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MIN
o36.5
-3.5
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CLE
o36.5
-2.5
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HOU
22
20
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PIT
17
0
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34
17
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o36.5
+2
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41
17
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+1.5
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Kenny Gainwell or Aaron Jones Sr.

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Kenny Gainwell

Kenny Gainwell

RBTampa Bay Bucs TB
Aaron Jones Sr.

Aaron Jones Sr.

RBMinnesota Vikings MIN
OR
๐Ÿ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Gainwell over Jones Sr.

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Kenny Gainwell

Pass-Catching Role Offers Solid PPR Floor in Tampa Bay

Operating in tandem with Bucky Irving in the Buccaneers backfield, Gainwell is positioned to handle key passing-down duties. Recent camp highlights showcase his agility and playmaking as a receiver, cementing a clear role in Tampa Bay's backfield rotation.

Our projections forecast 125 carries for 450 yards and four touchdowns, complemented by 40 catches for 325 yards and two scores through the air (171.0 PPR points). His current 24% start rate underlines his committee status, but his 68 projected targets provide a dependable weekly floor.

Gainwellโ€™s ADP has held steady around pick 99 over the past month after briefly touching 104 in late July. At this late-round draft cost, his passing-game involvement makes him a sensible value target for managers searching for steady depth in PPR formats.


Updated 17 hrs ago

Latest News Kenny Gainwell
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๐Ÿ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Jones Sr. over Gainwell

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Aaron Jones Sr.

Veteran Lead Role in Minnesota Offers High-Floor Value at a Sinking ADP

Aaron Jones enters the campaign atop the Vikings backfield depth chart, operating ahead of Jordan Mason and Demond Claiborne. While he may not command a massive 250-carry workload at age 31, his versatility and trusted pass protection keep him firmly in line for valuable touches and third-down work.

Our models project Jones for 715 rushing yards and six scores on 167 carries, complementing his ground work with 35 receptions for 270 yards and two touchdowns through the air. That balanced projection generates roughly 174 fantasy points in full-PPR formats, establishing a stable floor as a dependable FLEX option.

Draft market trends show Jones slipping from an early-summer ADP near 112 down to roughly 118, reflecting manager hesitation around age and workload management. At this declining price tag, Jones represents an undervalued asset whose reliable role and passing work easily outperform his discounted draft cost.


Updated 17 hrs ago

Latest News Aaron Jones Sr.
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Performance Kenny Gainwell
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Aaron Jones Sr.
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Kenny Gainwell
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Aaron Jones Sr.
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 GB ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
2 @CHI ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
8 @TB ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
9 MIA ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
10 @NO ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
11 BYE ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
12 IND ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
12 @DET ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
13 BUF ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
14 @GB ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
15 @SF ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
16 ATL ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
17 CAR ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
18 @NE ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Kenny Gainwell
OWN
94%
+0.52 compared to last week
START
23%
-11.08 compared to last week
OWN/START Aaron Jones Sr.
OWN
85%
-4.55 compared to last week
START
30%
-11.59 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Kenny Gainwell
36th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Aaron Jones Sr.
41st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Kenny Gainwell

    Overview

  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years:
  • Season Outlook

Breakdown Aaron Jones Sr.

    Overview

  • Just about every team utilizies the dreaded 'running backs by comittee' policy. Two solid #1 starters are hard to find.
  • Experts rank this player at 41st among RB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 44th with 96.40 total points (6.89 avg).
  • Currently 269.2 points behind the leader: Christian McCaffrey
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 6.9.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 35 in receptions and is currently ranked 32nd among RB.
  • Top 25 in targets and is currently ranked 24th among RB.
  • Top 50 in Rec TDs with 1 and is currently ranked 38th among RB.
  • Top 35 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 29th among RB.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 50 in rush yards with 589 (42.07 per game) and is currently ranked 38th among RB.
  • He is top 75 in rush tds with 2 (0.14 per game), though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 51st among RB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 3 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Rush Yards: -615, Rush AVG: -0.3 Rush TDs: -3, Receptions: -20, Rec Yards: -193 Rec TDs: -1,
  • Season Outlook

  • RUSH ATT: 167, RUSH YDS: 715, RUSH TDS: 6, REC: 35, REC YDS: 270, REC TDS: 2
Next Up Health Check
Injury Kenny Gainwell

No Injury Reported

Injury Aaron Jones Sr.

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Kenny Gainwell

Week 1
Tampa Bay Bucs @ Cincinnati Bengals

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.94416.2420133523.76
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 25th with 77.00 total points (4.53 avg).
  • Currently 150 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.5 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 31st in rush defense with 2607 (153.35 per game).
  • Ranked 27th in pass defense with 4469 (262.88 per game).
  • Top 12 in interceptions with 13 (0.76 per game) and currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.94 per game and currently ranked 30th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 18th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +45.36, Turnovers: -5 Sacks: +3, INTs: -4, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: +3.53,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 38, INT: 13, TDS: 4, PA/G: 30.8, YDS/G: 404.7
Matchups Aaron Jones Sr.

Week 1
Minnesota Vikings VS Green Bay Packers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
21.72316.831693703.21
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 23rd with 83.00 total points (4.61 avg).
  • Currently 144 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.6 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in total yards against with 335.47 per game and is currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Ranked 18th in rush defense with 2094 (123.18 per game).
  • Top 8 in pass defense with 3609 (212.29 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 12 in points against with 21.18 per game and currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 29th in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +35.93, Turnovers: -19 Sacks: -24, INTs: -12, TDs: -3, Points Allowed: +1.87,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 32, INT: 13, TDS: 3, PA/G: 22.5, YDS/G: 331.3
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Kenny Gainwell
15.21
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Aaron Jones Sr.
18.24
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Kenny Gainwell
RUSH RECEIVING
YEAR TEAM GP ATT YD AVG TD TGTS REC YD AVG TD
3-YEAR AVG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0
Career Aaron Jones Sr.
RUSH RECEIVING
YEAR TEAM GP ATT YD AVG TD TGTS REC YD AVG TD
2017 GB 10 81 448 5.5 4 18 9 22 2.4 0
2018 GB 12 133 729 5.5 8 35 26 206 7.9 1
2019 GB 16 236 1084 4.6 16 69 49 474 9.7 3
2020 GB 14 201 1104 5.5 9 63 47 355 7.6 2
2021 GB 15 171 799 4.7 4 65 52 391 7.5 6
2022 GB 16 213 1121 5.3 2 72 59 395 6.7 5
2023 GB 11 142 656 4.6 2 43 30 233 7.8 1
2024 MIN 16 255 1138 4.5 5 62 51 408 8.0 2
2025 MIN 13 141 589 4.2 2 45 31 215 6.9 1
3-YEAR AVG 15 197 886 4.5 4 54 40 296 7.5 1
Totals 130 1645 8068 4.9 56 493 366 2753 7.5 21
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs CIN 08:10 EDT EST
ATH @HOU 07:10 EDT EST
ATL @MIL 02:10 EDT EST
BAL vs TB 07:05 EDT EST
BOS vs SF 07:15 EDT EST
CHC @SEA 07:15 EDT EST
CHW vs NYM 07:10 EDT EST
CLE @COL 08:10 EDT EST
DET @KC 07:15 EDT EST
LAA @TEX 07:05 EDT EST
LAD vs PIT 07:15 EDT EST
MIA vs WAS 04:10 EDT EST
MIN @SD 08:40 EDT EST
NYY vs TOR 01:35 EDT EST
PHI vs STL 06:05 EDT EST
Matchup Time
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