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DeVonta Smith or Derrick Henry

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith

WRPhiladelphia Eagles PHI
Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry

RBBaltimore Ravens BAL
OR
๐Ÿ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Smith over Henry

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook DeVonta Smith

Poised for Expanded Target Share and WR1 Elevation

DeVonta Smith enters the season firmly entrenched as the leading outside receiver in Philadelphia's offense, carrying immense high-end upside heading into the fall. With offseason reports highlighting his pristine physical condition and coaching staff anticipation for increased opportunities, our projections place him for 82 receptions, 1,084 receiving yards, and 6 touchdowns across a full campaign. His ADP has demonstrated steady movement over the past month, stabilizing around pick 38 after hovering slightly deeper in June, reflecting growing confidence in his expanded role within the passing attack.

Operating alongside teammates like Makai Lemon and Dontayvion Wicks on the depth chart, Smith commands a cemented role that shields him from committee concerns and positions him as a primary weapon for Jalen Hurts. His extensive track record includes five consecutive seasons surpassing 800 receiving yards, reinforcing a reliable baseline floor for fantasy managers who select him as a trusted mid-round anchor.

Fantasy managers selecting him at his current market price are acquiring a player whose trajectory points squarely toward elite productivity. While target distribution in a talented Eagles offense introduces minor weekly variance, his route consistency and proven ability to thrive in high-leverage situations make him a prime draft-day value steal in 1.0 PPR formats.


Updated 16 hrs ago

Latest News DeVonta Smith
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๐Ÿ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Henry over Smith

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Derrick Henry

Entering Year 11 as Baltimore's undisputed lead back with elite touchdown upside

Derrick Henry enters his eleventh NFL season and second with Baltimore firmly entrenched as the lead runner atop the offensive depth chart. Despite turning 32, our models project another heavy workload with 286 rushing attempts, 1,468 yards, and 13 touchdowns. His draft stock has remained remarkably steady at an ADP of 22 in 1.0 PPR formats over the summer months, reflecting unwavering confidence from fantasy managers who continue to view him as a high-end RB2 anchor with top-tier ceiling potential.

Operating in a potent Ravens ground game alongside Lamar Jackson, Henry's role remains secure despite sharing the backfield rotation with Justice Hill. His historic efficiency and extraordinary tackle-breaking metrics from previous seasons suggest he can continue to defy age-related decline. While fantasy managers should always monitor health for aging runners, his strict offseason training and durable track record provide immense reassurance for managers investing early-round draft capital.

Ultimately, our season projections peg him for over 260 total fantasy points, making his current market price a solid value proposition given his unmatched goal-line dominance. Fantasy managers drafting him as an RB2 or late first-round turn option can expect consistent weekly production driven by massive rushing volume and a high probability of double-digit scoring plays.


Updated 16 hrs ago

Latest News Derrick Henry
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Performance DeVonta Smith
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Derrick Henry
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches DeVonta Smith
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 WAS ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
2 @TEN ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
3 @CHI ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
4 LAR ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
5 @JAC ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
6 CAR ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
7 DAL ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
8 @WAS ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
10 NYG ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
11 BYE ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
12 PIT ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
12 @DAL ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
13 @ARI ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
14 IND ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
15 SEA ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
16 HOU ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
17 @SF ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
18 @NYG ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
19 ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Derrick Henry
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @IND ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
2 NO ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
3 @DAL ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
4 TEN ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
5 @ATL ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
6 @CLE ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
8 CIN ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
9 @BUF ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
10 JAC ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
11 LAC ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
12 @CAR ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
12 @HOU ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
13 BYE ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
14 TB ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
15 @PIT ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
16 CLE ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
17 @CIN ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“
18 PIT ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“ ๐Ÿ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START DeVonta Smith
OWN
98%
+0.12 compared to last week
START
79%
+1.07 compared to last week
OWN/START Derrick Henry
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
100%
No change since last week.
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus DeVonta Smith
14th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Derrick Henry
11th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown DeVonta Smith

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 15th among WR's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 20th with 140.70 total points (7.41 avg).
  • Currently 168.6 points behind the leader: Puka Nacua
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.4.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 15 in receptions and is currently ranked 14th among WR.
  • Top 20 in targets and is currently ranked 16th among WR.
  • Top 15 in reception yards with 1097 and 13.22 YPC and is currently ranked 14th among WR.
  • Top 75 in Rec TDs with 4, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 51st among WR.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 50 in rush tds with 0 (0.00 per game) and is currently ranked 42nd among WR.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +23, Rec Yards: +334 Rec TDs: -4,
  • Known to break out for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long REC TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 82, REC YDS: 1084, REC TDS: 6
Breakdown Derrick Henry

    Overview

  • Just about every team utilizies the dreaded 'running backs by comittee' policy. Two solid #1 starters are hard to find.
  • Experts rank this player at 12th among RB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 6th with 285.30 total points (15.85 avg).
  • Currently 80.3 points behind the leader: Christian McCaffrey
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 15.9.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 75 in receptions, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 52nd among RB.
  • Top 75 in targets, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 51st among RB.
  • Top 100 in Rec TDs with 0, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 78th among RB.
  • Top 3 in red zone attempts and is currently ranked 3rd among RB.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 3 in rush attempts with 328 (18.22 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among RB.
  • Top 3 in rush yards with 1659 (92.17 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd among RB.
  • Top 3 in rush tds with 18 (1.00 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among RB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Rush Yards: -277, Rush AVG: -0.9 Rush TDs: +3, Receptions: EVEN, Rec Yards: +4 Rec TDs: -2,
  • His touches per game on the ground are great.
  • Season Outlook

  • RUSH ATT: 286, RUSH YDS: 1468, RUSH TDS: 13, REC: 17, REC YDS: 161, REC TDS: 1
Next Up Health Check
Injury DeVonta Smith

No Injury Reported

Injury Derrick Henry

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups DeVonta Smith

Week 1
Philadelphia Eagles VS Washington Commanders

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
26.53398.651084223.76
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 29th with 72.00 total points (4.24 avg).
  • Currently 155 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.2 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 27th in rush defense with 2406 (141.53 per game).
  • Ranked 23rd in pass defense with 4371 (257.12 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 26.53 per game and currently ranked 27th among DST.
  • Top 14 in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) and currently ranked 13th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +48.94, Turnovers: -7 Sacks: +3, INTs: EVEN, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +2.12,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 42, INT: 10, TDS: 4, PA/G: 28.2, YDS/G: 408
Matchups Derrick Henry

Week 1
Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
24.24393.7621143913.82
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 19th with 95.00 total points (5.59 avg).
  • Currently 132 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.6.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 12 in turnovers with 21 (1.24 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Top 10 in rush defense with 1880 (110.59 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Ranked 32nd in pass defense with 4814 (283.18 per game).
  • Top 10 in interceptions with 14 (0.82 per game) and currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Top 22 in points against with 24.24 per game and currently ranked 21st among DST.
  • Currently ranked 24th in Total TDs with 1 (0.06 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +22.76, Turnovers: EVEN Sacks: +5, INTs: +1, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: -0.82,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 40, INT: 13, TDS: 2, PA/G: 25.8, YDS/G: 371.7
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating DeVonta Smith
21.40
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Derrick Henry
28.30
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career DeVonta Smith
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2021 PHI 16 103 64 916 14.3 5 0 0 0 0
2022 PHI 16 136 95 1210 12.7 7 0 0 0 0
2023 PHI 16 112 81 1066 13.2 7 0 0 0 0
2024 PHI 13 89 68 833 12.3 8 1 1 1 0
2025 PHI 16 124 83 1097 13.2 4 0 0 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 17 118 85 1111 13 7 0 0 1 0
Totals 89 617 431 5627 13.1 33 1 1 1 0
Career Derrick Henry
RUSH RECEIVING
YEAR TEAM GP ATT YD AVG TD TGTS REC YD AVG TD
2016 TEN 14 110 490 4.5 5 15 13 137 10.5 0
2017 TEN 16 176 744 4.2 5 17 11 136 12.4 1
2018 TEN 16 215 1059 4.9 12 18 15 100 6.7 0
2019 TEN 15 303 1539 5.1 16 25 18 206 11.4 2
2020 TEN 16 396 2067 5.2 17 34 22 125 5.7 0
2021 TEN 8 219 937 4.3 10 20 18 154 8.6 0
2022 TEN 16 349 1538 4.4 13 41 33 398 12.1 0
2023 TEN 16 280 1167 4.2 12 36 28 214 7.6 0
2024 BAL 16 325 1921 5.9 16 22 19 193 10.2 2
2025 BAL 16 328 1659 5.1 18 23 17 174 10.2 0
3-YEAR AVG 18 325 1672 5.1 16 28 21 194 9.1 1
Totals 156 2743 13391 4.9 127 253 194 1837 9.5 5
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @WAS 06:45 EDT EST
ATH @MIN 08:10 EDT EST
ATL @BAL 07:05 EDT EST
BOS vs TOR 07:15 EDT EST
CHC @PIT 06:40 EDT EST
CHW vs HOU 07:40 EDT EST
CIN @STL 08:15 EDT EST
CLE @TB 07:10 EDT EST
COL @MIL 04:10 EDT EST
DET vs KC 06:40 EDT EST
LAA @SF 10:15 EDT EST
LAD @NYM 07:10 EDT EST
MIA vs SD 07:10 EDT EST
NYY @PHI 06:45 EDT EST
SEA @TEX 08:05 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled