NFL
SF
LAR
o48.5
-3.5
8:35PM • PREVIEW NFLX
DAL
NYG
o48.5
+3
8:20PM • PREVIEW NBC/P
DEN
KC
o42.5
-2.5
8:15PM • PREVIEW ABC/E
NE
SEA
o44.5
-3.5
8:20PM • PREVIEW NBC/P
CHI
CAR
o47.5
+3
1:00PM • PREVIEW FOX
TB
CIN
o50.5
-3.5
1:00PM • PREVIEW FOX
NO
DET
o50
-7
1:00PM • PREVIEW FOX
BUF
HOU
o44.5
+1
1:00PM • PREVIEW CBS/P
BAL
IND
o48
+3.5
1:00PM • PREVIEW CBS/P
CLE
JAX
o40.5
-8
1:00PM • PREVIEW CBS/P
ATL
PIT
o42
-3
1:00PM • PREVIEW FOX
NYJ
TEN
o39
-1.5
1:00PM • PREVIEW CBS/P
ARI
LAC
o47
-10
4:25PM • PREVIEW CBS/P
MIA
LV
o40
-3.5
4:25PM • PREVIEW FOX
GB
MIN
o46
-1.5
4:25PM • PREVIEW CBS/P
WAS
PHI
o44.5
-5.5
4:25PM • PREVIEW FOX

Luther Burden or KC Concepcion

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Luther Burden

Luther Burden

WRChicago Bears CHI
KC Concepcion

KC Concepcion

WRCleveland Browns CLE
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Burden over Concepcion

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Luther Burden

Poised for a Sophomore Leap as Preseason Injury Discounts His Draft Cost

Entering his second NFL campaign, Luther Burden is positioned as a starting outside receiver opposite Rome Odunze in Chicago's Caleb Williams-led offense. After flashing high efficiency with 740 receiving yards as a rookie, Burden drew consistent praise from head coach Ben Johnson throughout offseason workouts, cementing his place as an integral weapon in this retooled passing attack.

Market sentiment cooled significantly after an early-August groin strain sidelined him for the preseason. Once an early-round target hovering in the low 40s, his ADP tumbled into the mid-60s over health concerns. With Burden now fully recovered and practicing without restriction, that draft-day dip has transformed him into an appealing value in 1.0 PPR leagues.

Our models project Burden for 78 receptions, 960 receiving yards, and 6 touchdowns, totaling 208 fantasy points. Fantasy managers have already responded, pushing his start rate back above 60% heading into Week 1. Given his projected volume alongside Odunze, Burden offers strong WR2 upside at a suppressed market cost.


Updated 8 hrs ago

Latest News Luther Burden
Loading...
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Concepcion over Burden

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook KC Concepcion

Dynamic Rookie Slot Weapon Primed for Immediate Target Volume

First-round pick KC Concepcion enters his rookie campaign as Cleveland's primary slot receiver alongside Jerry Jeudy and Denzel Boston. Offensive coordinator Todd Monken has lauded his route-running maturity, indicating plans to design touches in space and make the rookie an offensive focal point from day one.

Camp reports highlighted his playmaking after he earned joint-practice honors in August. Our projections anticipate immediate involvement, forecasting 65 receptions on 90 targets for 730 receiving yards and three touchdowns (145.0 fantasy points). While start percentages sit low at 4%, an 82% roster rate shows managers eagerly stashing his upside.

Concepcion's draft stock has steadily cooled, drifting from an ADP near 120 in late July down to 166. With our models expecting solid WR3/FLEX potential in full PPR formats, this market dip turns the dynamic rookie into an appealing late-round draft-day value rather than an overvalued reach.


Updated 8 hrs ago

Latest News KC Concepcion
Loading...
Performance Luther Burden
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance KC Concepcion
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Luther Burden
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @CAR 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 MIN 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 PHI 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 NYJ 🔓 🔓 🔓
6 @GB 🔓 🔓 🔓
7 @ATL 🔓 🔓 🔓
8 NE 🔓 🔓 🔓
9 @SEA 🔓 🔓 🔓
10 TB 🔓 🔓 🔓
11 BYE 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 NO 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 @DET 🔓 🔓 🔓
13 JAC 🔓 🔓 🔓
14 @MIA 🔓 🔓 🔓
15 @BUF 🔓 🔓 🔓
16 GB 🔓 🔓 🔓
17 DET 🔓 🔓 🔓
18 @MIN 🔓 🔓 🔓
19 🔓 🔓 🔓
20 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches KC Concepcion
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Luther Burden
OWN
100%
+0.89 compared to last week
START
62%
+6.25 compared to last week
OWN/START KC Concepcion
OWN
82%
+5.41 compared to last week
START
 
4%
+2.89 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Luther Burden
20th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus KC Concepcion
43rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Luther Burden

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 21st among WR's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 45th with 93.20 total points (4.66 avg).
  • Currently 216.1 points behind the leader: Puka Nacua
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.7 PPG.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 50 in receptions and is currently ranked 41st among WR.
  • Top 75 in targets, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 59th among WR.
  • Top 50 in reception yards with 698 and 13.96 YPC and is currently ranked 40th among WR.
  • Top 100 in Rec TDs with 2, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 90th among WR.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 25 in rush attempts with 7 (0.39 per game) and is currently ranked 21st among WR.
  • Top 15 in rush yards with 52 (2.89 per game) and is currently ranked 13th among WR.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 20 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +56, Rec Yards: +764 Rec TDs: +2,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 78, REC YDS: 960, REC TDS: 6
Breakdown KC Concepcion

    Overview

  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years:
  • Season Outlook

Next Up Health Check
Injury Luther Burden

No Injury Reported

Injury KC Concepcion

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Luther Burden

Week 1
Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.00338.5022163123.39
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 16th with 103.00 total points (5.72 avg).
  • Currently 124 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.7.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in turnovers with 21 (1.24 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Ranked 23rd in rush defense with 2243 (131.94 per game).
  • Top 12 in pass defense with 3850 (226.47 per game) and is currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Top 8 in interceptions with 15 (0.88 per game) and currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 16 in points against with 22.35 per game and currently ranked 15th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 15th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -56.26, Turnovers: +6 Sacks: -5, INTs: +8, TDs: +2, Points Allowed: -6.94,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 35, INT: 13, TDS: 2, PA/G: 23.8, YDS/G: 347.7
Matchups KC Concepcion

Week 1
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
20.17319.8932223343.03
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 5th with 147.00 total points (8.17 avg).
  • Currently 80 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 8.2.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in total yards against with 338.71 per game and is currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Top 2 in turnovers with 31 (1.82 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 2 in rush defense with 1510 (88.82 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among DST.
  • Ranked 21st in pass defense with 4248 (249.88 per game).
  • Top 2 in interceptions with 22 (1.29 per game) and currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 8 in points against with 19.76 per game and currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 4 in Total TDs with 4 (0.24 per game) and currently ranked 3rd among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -60.29, Turnovers: +22 Sacks: -3, INTs: +14, TDs: +3, Points Allowed: -3.89,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 27, INT: 13, TDS: 5, PA/G: 21, YDS/G: 322.6
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Luther Burden
19.75
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating KC Concepcion
15.12
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Luther Burden
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2025 CHI 16 72 53 740 14.0 2 8 48 6 0
ON PACE 72 324 239 3330 14.0 9 36 216 6 0
3-YEAR AVG 8 33 25 349 14 1 4 26 7.4 0
Totals 18 79 56 764 13.6 2 9 48 5.3 0
Career KC Concepcion
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
ON PACE NAN NAN NAN NAN NAN NAN NAN 0 NAN
3-YEAR AVG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0
The Premium Start tool.
  • Optimal Lineups
  • Predictive Analytics Waiver Advice
  • Trade Suggestions & More

RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @HOU 07:15 EDT EST
ATH @SEA 09:40 EDT EST
ATL @PHI 06:05 EDT EST
BAL vs BOS 07:05 EDT EST
CHC @MIA 04:10 EDT EST
CHW vs MIN 07:10 EDT EST
CIN vs MIL 06:40 EDT EST
CLE vs DET 06:10 EDT EST
COL vs STL 08:10 EDT EST
KC vs TOR 07:10 EDT EST
LAA @PIT 06:40 EDT EST
LAD vs WAS 09:10 EDT EST
NYM vs SF 04:10 EDT EST
NYY @SD 07:15 EDT EST
TB @TEX 07:05 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled