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Daniel Jones or Justin Herbert

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones

QBIndianapolis Colts IND
Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert

QBLos Angeles Chargers LAC
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Jones over Herbert

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Daniel Jones

Strong QB2 Appeal as Achilles Recovery Remains on Track for Week 1

Daniel Jones is making rapid progress in his recovery from a torn right Achilles suffered last December. He has recently been cleared for 7-on-7 drills, and the coaching staff expects him to be fully ready for training camp with his eyes set on a Week 1 start. While his mobility might be slightly limited initially, his dual-threat history makes him an intriguing fantasy option.

In fantasy drafts, Jones' ADP has largely stabilized in the late rounds near pick 185 after a brief early-June spike. This makes him an outstanding late-round value steal in 1.0 PPR formats if he secures the starting job. Our models project him for a solid campaign, identifying him as a prime target for managers looking to wait on quarterback.

Sitting atop the depth chart ahead of Anthony Richardson Sr. and Riley Leonard, Jones has the trust of the coaching staff. We project him to compile 3,628 passing yards and 21 touchdowns, along with nearly 200 yards on the ground. He offers a stable floor with high-end QB2 upside if his rushing efficiency fully returns.


Updated 15 hrs ago

Latest News Daniel Jones
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Herbert over Jones

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Justin Herbert

New Offensive Scheme and Overhauled Line Set Up Bounce-Back Year for Chargers Franchise Passer

Under new coordinator Mike McDaniel, Justin Herbert is poised to improve his efficiency. Offseason reports highlight instant chemistry between the two, with Herbert overhauling his footwork to speed up his release. He will play behind an entirely rebuilt starting offensive line featuring Rashawn Slater and rookie tackle Joe Alt.

Our projections forecast a highly productive season, slotting Herbert for 3,973 passing yards, 27 touchdowns, and 381 rushing yards. A revamped receiving group featuring Ladd McConkey and Quentin Johnston provides plenty of young talent to support a strong fantasy bounce-back.

In 1.0 PPR formats, Herbert's ADP has settled in the late eighth round. At this cost, our models view him as an absolute steal. He provides a top-five fantasy ceiling at a mid-round price tag, making him a prime target for managers who wait on the quarterback position.


Updated 15 hrs ago

Latest News Justin Herbert
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Performance Daniel Jones
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YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Justin Herbert
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YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Daniel Jones

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Justin Herbert

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Daniel Jones
OWN
31%
-2.72 compared to last week
START
 
4%
-0.36 compared to last week
OWN/START Justin Herbert
OWN
88%
+1.09 compared to last week
START
33%
+1.54 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Daniel Jones
23rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Justin Herbert
8th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Daniel Jones

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 22nd among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 17th with 243.28 total points (17.38 avg).
  • Currently 190.96 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games and is listed on the injury report.
  • He is listed on the injury report about his Achilles (Since Dec 7, 2025). Check out his player news for a closer look.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 17.4.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 20 in pass yards with 3282 (234.43 per game) and is currently ranked 19th among QB.
  • Top 20 in pass tds with 21 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 20th among QB.
  • Top 20 in pass completions with 280 (20.00 per game) and is currently ranked 20th.
  • Top 20 in interceptions with 8 (0.57 per game) and is currently ranked 20th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +1212, TDs: +13, INTs: +1
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3628, PASS TDS: 21, RUSH YDS: 199, RUSH TDS: 3
Breakdown Justin Herbert

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 8th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 12th with 296.94 total points (16.50 avg).
  • Currently 137.3 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 16.5.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 15 in pass yards with 3727 (219.24 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass tds with 26 (1.53 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass completions with 340 (20.00 per game) and is currently ranked 13th.
  • Top 10 in interceptions with 13 (0.76 per game) and is currently ranked 8th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +362, TDs: +5, INTs: +10
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3973, PASS TDS: 27, RUSH YDS: 381, RUSH TDS: 3
Next Up Health Check
Injury Daniel Jones

ACHILLES - Since Dec 7, 2025

Jones is recovering from a torn Achilles and is expected to miss the start of the 2026-27 season.
Injury Justin Herbert

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Daniel Jones

Week 1
Indianapolis Colts VS Baltimore Ravens

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.41383.2920113024.18
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 20th with 93.00 total points (5.47 avg).
  • Currently 134 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.5.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in rush defense with 1891 (111.24 per game) and is currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Ranked 29th in pass defense with 4625 (272.06 per game).
  • Top 18 in points against with 23.41 per game and currently ranked 18th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 16th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +70.61, Turnovers: +1 Sacks: -26, INTs: EVEN, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +2.15,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 44, INT: 13, TDS: 2, PA/G: 24.9, YDS/G: 376.8
Matchups Justin Herbert

Week 1
Los Angeles Chargers VS Arizona Cardinals

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.71392.7119103023.58
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 30th with 68.00 total points (4.00 avg).
  • Currently 159 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 26th in rush defense with 2292 (134.82 per game).
  • Ranked 24th in pass defense with 4384 (257.88 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.71 per game and currently ranked 29th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 19th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +43.83, Turnovers: +4 Sacks: -3, INTs: +2, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +5.3,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 35, INT: 11, TDS: 2, PA/G: 30.5, YDS/G: 380.1
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Daniel Jones
15.13
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Justin Herbert
18.43
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Daniel Jones
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2019 NYG 13 3027 62% 24 12 87.7 279 2 22
2020 NYG 14 2943 63% 11 10 80.4 423 1 6
2021 NYG 11 2428 64% 10 7 84.8 298 2 3
2022 NYG 16 3205 67% 15 5 92.5 708 7 3
2023 NYG 6 909 68% 2 6 70.5 206 1 1
2024 NYG 10 2070 63% 8 7 79.4 265 2 2
2025 IND 14 3282 68% 21 8 100.1 180 5 3
3-YEAR AVG 11 2207 66% 9 6 84.5 427 3 2
Totals 86 18300 65% 93 56 86.8 2461 20 40
Career Justin Herbert
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2020 LAC 15 4336 67% 31 10 98.3 234 5 1
2021 LAC 16 5014 66% 38 15 97.7 302 3 1
2022 LAC 16 4739 68% 25 10 93.2 147 0 3
2023 LAC 13 3134 65% 20 7 93.2 228 3 1
2024 LAC 16 3870 66% 23 3 101.7 306 2 2
2025 LAC 16 3727 66% 26 13 94.1 498 2 2
3-YEAR AVG 16 3658 65% 23 9 95 344 2 2
Totals 98 25494 66% 165 62 95.4 1784 15 11
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @CIN 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs COL 10:05 EDT EST
ATL @NYM 04:10 EDT EST
BAL vs SD 04:05 EDT EST
BOS vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST
CHC @SF 10:05 EDT EST
CHW vs LAD 04:10 EDT EST
CLE vs DET 04:10 EDT EST
HOU @KC 07:10 EDT EST
LAA vs TB 10:07 EDT EST
MIA @PIT 04:05 EDT EST
MIL vs PHI 07:10 EDT EST
MIN vs STL 02:10 EDT EST
NYY @TOR 03:07 EDT EST
SEA @WAS 04:05 EDT EST
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled