Outlook Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola looks to build momentum in a favorable road matchup against Washington despite ongoing ratio struggles.
The second-place Phillies (42-35) continue to rely on Aaron Nola as a staple in their starting rotation, even during a rocky stretch. Over his last 30 days, Nola has struggled with a 5.19 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP, though his strikeout stuff remains intact with 26 punchouts in 24.3 innings. With the Philadelphia bullpen currently missing Brad Keller, Nola's ability to pitch deep into games is vital.
Nola’s current elevated ratios contrast sharply with our season projection, which expects him to settle in with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 167.0 innings. Given his proven track record and a solid 9.48 K/9 this season, his recent rough outings appear to be a fluke. Expect positive regression to pull his numbers back toward his career norm, meaning fantasy managers should hold tight.
Nola has a single start this week on June 24 on the road against the Nationals, matching up against Miles Mikolas and his high 5.40 ERA. Our weekly models project Nola to strike out five over a quality outing, making this a highly favorable matchup to exploit. Given the soft opponent, he is a confident fantasy option. Verdict: Start.
Updated 2 days ago
