NBA
BOS
ORL
o222.5
+6.5
3:30PM • PREVIEW NBCS
BKN
IND
o230.5
-3.5
5:00PM • PREVIEW DAZN
LAC
GS
o218.5
-1.5
8:30PM • PREVIEW NBCS
TOR
LAL
o226.5
-4.5
9:00PM • PREVIEW SPEC

Bobby Portis Jr. or Aaron Nesmith

Who Should I Start? - Week 3 • Start New
Bobby Portis Jr.

Bobby Portis Jr.

PF • Miami Heat MIA
Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith

PF • Indiana Pacers IND
OR
EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Portis Jr. over Nesmith

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Portis Jr. ... 16.67%

BOTH ... 66.67%

PROJECTION
FPTS: 22.5
MIN FG% FT% 3P% 3PM 3PA 2PM FTA FTM FGA FGM OREB DREB A/T DD TD PF REB AST BLK PTS STL TO FPTS
90 0.438 0.8 0.44 18.7 7.6 15 3.3 2.8 36 14.7 2.5 24.7 1.3 0.67 0 8 26.9 6.7 2.9 38 4.1 5.3 22.5
MIN FG% FT% 3P% 3PM 3PA 2PM FTA FTM FGA FGM OREB DREB A/T DD TD PF REB AST BLK PTS STL TO FPTS
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Outlook Bobby Portis Jr.

Bobby Portis Jr. vs. Pacers — Dependable Frontcourt Bench Value in Up-Tempo Spot

Portis enters Friday healthy as Miami's primary frontcourt reserve behind Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bam Adebayo. Over his first five games this season, the veteran big man has carved out a stable 24-minute role, averaging 10.4 points, 8.2 rebounds, and 2.0 triples per contest. Fantasy managers have taken note of his reliable peripheral production, pushing his rostered rate up to 52% alongside surging weekly start percentages.

Our models project Portis for 26 fantasy points, 10 points, and eight rebounds over 24 minutes against Indiana. He should benefit from a high-scoring environment, as Miami hosts an up-tempo Pacers squad in a game with an elevated 236.5 total. Tonight also wraps up Miami's three-game weekly slate, making Portis a dependable closing stream.

FantasySP AI Analysis Updated 1 day ago
Latest News Bobby Portis Jr.
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EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Nesmith over Portis Jr.

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Nesmith ... 16.67%

BOTH ... 66.67%

PROJECTION
FPTS: 19
MIN FG% FT% 3P% 3PM 3PA 2PM FTA FTM FGA FGM OREB DREB A/T DD TD PF REB AST BLK PTS STL TO FPTS
72.8 0.435 0.861 0.372 15.4 6.3 12.5 7.1 6.1 28.1 12.5 1.9 6.8 1.1 0.01 0 8 8.5 4.7 1.1 37.9 1.5 3.8 19
MIN FG% FT% 3P% 3PM 3PA 2PM FTA FTM FGA FGM OREB DREB A/T DD TD PF REB AST BLK PTS STL TO FPTS
27 0.477 0.867 0.41 5.4 2 5 2.4 2 10.2 4.9 0.5 2.2 1.1 0 0 2.6 3 2 0 14 0 1 20
Not available due to injury or suspension.
Learn More
Outlook Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith vs. Nets — Starting Wing Value with Haliburton Sidelined

Aaron Nesmith is listed as probable with a left hamstring strain and is expected to start on the wing against Brooklyn. Indiana remains shorthanded with Tyrese Haliburton sidelined, securing steady minutes for Nesmith. Through five games, the forward is averaging 12.4 points and 2.0 triples, while his fantasy start rate has rebounded to 16%.

Facing a winless Nets squad in a game with a 230.5 over/under, our models project Nesmith for 20 fantasy points and 14 points across 27 minutes. Looking ahead, Indiana's three-game slate next week offers steady rotational volume for managers seeking perimeter shooting depth.

FantasySP AI Analysis Updated 22 mins ago
Latest News Aaron Nesmith
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Next Up ❱ Performance Comparison
Performance Bobby Portis Jr.
Fantasy Chart Loading...

PPG APG RPG MPG STLS BLKS GP
9.672.338.0021.330.671.333
Season stats based on the past 7 days

PPG APG RPG MPG STLS BLKS GP
10.001.677.3322.501.000.836
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Aaron Nesmith
Fantasy Chart Loading...

PPG APG RPG MPG STLS BLKS GP
13.251.501.5021.250.750.254
Season stats based on the past 7 days

PPG APG RPG MPG STLS BLKS GP
12.401.402.0021.000.600.205
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up ❱ Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Bobby Portis Jr.
OWN
48%
+15.57 compared to last week
START
20%
+4.82 compared to last week
OWN/START Aaron Nesmith
OWN
20%
+3.39 compared to last week
START
16%
+7.37 compared to last week
Next Up ❱ Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Bobby Portis Jr.
64th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Aaron Nesmith
53rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up ❱ Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Bobby Portis Jr.

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 64th among PF's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 23rd with 142 total points (23.67 avg).
  • He is currently 184 points behind the leader: Victor Wembanyama
  • You have to be impressed by how much better he is performing. Can he keep this up or is it a fluke?

    • Performance Stats

  • Shooting 40.74% from the field this month. Not very good at all for a big man.
  • Shooting 42.86% from beyond the arc this month. Pretty damn good.
  • Assists per game numbers are 1.67 apg this month.
  • Rebounds per game numbers are pretty good for a center / power forward with 7.33 rpg this month.

    • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 6 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: PPG: +10, APG: +1.67, RPG: +7.33, MPG: +22.5 STLS: +1 BLKS: +0.83
Breakdown Aaron Nesmith

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 53rd among PF's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 41st with 86 total points (17.20 avg).
  • He is currently 240 points behind the leader: Victor Wembanyama
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.

    • Performance Stats

  • Shooting 39.58% from the field this month. I'd love to play against him in a game of 'HORSE'.
  • Shooting 34.48% from beyond the arc this month. Not too good.
  • Assists per game numbers are 1.17 apg this month.
  • Rebounds per game numbers are bad for a center / power forward at 1.67 rpg this month.

    • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 1 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: PPG: -1.93, APG: +0.4, RPG: -2.5, MPG: --10.33 STLS: +0.43 BLKS: --0.13
Next Up ❱ Health Check
Injury Bobby Portis Jr.

No Injury Reported

Injury Aaron Nesmith

HAMSTRING - Since Oct 31, 2026

Nesmith is dealing with an hamstring injury but is likely to take the court for the Pacers.
Next Up ❱ Matchup Comparison
Matchups Bobby Portis Jr.
DateOpponentResult
Oct 26VS DALL 109-113
Oct 28@ATLW 129-117
Oct 30VS INDW 145-125
Week Today Home Away
PPG APG RPG MPG STLS BLKS GP
9.672.338.0021.330.671.333
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Aaron Nesmith
DateOpponentResult
Oct 26@MILL 102-110
Oct 28VS PHIL 109-114
Oct 30@MIAL 125-145
Nov 01VS BKN
Week Today Home Away
PPG APG RPG MPG STLS BLKS GP
13.251.501.5021.250.750.254
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up ❱ Ratings Comparison
Rating Bobby Portis Jr.
15.63
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Aaron Nesmith
12.12
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up ❱ Career Comparison
Career Bobby Portis Jr.
YEAR TEAM GP M FG% 3P% FT% PPG AST REB BLK STL TO
26-27 MIA 6 22.5 .407 .429 .800 10.0 1.7 7.3 0.8 1.0 1.3
3-YEAR AVG 0 0.0 .0 .0 .0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Totals 6 22.5 .407 .429 .800 10.0 1.7 7.3 0.8 1.0 1.3
Career Aaron Nesmith
YEAR TEAM GP M FG% 3P% FT% PPG AST REB BLK STL TO
20-21 BOS 38 13.1 .415 .353 .700 4.0 0.4 2.4 0.2 0.3 0.5
21-22 BOS 57 10.8 .413 .298 .828 4.2 0.5 1.7 0.1 0.4 0.6
22-23 IND 73 24.2 .425 .360 .838 10.0 1.3 3.8 0.5 0.8 1.0
23-24 IND 78 27.7 .483 .404 .794 12.1 1.6 3.8 0.7 0.9 0.9
24-25 IND 50 25.0 .510 .441 .917 12.3 1.2 4.2 0.4 0.8 0.8
25-26 IND 45 29.2 .414 .379 .829 13.8 1.9 4.2 0.5 0.6 1.4
26-27 IND 5 21.0 .396 .345 .875 12.4 1.4 2.0 0.2 0.6 1.4
3-YEAR AVG 67 27.5 .467 .405 .839 12.4 1.5 4.2 0.6 0.8 1.0
Totals 400 22.1 .449 .381 .837 9.4 1.2 3.5 0.4 0.6 0.9
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Matchups

Week 8
ARI @DAL
ATL @TB
BAL @BUF
CAR @GB
CHI @SEA
CIN vs TEN
CLE @PIT
DEN vs KC
DET vs MIN
HOU vs BYE
IND @JAC
LAC @LAR
LV @NYJ
MIA vs NE
NO vs BYE
NYG vs BYE
PHI @WAS
SF vs BYE
Matchup Time Pitchers
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
BKN @IND 5:00 PM EST
BOS @ORL 3:30 PM EST
GS vs LAC 8:30 PM EST
LAL vs TOR 9:00 PM EST
Matchup Time
ANA vs OTT 8:00 PM EST
CAR vs WPG 1:00 PM EST
EDM @NYR 6:00 PM EST
MIN @WAS 3:30 PM EST
PHI vs UTA 4:00 PM EST