Outlook Deebo Samuel Sr.
Reliable Target Share Boosts Floor Despite Shifting Fantasy Market Sentiment
Deebo Samuel Sr. enters the 2026 season looking to build on a productive 2025 campaign. Last year, he played 16 games, securing a career-high 72 receptions on 99 targets for 727 yards and five touchdowns. While his rushing workload decreased to just 17 attempts, his elevated target share demonstrated a transition into a more reliable receiving role.
Fantasy managers have shown some hesitation recently, with his rostered rate dipping from 57% in mid-May down to 34% by mid-June. This declining market sentiment presents an intriguing buying opportunity. Our models suggest his established floor as a consistent target earner makes him a stable asset, even if his explosive dual-threat ceiling has normalized.
Without major depth chart obstacles, Samuel remains a primary weapon in the passing game. He averaged a solid 10.1 yards per reception last season and remains a highly efficient playmaker. If he can maintain his health and secure a similar target share, he projects as a steady weekly starter with comfortable WR2 upside.
Updated 9 hrs ago
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Outlook Calvin Ridley
Shifting Titans Depth Chart Leaves Veteran Wideout Facing Career-Low Target Volume
Calvin Ridley enters the season as the veteran presence in a heavily reshaped Tennessee passing offense. While listed atop the depth chart at right wide receiver, the 31-year-old faces new target competition following the addition of first-round rookie Carnell Tate and slot receiver Wan'Dale Robinson. With rookie quarterback Cam Ward taking over the reins under center, Ridley's target share is expected to decline in this younger, evolving offense.
In the draft market, Ridley's ADP has shown significant volatility, climbing from the 210s in early May into the mid-150s before settling back around the late-190s in mid-June. Fantasy managers in 1.0 PPR leagues are increasingly viewing him as a late-round depth piece rather than a reliable weekly starter, resulting in a low roster rate of just 28 percent.
Our projections expect a modest campaign, predicting 36 receptions for 548 yards and two touchdowns. Given his sinking ADP, Ridley is shaping up as a cheap bench stash, though his low projected ceiling makes him more of a falling asset than a true draft-day steal.
Updated 9 hrs ago
