NBA
BOS
ORL
o222.5
+6.5
3:30PM • PREVIEW NBCS
BKN
IND
o230.5
-3.5
5:00PM • PREVIEW DAZN
LAC
GS
o218.5
-1.5
8:30PM • PREVIEW NBCS
TOR
LAL
o226.5
-4.5
9:00PM • PREVIEW SPEC

Aaron Nesmith or DeMar DeRozan

Who Should I Start? - Week 3 • Start New
Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith

PF • Indiana Pacers IND
DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan

SF • Denver Nuggets DEN
OR
EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Nesmith over DeRozan

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Nesmith ... 50%

BOTH ... 0%

PROJECTION
FPTS: 19
MIN FG% FT% 3P% 3PM 3PA 2PM FTA FTM FGA FGM OREB DREB A/T DD TD PF REB AST BLK PTS STL TO FPTS
72.8 0.435 0.861 0.372 15.4 6.3 12.5 7.1 6.1 28.1 12.5 1.9 6.8 1.1 0.01 0 8 8.5 4.7 1.1 37.9 1.5 3.8 19
MIN FG% FT% 3P% 3PM 3PA 2PM FTA FTM FGA FGM OREB DREB A/T DD TD PF REB AST BLK PTS STL TO FPTS
27 0.477 0.867 0.41 5.4 2 5 2.4 2 10.2 4.9 0.5 2.2 1.1 0 0 2.6 3 2 0 14 0 1 20
Not available due to injury or suspension.
Outlook Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith vs. Nets — Starting Wing Value with Haliburton Sidelined

Aaron Nesmith is listed as probable with a left hamstring strain and is expected to start on the wing against Brooklyn. Indiana remains shorthanded with Tyrese Haliburton sidelined, securing steady minutes for Nesmith. Through five games, the forward is averaging 12.4 points and 2.0 triples, while his fantasy start rate has rebounded to 16%.

Facing a winless Nets squad in a game with a 230.5 over/under, our models project Nesmith for 20 fantasy points and 14 points across 27 minutes. Looking ahead, Indiana's three-game slate next week offers steady rotational volume for managers seeking perimeter shooting depth.


FantasySP AI Analysis Updated 22 mins ago
Latest News Aaron Nesmith
Loading...
EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting DeRozan over Nesmith

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

DeRozan ... 50%

BOTH ... 0%

PROJECTION
FPTS: 25.9
MIN FG% FT% 3P% 3PM 3PA 2PM FTA FTM FGA FGM OREB DREB A/T DD TD PF REB AST BLK PTS STL TO FPTS
86.3 0.449 0.845 0.266 5.3 1.2 17.5 16.8 14.6 37.3 17.5 1.6 6.5 2.5 0.14 0 6.8 7.9 12.6 1 47.7 2.6 5.1 25.9
MIN FG% FT% 3P% 3PM 3PA 2PM FTA FTM FGA FGM OREB DREB A/T DD TD PF REB AST BLK PTS STL TO FPTS
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Please login to view these stats.
Outlook DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan at Suns — Secondary Scoring Punch in High-Total Road Tilt

DeRozan enters Friday healthy and slotted into a key sixth-man role off Denver's bench. Through his first four games with the Nuggets, the veteran swingman is averaging 13.0 points and 2.5 assists across 26.0 minutes per contest. Fantasy managers have adjusted to his trimmed reserve role, with his roster rate stabilizing near 84% and start rate at 62%.

In tonight's road matchup against Phoenix, our models project DeRozan for 27.1 fantasy points, highlighted by 18 points and four assists in 27 minutes. An elevated 229.5 over/under supports ample offensive possessions, offering a high-floor scoring opportunity to wrap up Denver's three-game week.


FantasySP AI Analysis Updated 2 days ago
Latest News DeMar DeRozan
Loading...
Performance Aaron Nesmith
Fantasy Chart Loading...

PPG APG RPG MPG STLS BLKS GP
13.251.501.5021.250.750.254
Season stats based on the past 7 days

PPG APG RPG MPG STLS BLKS GP
12.401.402.0021.000.600.205
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance DeMar DeRozan
Fantasy Chart Loading...

PPG APG RPG MPG STLS BLKS GP
10.004.002.3325.672.000.333
Season stats based on the past 7 days

PPG APG RPG MPG STLS BLKS GP
11.003.002.4025.601.200.205
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up ❱ Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Aaron Nesmith
OWN
20%
+3.39 compared to last week
START
16%
+7.37 compared to last week
OWN/START DeMar DeRozan
OWN
78%
-11.6 compared to last week
START
47%
+0.94 compared to last week
Next Up ❱ Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Aaron Nesmith
53rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus DeMar DeRozan
65th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up ❱ Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Aaron Nesmith

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 53rd among PF's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 41st with 86 total points (17.20 avg).
  • He is currently 240 points behind the leader: Victor Wembanyama
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Performance Stats

  • Shooting 39.58% from the field this month. I'd love to play against him in a game of 'HORSE'.
  • Shooting 34.48% from beyond the arc this month. Not too good.
  • Assists per game numbers are 1.17 apg this month.
  • Rebounds per game numbers are bad for a center / power forward at 1.67 rpg this month.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 1 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: PPG: -1.93, APG: +0.4, RPG: -2.5, MPG: --10.33 STLS: +0.43 BLKS: --0.13
Breakdown DeMar DeRozan

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 65th among SF's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 34th with 97 total points (19.40 avg).
  • He is currently 165 points behind the leader: Brandon Miller
  • He is doing a lot better than most people thought he would. Can he keep this up or is it a fluke?
  • Performance Stats

  • Shooting 40.00% from the field this month.
  • Shooting 22.22% from beyond the arc this month. I'd love to play against him in a game of 'HORSE'.
  • Assists per game numbers are decent for a small forward with 3.00 apg this month.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 1 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: PPG: -9.67, APG: -1.83, RPG: -1.93, MPG: --11.07 STLS: +0.03 BLKS: +0.03
Next Up ❱ Health Check
Injury Aaron Nesmith

HAMSTRING - Since Oct 31, 2026

Nesmith is dealing with an hamstring injury but is likely to take the court for the Pacers.
Injury DeMar DeRozan

No Injury Reported

Next Up ❱ Matchup Comparison
Matchups Aaron Nesmith
DateOpponentResult
Oct 26@MILL 102-110
Oct 28VS PHIL 109-114
Oct 30@MIAL 125-145
Nov 01VS BKN
PPG APG RPG MPG STLS BLKS GP
13.251.501.5021.250.750.254
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups DeMar DeRozan
DateOpponentResult
Oct 26VS GSL 114-134
Oct 28@NOW 104-91
Oct 30@PHOW 127-120
PPG APG RPG MPG STLS BLKS GP
10.503.752.5025.001.500.254
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up ❱ Ratings Comparison
Rating Aaron Nesmith
12.12
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating DeMar DeRozan
15.65
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up ❱ Career Comparison
Career Aaron Nesmith
YEAR TEAM GP M FG% 3P% FT% PPG AST REB BLK STL TO
20-21 BOS 38 13.1 .415 .353 .700 4.0 0.4 2.4 0.2 0.3 0.5
21-22 BOS 57 10.8 .413 .298 .828 4.2 0.5 1.7 0.1 0.4 0.6
22-23 IND 73 24.2 .425 .360 .838 10.0 1.3 3.8 0.5 0.8 1.0
23-24 IND 78 27.7 .483 .404 .794 12.1 1.6 3.8 0.7 0.9 0.9
24-25 IND 50 25.0 .510 .441 .917 12.3 1.2 4.2 0.4 0.8 0.8
25-26 IND 45 29.2 .414 .379 .829 13.8 1.9 4.2 0.5 0.6 1.4
26-27 IND 5 21.0 .396 .345 .875 12.4 1.4 2.0 0.2 0.6 1.4
3-YEAR AVG 67 27.5 .467 .405 .839 12.4 1.5 4.2 0.6 0.8 1.0
Totals 400 22.1 .449 .381 .837 9.4 1.2 3.5 0.4 0.6 0.9
Career DeMar DeRozan
YEAR TEAM GP M FG% 3P% FT% PPG AST REB BLK STL TO
09-10 TOR 77 21.6 .499 .250 .763 8.6 0.7 2.9 0.2 0.5 0.8
10-11 TOR 82 34.6 .467 .96 .813 17.2 1.8 3.8 0.4 1.0 1.8
11-12 TOR 63 34.8 .422 .261 .810 16.7 2.0 3.3 0.3 0.8 2.0
12-13 TOR 81 36.6 .444 .274 .831 18.1 2.5 3.9 0.3 0.9 1.8
13-14 TOR 79 38.0 .429 .305 .824 22.7 4.0 4.3 0.4 1.1 2.2
14-15 TOR 60 34.8 .413 .284 .832 20.1 3.5 4.6 0.2 1.2 2.3
15-16 TOR 77 35.7 .446 .333 .851 23.5 4.0 4.5 0.3 1.1 2.2
16-17 TOR 73 35.4 .467 .268 .841 27.2 3.9 5.2 0.2 1.0 2.4
17-18 TOR 79 33.8 .457 .313 .823 23.0 5.2 3.9 0.3 1.1 2.2
18-19 SA 77 34.7 .481 .156 .831 21.2 6.2 6.0 0.5 1.1 2.6
19-20 SA 61 34.1 .526 .267 .843 22.2 5.6 5.7 0.2 1.0 2.4
20-21 SA 53 33.8 .489 .247 .885 21.7 7.4 4.4 0.2 0.9 2.0
21-22 CHI 85 35.4 .497 .331 .875 26.6 4.8 5.1 0.3 0.9 2.3
22-23 CHI 75 35.7 .505 .319 .870 24.8 5.1 4.7 0.5 1.1 2.1
23-24 CHI 81 37.4 .481 .339 .853 24.0 5.4 4.3 0.6 1.1 1.7
24-25 SAC 78 35.6 .477 .330 .857 22.4 4.4 3.9 0.4 0.8 1.4
25-26 SAC 77 30.7 .497 .320 .868 18.4 4.1 2.9 0.3 1.0 1.2
26-27 DEN 5 25.6 .400 .222 .810 11.0 3.0 2.4 0.2 1.2 1.8
3-YEAR AVG 79 34.6 .484 .331 .858 21.6 4.6 3.7 0.4 1.0 1.4
Totals 1279 34.2 .470 .301 .843 21.1 4.1 4.3 0.3 1.0 2.0
The EDGE you need to WIN!
  • Optimal Lineups
  • Predictive Analytics Waiver Advice
  • Trade Suggestions & More

RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 8
ARI @DAL
ATL @TB
BAL @BUF
CAR @GB
CHI @SEA
CIN vs TEN
CLE @PIT
DEN vs KC
DET vs MIN
HOU vs BYE
IND @JAC
LAC @LAR
LV @NYJ
MIA vs NE
NO vs BYE
NYG vs BYE
PHI @WAS
SF vs BYE
Matchup Time Pitchers
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
BKN @IND 5:00 PM EST
BOS @ORL 3:30 PM EST
GS vs LAC 8:30 PM EST
LAL vs TOR 9:00 PM EST
Matchup Time
ANA vs OTT 8:00 PM EST
CAR vs WPG 1:00 PM EST
EDM @NYR 6:00 PM EST
MIN @WAS 3:30 PM EST
PHI vs UTA 4:00 PM EST