NFL
SF
LAR
o48.5
-3.5
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NYG
o48.5
+3
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KC
o42.5
-2.5
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SEA
o44.5
-3.5
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o47.5
+3
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CIN
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-7
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KC Concepcion or Jaylin Noel

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
KC Concepcion

KC Concepcion

WRCleveland Browns CLE
Jaylin Noel

Jaylin Noel

WRHouston Texans HOU
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Concepcion over Noel

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook KC Concepcion

Dynamic Rookie Slot Weapon Primed for Immediate Target Volume

First-round pick KC Concepcion enters his rookie campaign as Cleveland's primary slot receiver alongside Jerry Jeudy and Denzel Boston. Offensive coordinator Todd Monken has lauded his route-running maturity, indicating plans to design touches in space and make the rookie an offensive focal point from day one.

Camp reports highlighted his playmaking after he earned joint-practice honors in August. Our projections anticipate immediate involvement, forecasting 65 receptions on 90 targets for 730 receiving yards and three touchdowns (145.0 fantasy points). While start percentages sit low at 4%, an 82% roster rate shows managers eagerly stashing his upside.

Concepcion's draft stock has steadily cooled, drifting from an ADP near 120 in late July down to 166. With our models expecting solid WR3/FLEX potential in full PPR formats, this market dip turns the dynamic rookie into an appealing late-round draft-day value rather than an overvalued reach.


Updated 8 hrs ago

Latest News KC Concepcion
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Noel over Concepcion

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Jaylin Noel

Expanding Slot Role Offers Late-Round PPR Appeal in Houston

Entering his second campaign, Jaylin Noel is positioned for an expanded role in Houston's passing attack. With Tank Dell sidelined on injured reserve, Noel is slated to step into primary slot duties alongside outside receivers Nico Collins and Kayshon Boutte. After posting 27 catches for 296 yards and two scores as a rookie, Noel showcased encouraging chemistry with C.J. Stroud throughout camp.

Draft boards have largely overlooked him. Noel's ADP drifted from the 240s in late July down toward pick 288 by early September after an early stay on the non-football injury list and a late-August hamstring tweak. However, our projections see legitimate value in that price drop, forecasting 43 receptions, 460 yards, and three touchdowns on 60 targets.

Rostered in roughly 11% of fantasy leagues, Noel represents a sensible late-round dart throw or waiver stash in deeper 1.0 PPR formats. If he shakes his recent hamstring designation, his runway for meaningful early-season snaps makes him a viable contributor.


Updated 8 hrs ago

Latest News Jaylin Noel
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Performance KC Concepcion
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Jaylin Noel
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches KC Concepcion
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Jaylin Noel
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 BUF 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 CIN 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 @IND 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 DAL 🔓 🔓 🔓
5 @TEN 🔓 🔓 🔓
7 @JAC 🔓 🔓 🔓
8 NYG 🔓 🔓 🔓
9 BYE 🔓 🔓 🔓
10 @LAC 🔓 🔓 🔓
11 @CLE 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 IND 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 BAL 🔓 🔓 🔓
13 @PIT 🔓 🔓 🔓
14 @WAS 🔓 🔓 🔓
15 JAC 🔓 🔓 🔓
16 @PHI 🔓 🔓 🔓
17 @GB 🔓 🔓 🔓
18 TEN 🔓 🔓 🔓
20 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START KC Concepcion
OWN
82%
+5.41 compared to last week
START
 
4%
+2.89 compared to last week
OWN/START Jaylin Noel
OWN
11%
-1.83 compared to last week
START
 
0%
0 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus KC Concepcion
43rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Jaylin Noel
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown KC Concepcion

    Overview

  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years:
  • Season Outlook

Breakdown Jaylin Noel

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among WR's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 93rd with 43.30 total points (2.28 avg).
  • Currently 266 points behind the leader: Puka Nacua
  • He is listed on the injury report about his Hamstring (Since Aug 31, 2026). Check out his player news for a closer look.
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 2.3 PPG.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 100 in receptions, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 92nd among WR.
  • Top 100 in targets, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 100th among WR.
  • Top 100 in Rec TDs with 2, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 92nd among WR.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 20 in rush attempts with 7 (0.39 per game) and is currently ranked 20th among WR.
  • Top 50 in rush yards with 17 (0.94 per game) and is currently ranked 39th among WR.
  • He is top 100 in rush tds with 0 (0.00 per game), though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 84th among WR.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 19 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +27, Rec Yards: +296 Rec TDs: +2,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 43, REC YDS: 460, REC TDS: 3
Next Up Health Check
Injury KC Concepcion

No Injury Reported

Injury Jaylin Noel

HAMSTRING - Since Aug 31, 2026

Week 1
Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups KC Concepcion

Week 1
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
20.17319.8932223343.03
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 5th with 147.00 total points (8.17 avg).
  • Currently 80 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 8.2.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in total yards against with 338.71 per game and is currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Top 2 in turnovers with 31 (1.82 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 2 in rush defense with 1510 (88.82 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among DST.
  • Ranked 21st in pass defense with 4248 (249.88 per game).
  • Top 2 in interceptions with 22 (1.29 per game) and currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 8 in points against with 19.76 per game and currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 4 in Total TDs with 4 (0.24 per game) and currently ranked 3rd among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -60.29, Turnovers: +22 Sacks: -3, INTs: +14, TDs: +3, Points Allowed: -3.89,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 27, INT: 13, TDS: 5, PA/G: 21, YDS/G: 322.6
Matchups Jaylin Noel

Week 1
Houston Texans VS Buffalo Bills

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
22.21287.8923163734.12
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 14th with 114.00 total points (6.00 avg).
  • Currently 113 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 6.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 4 in total yards against with 321.76 per game and is currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Ranked 28th in rush defense with 2423 (142.53 per game).
  • Top 2 in pass defense with 3047 (179.24 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among DST.
  • Top 12 in points against with 21.47 per game and currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Top 8 in Total TDs with 3 (0.18 per game) and currently ranked 8th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -10.01, Turnovers: -17 Sacks: -6, INTs: -7, TDs: -2, Points Allowed: +1.51,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 15, TDS: 4, PA/G: 22.8, YDS/G: 311.4
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating KC Concepcion
15.12
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Jaylin Noel
9.84
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career KC Concepcion
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
ON PACE NAN NAN NAN NAN NAN NAN NAN 0 NAN
3-YEAR AVG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0
Career Jaylin Noel
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2025 HOU 15 37 27 296 11.0 2 7 17 2.4 0
ON PACE 68 167 122 1332 11.0 9 32 77 2.4 0
3-YEAR AVG 8 19 14 148 11 1 4 9 2.4 0
Totals 16 38 27 296 11.0 2 7 17 2.4 0
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ARI @LAC
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CAR vs CHI
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CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
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ARI @HOU 07:15 EDT EST
ATH @SEA 09:40 EDT EST
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CHW vs MIN 07:10 EDT EST
CIN vs MIL 06:40 EDT EST
CLE vs DET 06:10 EDT EST
COL vs STL 08:10 EDT EST
KC vs TOR 07:10 EDT EST
LAA @PIT 06:40 EDT EST
LAD vs WAS 09:10 EDT EST
NYM vs SF 04:10 EDT EST
NYY @SD 07:15 EDT EST
TB @TEX 07:05 EDT EST
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