MIAMI GARDENS, FL - NOVEMBER 19: Miami Dolphins looks for an open receive from the pocket during the game between the Las Vegas Raiders and the Miami Dolphins on Sunday, November 19, 2023 at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, Fla. (Photo by Peter Joneleit/Icon Sportswire)
Best Week 13 Player Prop Bets
Please remember to “prop shop” and make sure you are looking at all the sportsbooks in your state to get the best value. This may require you to open multiple accounts at various sportsbooks across your state. It is totally worth it to find the best odds so you don’t pay more of a premium than you have to.
Tyler Conklin, New York Jets | OVER 21.5 receiving yards (FantasySP projects 30.5)
I've said for multiple weeks now that Conklin is the Jets WR2. The Jets have been so bad in this area that they benched Aaron Rodgers' favorite receiver , Allen Lazard, who they brought over specifically from Green Bay in the offseason. Atlanta has struggled to cover opposing tight ends for much of the season and Conklin probably only needs three catches to get the over on this prop. I could even see me betting the ladder up to about 35 yards especially because I think the Jets will be trailing and he can get some good garbage time production.
Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins | OVER 1.5 TD passes (FantasySP projects 2.1)
Whenever a bet looks too easy, it never is but this one is as close as it comes for me. I think Miami is going to blow out Washington and if that happens Tua should have at least three passing touchdowns. The only thing that can go wrong here is if DeVon Achane is back and steals some rushing touchdowns.
Brian Robinson, Jr., Washington Commanders | OVER 39.5 rushing yards (FantasySP projects 51.1)
One of the things that people tend to overlook is that Miami's defense allows a lot of yards rushing and some very big plays too. The way that Washington can stay in this game is to establish the run early and try to keep the game as close as possible before it becomes a blowout. I think Robinson can make one or two big runs here and should get much closer to the FantasySP projection than the current sportsbook prop.
The Steelers play a lot of man coverage which should be a perfect fit for Hollywood Brown. Moreover, Pittsburgh’s defense is so pass rush dependent that sometimes the secondary loses track of where receivers are on the field. What makes this prop so enticing is that Kyler Murray has terrific mobility. If Murray can get out of the pocket and make one or two big throws downfield to Brown he might even be able to win this prop on one big play.
