th among WR.
  • Top 75 in targets, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 62nd among WR.
  • Top 50 in reception yards with 660 and 16.50 YPC and is currently ranked 42nd among WR.
  • Top 35 in Rec TDs with 6 and is currently ranked 29th among WR.

    • Rushing Stats

  • Top 75 in rush yards with 3 (0.25 per game), though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 69th among WR.

    • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +14, Rec Yards: +76 Rec TDs: +5,
  • Known to break out for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long REC TDs then this guy would be great to have.

    • Season Outlook

  • REC: 56, REC YDS: 927, REC TDS: 6
Next Up ❱ Health Check
Injury Aaron Jones Sr.

No Injury Reported

Injury Christian Watson

No Injury Reported

Next Up ❱ Matchup Comparison
Matchups Aaron Jones Sr.

Week 1
Minnesota Vikings VS Green Bay Packers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
21.72316.831693703.70
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 23rd with 83.00 total points (4.61 avg).
  • Currently 144 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.6 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in total yards against with 335.47 per game and is currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Ranked 18th in rush defense with 2094 (123.18 per game).
  • Top 8 in pass defense with 3609 (212.29 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 12 in points against with 21.18 per game and currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 29th in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +35.93, Turnovers: -19 Sacks: -24, INTs: -12, TDs: -3, Points Allowed: +1.87,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 22.5, YDS/G: 331.3
Matchups Christian Watson

Week 1
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
19.59319.002184924.48
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 8th with 132.00 total points (7.76 avg).
  • Currently 95 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.8.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 4 in total yards against with 319.00 per game and is currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Top 12 in turnovers with 21 (1.24 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Ranked 25th in rush defense with 2256 (132.71 per game).
  • Top 2 in pass defense with 3167 (186.29 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 6 in sacks with 49 (2.88 per game) and currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Top 8 in points against with 19.59 per game and currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 14 in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) and currently ranked 13th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -48.71, Turnovers: -9 Sacks: +4, INTs: -13, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: -1.06,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 45, INT: 12, TDS: 3, PA/G: 20.8, YDS/G: 300.3
Next Up ❱ Ratings Comparison
Rating Aaron Jones Sr.
18.14
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Christian Watson
17.65
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up ❱ Career Comparison
Career Aaron Jones Sr.
RUSH RECEIVING
YEAR TEAM GP ATT YD AVG TD TGTS REC YD AVG TD
2017 GB 10 81 448 5.5 4 18 9 22 2.4 0
2018 GB 12 133 729 5.5 8 35 26 206 7.9 1
2019 GB 16 236 1084 4.6 16 69 49 474 9.7 3
2020 GB 14 201 1104 5.5 9 63 47 355 7.6 2
2021 GB 15 171 799 4.7 4 65 52 391 7.5 6
2022 GB 16 213 1121 5.3 2 72 59 395 6.7 5
2023 GB 11 142 656 4.6 2 43 30 233 7.8 1
2024 MIN 16 255 1138 4.5 5 62 51 408 8.0 2
2025 MIN 13 141 589 4.2 2 45 31 215 6.9 1
3-YEAR AVG 15 197 886 4.5 4 54 40 296 7.5 1
Totals 130 1645 8068 4.9 56 493 366 2753 7.5 21
Career Christian Watson
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2022 GB 14 65 41 611 14.9 7 7 80 11.4 2
2023 GB 9 53 28 422 15.1 5 4 11 2.8 0
2024 GB 14 53 29 620 21.4 2 4 23 5.8 0
2025 GB 12 69 43 696 16.2 7 1 3 3 0
3-YEAR AVG 12 57 33 574 17.4 4 3 12 4.1 0
Totals 51 243 143 2369 16.6 21 16 117 7.3 2
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Waiver Help

Optimal Lineups

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  • Jalen Coker WR • CAR

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  • Trevor Lawrence QB • JAC

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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @MIA 01:10 EDT EST
ATL @CHW 07:40 EDT EST
BAL vs SEA 07:05 EDT EST
CHC @COL 03:10 EDT EST
DET vs MIN 01:10 EDT EST
KC vs TEX 02:10 EDT EST
LAD @PIT 06:40 EDT EST
NYM vs STL 01:10 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
VGK @CAR 8:00 PM EST