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Daniel Jones or Justin Herbert

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones

QBIndianapolis Colts IND
Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert

QBLos Angeles Chargers LAC
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Jones over Herbert

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Daniel Jones

Firm Grip on Starting Role Offers Overlooked Late-Round Value

Jones enters the season fully cleared from his Achilles tear and firmly entrenched as the starter ahead of Riley Leonard and Anthony Richardson. Operating under head coach Shane Steichen, Jones is coming off an efficient 2025 campaign where he tossed 21 touchdowns and posted a 100.1 passer rating across 14 contests.

The Colts bolstered his weaponry by signing veteran receiver Keenan Allen to pair with Alec Pierce, Josh Downs, and tight end Tyler Warren. Our models project Jones for 3,650 passing yards, 22 passing scores, and 253.0 total fantasy points, providing a steady baseline in Steichen's offense.

Draft sentiment has cooled, with his ADP sliding from around pick 180 in late July down to 226 entering September. That dropping market cost turns him into an intriguing late-round value and dependable streaming target in 1.0 PPR leagues.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Daniel Jones
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Herbert over Jones

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Justin Herbert

Rejuvenated Scheme and Rushing Mobility Present Major Draft Value

Justin Herbert enters 2026 spearheading an evolved Chargers attack under offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel and head coach Jim Harbaugh. While Los Angeles lost starting center Tyler Biadasz for the season, Herbert has shown sharp preseason rhythm and deep chemistry with targets like Ladd McConkey and Quentin Johnston.

Our projections expect a well-rounded campaign, estimating 3,800 passing yards, 26 passing touchdowns, and nearly 400 rushing yards. After producing a career-high 498 rushing yards in 2025, his enhanced mobility elevates his weekly floor within an efficient passing structure.

Draft market sentiment has cooled unexpectedly, with Herbert's ADP sliding from the mid-80s down past pick 125 over the last month. Our models view this shifting price as a prime value opportunity in 1.0 PPR formats, offering starting caliber production at a mid-to-late round discount.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Justin Herbert
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Performance Daniel Jones
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Justin Herbert
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Daniel Jones

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Justin Herbert

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Daniel Jones
OWN
42%
-5.83 compared to last week
START
 
4%
+2.32 compared to last week
OWN/START Justin Herbert
OWN
99%
+0.03 compared to last week
START
77%
+11.53 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Daniel Jones
23rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Justin Herbert
8th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Daniel Jones

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 25th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 17th with 243.28 total points (17.38 avg).
  • Currently 190.96 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 17.4.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 20 in pass yards with 3282 (234.43 per game) and is currently ranked 19th among QB.
  • Top 20 in pass tds with 21 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 19th among QB.
  • Top 20 in pass completions with 280 (20.00 per game) and is currently ranked 20th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +1212, TDs: +13, INTs: +1
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3650, PASS TDS: 22, RUSH YDS: 175, RUSH TDS: 2
Breakdown Justin Herbert

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 8th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 12th with 296.94 total points (16.50 avg).
  • Currently 137.3 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 16.5.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 15 in pass yards with 3727 (219.24 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass tds with 26 (1.53 per game) and is currently ranked 10th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass completions with 340 (20.00 per game) and is currently ranked 13th.
  • Top 10 in interceptions with 13 (0.76 per game) and is currently ranked 8th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +362, TDs: +5, INTs: +10
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3800, PASS TDS: 25, RUSH YDS: 390, RUSH TDS: 2
Next Up Health Check
Injury Daniel Jones

No Injury Reported

Injury Justin Herbert

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Daniel Jones

Week 1
Indianapolis Colts VS Baltimore Ravens

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.41383.2920113023.94
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 20th with 93.00 total points (5.47 avg).
  • Currently 134 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.5.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in rush defense with 1891 (111.24 per game) and is currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Ranked 29th in pass defense with 4625 (272.06 per game).
  • Top 18 in points against with 23.41 per game and currently ranked 18th among DST.
  • Top 14 in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) and currently ranked 14th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +70.61, Turnovers: +1 Sacks: -26, INTs: EVEN, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +2.15,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 40, INT: 13, TDS: 3, PA/G: 24.9, YDS/G: 376.8
Matchups Justin Herbert

Week 1
Los Angeles Chargers VS Arizona Cardinals

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.71392.7119103023.27
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 30th with 68.00 total points (4.00 avg).
  • Currently 159 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 26th in rush defense with 2292 (134.82 per game).
  • Ranked 24th in pass defense with 4384 (257.88 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.71 per game and currently ranked 29th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 19th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +43.83, Turnovers: +4 Sacks: -3, INTs: +2, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +5.3,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 29, INT: 12, TDS: 3, PA/G: 30.5, YDS/G: 380.1
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Daniel Jones
14.99
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Justin Herbert
17.73
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Daniel Jones
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2019 NYG 13 3027 62% 24 12 87.7 279 2 22
2020 NYG 14 2943 63% 11 10 80.4 423 1 6
2021 NYG 11 2428 64% 10 7 84.8 298 2 3
2022 NYG 16 3205 67% 15 5 92.5 708 7 3
2023 NYG 6 909 68% 2 6 70.5 206 1 1
2024 NYG 10 2070 63% 8 7 79.4 265 2 2
2025 IND 14 3282 68% 21 8 100.1 180 5 3
ON PACE 63 14769 68% 95 36 100.1 810 23 14
3-YEAR AVG 11 2207 66% 9 6 84.5 427 3 2
Totals 86 18300 65% 93 56 86.8 2461 20 40
Career Justin Herbert
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2020 LAC 15 4336 67% 31 10 98.3 234 5 1
2021 LAC 16 5014 66% 38 15 97.7 302 3 1
2022 LAC 16 4739 68% 25 10 93.2 147 0 3
2023 LAC 13 3134 65% 20 7 93.2 228 3 1
2024 LAC 16 3870 66% 23 3 101.7 306 2 2
2025 LAC 16 3727 66% 26 13 94.1 498 2 2
ON PACE 72 16772 66% 117 59 94.1 2241 9 9
3-YEAR AVG 16 3658 65% 23 9 95 344 2 2
Totals 98 25494 66% 165 62 95.4 1784 15 11
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs PHI 03:40 EDT EST
ATH @TEX 02:35 EDT EST
ATL @WAS 01:05 EDT EST
BAL @COL 03:10 EDT EST
BOS vs SEA 04:10 EDT EST
CHC vs MIL 07:40 EDT EST
CHW @HOU 08:10 EDT EST
CIN vs SD 12:40 EDT EST
CLE vs TOR 06:40 EDT EST
DET @MIN 07:40 EDT EST
KC vs MIA 07:40 EDT EST
LAA vs NYY 09:38 EDT EST
LAD vs STL 10:10 EDT EST
NYM @TB 06:40 EDT EST
PIT vs SF 06:40 EDT EST
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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