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LAR
o48.5
-3.5
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NYG
o48.5
+3
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DEN
KC
o43
-2.5
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NE
SEA
o44.5
-3.5
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CHI
CAR
o47.5
+3
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TB
CIN
o50.5
-3.5
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NO
DET
o50
-7
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HOU
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+1
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IND
o48
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Kenny Gainwell or Derrick Henry

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Kenny Gainwell

Kenny Gainwell

RBTampa Bay Bucs TB
Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry

RBBaltimore Ravens BAL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Gainwell over Henry

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Kenny Gainwell

High-Floor PPR Value Emerging as Tampa Bay's Pass-Catching Spark

Kenny Gainwell enters the season operating as a pivotal change-of-pace weapon in Tampa Bay's backfield behind Bucky Irving. While not slated for workhorse duties, Gainwell's standout receiving chops—highlighted by flashy plays during camp drills—carve out a defined pass-catching role in this offense.

Market sentiment has shifted substantially over the summer. After holding an ADP near the top-100 mark in late July, his draft cost plummeted into the 140s as backfield clarity favored a split workload. In 1.0 PPR leagues, this cooling price creates a clear buying opportunity against our projections.

Our models forecast 480 rushing yards and 40 receptions on 68 targets, totaling 171 fantasy points. While fantasy managers currently start him in just 17% of leagues despite 95% rostership, Gainwell represents a high-floor flex option with weekly standalone value and significant contingent upside.


Updated 22 hrs ago

Latest News Kenny Gainwell
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Henry over Gainwell

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Derrick Henry

Elite Workhorse Volume and Goal-Line Dominance Cement High-End RB1 Status

Entering his 11th season, Derrick Henry shows virtually no signs of slowing down as Baltimore's undisputed workhorse. Stationed atop the depth chart ahead of Justice Hill, Henry remains primed for massive weekly touch counts. Camp reports confirm the coaching staff plans to feed him his standard heavy workload.

Draft market confidence has steadily grown throughout the summer. After hovering near pick 22 in late July, his ADP has climbed to 18.5, cementing his status as a priority second-round target. Even in full PPR formats where his target share is minimal, our data views him as a high-floor value given his sheer volume.

Our models project 305 carries for 1,425 rushing yards and 14 scores, pacing toward 275 fantasy points. Operating alongside Lamar Jackson creates massive interior running lanes and frequent goal-line trips. Despite passing age 32, Henry's unrivaled conditioning and heavy carry share keep him firmly in the high-end RB1 conversation.


Updated 22 hrs ago

Latest News Derrick Henry
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Performance Kenny Gainwell
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Derrick Henry
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Kenny Gainwell
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Derrick Henry
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @IND 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 NO 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 @DAL 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 TEN 🔓 🔓 🔓
5 @ATL 🔓 🔓 🔓
6 @CLE 🔓 🔓 🔓
8 CIN 🔓 🔓 🔓
9 @BUF 🔓 🔓 🔓
10 JAC 🔓 🔓 🔓
11 LAC 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 @CAR 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 @HOU 🔓 🔓 🔓
13 BYE 🔓 🔓 🔓
14 TB 🔓 🔓 🔓
15 @PIT 🔓 🔓 🔓
16 CLE 🔓 🔓 🔓
17 @CIN 🔓 🔓 🔓
18 PIT 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Kenny Gainwell
OWN
94%
+0.48 compared to last week
START
18%
-1.37 compared to last week
OWN/START Derrick Henry
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
100%
No change since last week.
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Kenny Gainwell
37th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Derrick Henry
10th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Kenny Gainwell

    Overview

  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years:
  • Season Outlook

Breakdown Derrick Henry

    Overview

  • Just about every team utilizies the dreaded 'running backs by comittee' policy. Two solid #1 starters are hard to find.
  • Experts rank this player at 11th among RB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 6th with 285.30 total points (15.85 avg).
  • Currently 80.3 points behind the leader: Christian McCaffrey
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 15.9.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 75 in receptions, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 53rd among RB.
  • Top 75 in targets, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 51st among RB.
  • Ranked 114th in Rec TDs among RB.
  • Top 3 in red zone attempts and is currently ranked 3rd among RB.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 3 in rush attempts with 328 (18.22 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among RB.
  • Top 3 in rush yards with 1659 (92.17 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd among RB.
  • Top 3 in rush tds with 18 (1.00 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among RB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Rush Yards: -277, Rush AVG: -0.9 Rush TDs: +3, Receptions: EVEN, Rec Yards: +4 Rec TDs: -2,
  • His touches per game on the ground are great.
  • Season Outlook

  • RUSH ATT: 305, RUSH YDS: 1425, RUSH TDS: 14, REC: 15, REC YDS: 130, REC TDS: 1
Next Up Health Check
Injury Kenny Gainwell

No Injury Reported

Injury Derrick Henry

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Kenny Gainwell

Week 1
Tampa Bay Bucs @ Cincinnati Bengals

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.94416.2420133523.76
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 26th with 77.00 total points (4.53 avg).
  • Currently 150 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.5 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 31st in rush defense with 2607 (153.35 per game).
  • Ranked 27th in pass defense with 4469 (262.88 per game).
  • Top 12 in interceptions with 13 (0.76 per game) and currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.94 per game and currently ranked 30th among DST.
  • Top 12 in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) and currently ranked 12th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +45.36, Turnovers: -5 Sacks: +3, INTs: -4, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: +3.53,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 38, INT: 13, TDS: 4, PA/G: 30.8, YDS/G: 404.7
Matchups Derrick Henry

Week 1
Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
24.24393.7621143913.33
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 19th with 95.00 total points (5.59 avg).
  • Currently 132 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.6.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in turnovers with 21 (1.24 per game) and is currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Top 10 in rush defense with 1880 (110.59 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Ranked 32nd in pass defense with 4814 (283.18 per game).
  • Top 10 in interceptions with 14 (0.82 per game) and currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Top 22 in points against with 24.24 per game and currently ranked 21st among DST.
  • Currently ranked 24th in Total TDs with 1 (0.06 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +22.76, Turnovers: EVEN Sacks: +5, INTs: +1, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: -0.82,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 33, INT: 12, TDS: 3, PA/G: 25.8, YDS/G: 371.7
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Kenny Gainwell
15.71
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Derrick Henry
27.48
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Kenny Gainwell
RUSH RECEIVING
YEAR TEAM GP ATT YD AVG TD TGTS REC YD AVG TD
ON PACE NAN NAN NAN NAN NAN NAN NAN NAN
3-YEAR AVG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0
Career Derrick Henry
RUSH RECEIVING
YEAR TEAM GP ATT YD AVG TD TGTS REC YD AVG TD
2016 TEN 14 110 490 4.5 5 15 13 137 10.5 0
2017 TEN 16 176 744 4.2 5 17 11 136 12.4 1
2018 TEN 16 215 1059 4.9 12 18 15 100 6.7 0
2019 TEN 15 303 1539 5.1 16 25 18 206 11.4 2
2020 TEN 16 396 2067 5.2 17 34 22 125 5.7 0
2021 TEN 8 219 937 4.3 10 20 18 154 8.6 0
2022 TEN 16 349 1538 4.4 13 41 33 398 12.1 0
2023 TEN 16 280 1167 4.2 12 36 28 214 7.6 0
2024 BAL 16 325 1921 5.9 16 22 19 193 10.2 2
2025 BAL 16 328 1659 5.1 18 23 17 174 10.2 0
ON PACE 72 1476 7466 5.1 81 104 77 783 10.2 0
3-YEAR AVG 18 325 1672 5.1 16 28 21 194 9.1 1
Totals 156 2743 13391 4.9 127 253 194 1837 9.5 5
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ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @HOU 07:15 EDT EST
ATH @SEA 09:40 EDT EST
ATL @PHI 06:05 EDT EST
BAL vs BOS 07:05 EDT EST
CHC @MIA 04:10 EDT EST
CHW vs MIN 07:10 EDT EST
CIN vs MIL 06:40 EDT EST
CLE vs DET 06:10 EDT EST
COL vs STL 08:10 EDT EST
KC vs TOR 07:10 EDT EST
LAA @PIT 06:40 EDT EST
LAD vs WAS 09:10 EDT EST
NYM vs SF 04:10 EDT EST
NYY @SD 07:15 EDT EST
TB @TEX 07:05 EDT EST
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