NFL
SF
LAR
o48.5
-3.5
8:35PM • PREVIEW NFLX
DAL
NYG
o48.5
+3
8:20PM • PREVIEW NBC/P
DEN
KC
o42.5
-2.5
8:15PM • PREVIEW ABC/E
NE
SEA
o44.5
-3.5
8:20PM • PREVIEW NBC/P
CHI
CAR
o47.5
+3
1:00PM • PREVIEW FOX
TB
CIN
o50.5
-3.5
1:00PM • PREVIEW FOX
NO
DET
o50
-7
1:00PM • PREVIEW FOX
BUF
HOU
o44.5
+1
1:00PM • PREVIEW CBS/P
BAL
IND
o48
+3.5
1:00PM • PREVIEW CBS/P
CLE
JAX
o40.5
-8
1:00PM • PREVIEW CBS/P
ATL
PIT
o42
-3
1:00PM • PREVIEW FOX
NYJ
TEN
o39
-2
1:00PM • PREVIEW CBS/P
ARI
LAC
o47
-10
4:25PM • PREVIEW CBS/P
MIA
LV
o40
-3.5
4:25PM • PREVIEW FOX
GB
MIN
o46
-1.5
4:25PM • PREVIEW CBS/P
WAS
PHI
o44.5
-5.5
4:25PM • PREVIEW FOX

Kenny Gainwell or Josh Downs

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Kenny Gainwell

Kenny Gainwell

RBTampa Bay Bucs TB
Josh Downs

Josh Downs

WRIndianapolis Colts IND
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Gainwell over Downs

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Kenny Gainwell

Plummeting Draft Cost Unlocks Sneaky PPR Value in Tampa Bay

Operating as the secondary back behind Bucky Irving in Tampa Bay's offense, Kenny Gainwell enters the year primed for passing-down work. Training camp highlights showcased his dynamic agility in space, reaffirming his value as a reliable target for Baker Mayfield. While Irving handles early downs, Gainwell's receiving role secures standalone PPR value.

Our models project Gainwell for 485 rushing yards and four touchdowns on 135 carries, alongside 40 receptions for 325 yards and two scores. Totaling 171.0 fantasy points, his usage guarantees a steady floor. With a 94% roster rate but just an 18% start rate, managers are wisely treating him as a high-upside bench stash.

Market sentiment has cratered over the past month, with his ADP sliding four full rounds from pick 100 down to 143. That steep decline turns Gainwell into a prime late-round bargain. At this deflated cost, he is an efficient pass-catching dart throw whose draft-day value easily outpaces current market panic.


Updated 3 hrs ago

Latest News Kenny Gainwell
Loading...
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Downs over Gainwell

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Josh Downs

Sinking ADP Offers Tremendous Late-Round PPR Upside

Josh Downs enters his contract year as the Colts' primary slot weapon while head coach Shane Steichen plans to utilize him both inside and outside. Although Indianapolis added veteran wideout Keenan Allen alongside Alec Pierce, Downs should still command steady underneath looks in full-PPR formats.

Draft sentiment has cooled sharply over the last month. After peaking near pick 94 in mid-August, his draft cost plunged to an ADP around 151 following minor groin and calf scares during camp. That draft-day drop transforms Downs from a mid-round gamble into an exceptional value for managers seeking reliable floor depth.

Our projections anticipate Downs bouncing back with 72 receptions for 750 yards and 4 touchdowns on 111 targets (172.0 fantasy points). While crowded target competition caps explosive ceiling outcomes, his dependable slot role provides reliable WR3 and Flex viability well above his discounted market price.


Updated 3 hrs ago

Latest News Josh Downs
Loading...
Performance Kenny Gainwell
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Josh Downs
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Kenny Gainwell
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Josh Downs
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 BAL 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 @KC 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 HOU 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 @WAS 🔓 🔓 🔓
5 @PIT 🔓 🔓 🔓
6 TEN 🔓 🔓 🔓
7 @MIN 🔓 🔓 🔓
8 @JAC 🔓 🔓 🔓
9 DAL 🔓 🔓 🔓
10 MIA 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 @HOU 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 NYG 🔓 🔓 🔓
13 BYE 🔓 🔓 🔓
14 @PHI 🔓 🔓 🔓
15 @TEN 🔓 🔓 🔓
16 CIN 🔓 🔓 🔓
17 @CLE 🔓 🔓 🔓
18 JAC 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Kenny Gainwell
OWN
95%
+0.96 compared to last week
START
19%
-0.89 compared to last week
OWN/START Josh Downs
OWN
87%
+1.92 compared to last week
START
12%
-3.36 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Kenny Gainwell
37th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Josh Downs
41st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Kenny Gainwell

    Overview

  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years:
  • Season Outlook

Breakdown Josh Downs

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 41st among WR's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 52nd with 79.40 total points (4.41 avg).
  • Currently 229.9 points behind the leader: Puka Nacua
  • He should be doing a bit better than this. Look for him to bounce back.
  • He is listed on the injury report about his Calf (Since Aug 31, 2026). Check out his player news for a closer look.
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.4 PPG.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 35 in receptions and is currently ranked 34th among WR.
  • Top 50 in targets and is currently ranked 38th among WR.
  • Top 20 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 16th among WR.
  • Top 50 in Rec TDs with 4 and is currently ranked 49th among WR.
  • Rushing Stats

  • He is top 75 in rush tds with 0 (0.00 per game), though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 56th among WR.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: -5, Rec Yards: -181 Rec TDs: -1,
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 72, REC YDS: 750, REC TDS: 4
Next Up Health Check
Injury Kenny Gainwell

No Injury Reported

Injury Josh Downs

CALF - Since Aug 31, 2026

Week 1
Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Kenny Gainwell

Week 1
Tampa Bay Bucs @ Cincinnati Bengals

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.94416.2420133523.76
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 26th with 77.00 total points (4.53 avg).
  • Currently 150 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.5 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 31st in rush defense with 2607 (153.35 per game).
  • Ranked 27th in pass defense with 4469 (262.88 per game).
  • Top 12 in interceptions with 13 (0.76 per game) and currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.94 per game and currently ranked 30th among DST.
  • Top 14 in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) and currently ranked 14th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +45.36, Turnovers: -5 Sacks: +3, INTs: -4, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: +3.53,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 38, INT: 13, TDS: 4, PA/G: 30.8, YDS/G: 404.7
Matchups Josh Downs

Week 1
Indianapolis Colts VS Baltimore Ravens

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.41383.2920113023.94
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 20th with 93.00 total points (5.47 avg).
  • Currently 134 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.5.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in rush defense with 1891 (111.24 per game) and is currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Ranked 29th in pass defense with 4625 (272.06 per game).
  • Top 18 in points against with 23.41 per game and currently ranked 18th among DST.
  • Top 12 in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) and currently ranked 12th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +70.61, Turnovers: +1 Sacks: -26, INTs: EVEN, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +2.15,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 40, INT: 13, TDS: 3, PA/G: 24.9, YDS/G: 376.8
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Kenny Gainwell
15.71
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Josh Downs
15.77
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Kenny Gainwell
RUSH RECEIVING
YEAR TEAM GP ATT YD AVG TD TGTS REC YD AVG TD
ON PACE NAN NAN NAN NAN NAN NAN NAN NAN
3-YEAR AVG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0
Career Josh Downs
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2023 IND 16 98 68 771 11.3 2 0 0 0 0
2024 IND 14 107 72 803 11.2 5 1 12 12 0
2025 IND 16 93 60 576 9.6 4 2 -2 -1 0
ON PACE 72 419 270 2592 9.6 18 9 -9 -1 0
3-YEAR AVG 16 99 67 717 10.8 4 1 3 3.3 0
Totals 48 298 200 2150 10.8 11 3 10 3.3 0
The EDGE you need to WIN!
  • Optimal Lineups
  • Predictive Analytics Waiver Advice
  • Trade Suggestions & More

RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @HOU 07:15 EDT EST
ATH @SEA 09:40 EDT EST
ATL @PHI 06:05 EDT EST
BAL vs BOS 07:05 EDT EST
CHC @MIA 04:10 EDT EST
CHW vs MIN 07:10 EDT EST
CIN vs MIL 06:40 EDT EST
CLE vs DET 06:10 EDT EST
COL vs STL 08:10 EDT EST
KC vs TOR 07:10 EDT EST
LAA @PIT 06:40 EDT EST
LAD vs WAS 09:10 EDT EST
NYM vs SF 04:10 EDT EST
NYY @SD 07:15 EDT EST
TB @TEX 07:05 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled