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Jaylin Noel or A.J. Brown

Who Should I Start? - Week 7 • Start New
Jaylin Noel

Jaylin Noel

WR • Houston Texans HOU
A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown

WR • New England Patriots NE
OR
EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Noel over Brown

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Noel ... 6.67%

BOTH ... 20%

PROJECTION
FPTS: 11.29
REC REC YD REC TD FPTS
2.79 50.62 0.34 11.29
No projection for today.
Coming soon.
Outlook Jaylin Noel

Jaylin Noel vs. Giants — Explosive Efficiency Faces Crowded Target Tree

Noel has emerged as an explosive weapon over the past two weeks, hauling in all nine of his targets for 148 yards and two touchdowns while ranking among the league leaders in yards per route run. However, Houston's wide receiver room is increasingly crowded following the trade for Marvin Harrison Jr. and Tank Dell returning to full practice participation, keeping Noel in a rotational role behind Dell in the slot.

Fantasy managers have taken notice—his roster rate surged up to 33%—yet our projections anticipate a modest stat line of roughly two receptions for 24 yards. With Houston favored by double digits at home, game flow could limit pass volume, leaving Noel as a high-risk, boom-or-bust deep league option.


FantasySP AI Analysis Updated 53 mins ago
Latest News Jaylin Noel
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EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Brown over Noel

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Brown ... 63.33%

BOTH ... 20%

PROJECTION
FPTS: 8.56
REC REC YD REC TD FPTS
3.46 36.9 0.12 8.56
No projection for today.
Coming soon.
Outlook A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown at Chicago — Primed for Heavy Target Share in Projected Shootout

Brown enters Thursday night with no injury designation after logging a full practice, officially putting his ankle troubles behind him. While his Week 6 return was marred by drops (three catches on 10 targets), he immediately logged an 82% snap share. With Romeo Doubs placed on injured reserve, Brown is the primary focal point of New England's passing attack.

In a matchup boasting shootout potential, our projections peg Brown for roughly 4.4 receptions, 64 yards, and 13.5 fantasy points. His start rate has surged back to 76%, and fantasy managers should feel confident slotting him into their lineups across all formats as a high-upside WR2.


FantasySP AI Analysis Updated 53 mins ago
Latest News A.J. Brown
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Performance Jaylin Noel
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
410726.8501
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
914816.4502
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance A.J. Brown
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
3279.0150
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
3279.0150
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up ❱ Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Jaylin Noel
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 BUF 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 CIN 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 @IND 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 DAL 🔓 🔓 🔓
5 @TEN 🔓 🔓 🔓
6 @JAC 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches A.J. Brown
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @SEA 🔓 🔓 🔓
6 PIT 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up ❱ Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Jaylin Noel
OWN
33%
+23.67 compared to last week
START
 
10%
+7.36 compared to last week
OWN/START A.J. Brown
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
76%
+70.56 compared to last week
Next Up ❱ Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Jaylin Noel
41st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus A.J. Brown
20th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up ❱ Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Jaylin Noel

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 41st among WR's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 22nd with 48.00 total points (8.00 avg).
  • Currently 67.86 points behind the leader: Jaxon Smith-Njigba
  • He is doing much better than most people thought he would.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have increased by 5.5 PPG. If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 75 in receptions, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 53rd among WR.
  • Top 75 in targets, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 68th among WR.
  • Top 25 in reception yards with 334 and 19.65 YPC and is currently ranked 22nd among WR.
  • Top 35 in Rec TDs with 2 and is currently ranked 31st among WR.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 6 in rush attempts with 4 (0.67 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among WR.
  • Top 10 in rush yards with 26 (4.33 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among WR.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +12, Rec Yards: +312 Rec TDs: +1,
  • Big play ability! If your league has bonus points for long REC TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 45, REC YDS: 500, REC TDS: 6
Breakdown A.J. Brown

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 20th among WR's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 124th with 5.30 total points (2.65 avg).
  • Currently 110.56 points behind the leader: Jaxon Smith-Njigba
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.1 PPG.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 100 in targets, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 94th among WR.
  • Rushing Stats

    Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 4 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: -19, Rec Yards: -221 Rec TDs: -1,
  • You do realize that this guy has no receiving touchdowns right?
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 75, REC YDS: 865, REC TDS: 8
Next Up ❱ Health Check
Injury Jaylin Noel

No Injury Reported

Injury A.J. Brown

No Injury Reported

Next Up ❱ Matchup Comparison
Matchups Jaylin Noel

Week 7
Houston Texans VS New York Giants

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.33334.1796813.16
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 22nd among DST's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 15th with 35.00 total points (5.83 avg).
  • Currently 24 points behind the leader: Vikings DST
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 2.8 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in turnovers with 9 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Ranked 29th in rush defense with 813 (135.50 per game).
  • Top 8 in pass defense with 1192 (198.67 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 8 in interceptions with 6 (1.00 per game) and currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 22 in points against with 23.33 per game and currently ranked 21st among DST.
  • Top 12 in Total TDs with 1 (0.17 per game) and currently ranked 12th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -52.66, Turnovers: +4 Sacks: -5, INTs: +2, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: -0.67,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 33, INT: 11, TDS: 4, PA/G: 27.4, YDS/G: 382
Matchups A.J. Brown

Week 7
New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
19.83318.50931703.89
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 16th among DST's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 8th with 42.00 total points (7.00 avg).
  • Currently 17 points behind the leader: Vikings DST
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 8 in total yards against with 318.50 per game and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 12 in turnovers with 9 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Top 10 in rush defense with 543 (90.50 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Ranked 17th in pass defense with 1368 (228.00 per game).
  • Top 8 in sacks with 17 (2.83 per game) and currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 8 in points against with 19.83 per game and currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 30th in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -57.3, Turnovers: -3 Sacks: +9, INTs: -5, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: -8.37,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 35, INT: 15, TDS: 3, PA/G: 25.9, YDS/G: 384.4
Next Up ❱ Ratings Comparison
Rating Jaylin Noel
11.72
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating A.J. Brown
15.73
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up ❱ Career Comparison
Career Jaylin Noel
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2025 HOU 15 37 27 296 11.0 2 7 17 2.4 0
2026 HOU 6 21 17 334 19.6 2 4 26 6.5 0
ON PACE 18 63 51 1002 19.6 6 12 78 6.5 0
3-YEAR AVG 8 19 14 148 11 1 4 9 2.4 0
Totals 22 59 44 630 14.3 4 11 43 3.9 0
Career A.J. Brown
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2019 TEN 16 84 52 1051 20.2 8 3 60 20 1
2020 TEN 15 116 76 1158 15.2 12 0 0 0 0
2021 TEN 13 105 63 869 13.8 5 2 10 5 0
2022 PHI 16 146 88 1496 17.0 11 0 0 0 0
2023 PHI 16 158 106 1456 13.7 7 0 0 0 0
2024 PHI 13 97 67 1079 16.1 7 0 0 0 0
2025 PHI 16 131 86 1113 12.9 8 0 0 0 0
2026 NE 2 14 6 53 8.8 0 0 0 0 0
ON PACE 6 42 18 159 8.8 0 0 0 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 17 136 90 1270 14.1 8 0 0 0 0
Totals 116 895 566 8513 15.0 60 5 70 14 1
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Matchups

Week 7
ARI vs DEN
ATL vs SF
BAL vs CIN
BUF vs BYE
CAR vs TB
CHI vs NE
CLE @TEN
DAL @PHI
DET vs GB
HOU vs NYG
IND @MIN
JAC vs BYE
KC @SEA
LAC vs BYE
LAR @LV
MIA @NYJ
NO vs PIT
WAS vs BYE
Matchup Time Pitchers
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
CLE @PHI 7:00 PM EST
DEN @OKC 9:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
ANA @NJ 7:00 PM EST
BOS vs NSH 7:00 PM EST
CAR @EDM 9:00 PM EST
CGY vs MIN 9:00 PM EST
DAL vs WPG 8:00 PM EST
DET @VAN 10:00 PM EST
FLA @PIT 7:00 PM EST
LA @NYI 7:30 PM EST
NYR @TOR 7:00 PM EST
OTT vs SJ 7:00 PM EST
SEA vs UTA 10:00 PM EST
STL vs VGK 8:00 PM EST