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Alvin Kamara or J.K. Dobbins

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara

RBNew Orleans Saints NO
J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins

RBDenver Broncos DEN
OR
πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Kamara over Dobbins

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Alvin Kamara

Declining Draft Cost Offers Value Despite Crowded New Orleans Backfield

Alvin Kamara surprised the Saints by reporting early to OTAs, putting to rest any speculation of offseason tension. Under offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, the veteran back is slated to share the backfield with newly signed Travis Etienne Jr. While Etienne is listed ahead of him on the depth chart, we anticipate a productive committee.

Draft market trends show Kamara's PPR ADP remaining stubbornly stable in the late-130s to mid-140s, reflecting market caution over his age and new committee. This flat trajectory makes him a strong value in full-PPR formats, where his historic target-earning ability could easily outperform this depressed draft cost.

We project Kamara for 86 carries, 356 rushing yards, and 25 receptions for 171 yards. This projected workload limits his weekly ceiling, but his high roster ownership of nearly 85% shows managers still value him. He represents a steady bench option at a heavily depressed draft price.


Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Alvin Kamara
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πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Dobbins over Kamara

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook J.K. Dobbins

Lead Back Role in Denver Offers Major Fantasy Value at Shifting ADP

J.K. Dobbins enters the campaign listed atop the depth chart for Denver's backfield, ahead of young competitors RJ Harvey and Jonah Coleman. This positioning gives him the inside track to command the lion's share of early-down work after showing high efficiency last season, where he averaged a strong 5.0 yards per carry across ten appearances.

Our models project a highly productive year for Dobbins, forecasting 188 carries for 924 rushing yards and six touchdowns, alongside 20 receptions. While his limited involvement in the passing game caps his explosive upside in PPR formats, his projected volume on the ground keeps him firmly in the weekly RB2 or flex conversation.

Highlighting his fantasy momentum, Dobbins' ADP has steadily climbed from the mid-90s in early May to around 85 in early June. This rising market sentiment reflects growing confidence in his health and clear path to touches, making him an outstanding value opportunity at his current draft price before it rises further.


Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News J.K. Dobbins
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Performance Alvin Kamara
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance J.K. Dobbins
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ATT YDS AVG TD REC YDS TD
0000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Alvin Kamara
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @DET πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 @BAL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 LV πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 ATL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
5 MIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 @NYG πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
7 PIT πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 CLE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
10 CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 @CHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 @CIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 @CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 @TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 ARI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 @ATL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
18 TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches J.K. Dobbins
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @KC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 JAC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 LAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 @SF πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
5 @LAC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 SEA πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
7 @ARI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 KC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 @CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
10 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Alvin Kamara
OWN
85%
-2.12 compared to last week
START
 
6%
0 compared to last week
OWN/START J.K. Dobbins
OWN
43%
+0.93 compared to last week
START
 
4%
+0.09 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Alvin Kamara
51st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus J.K. Dobbins
32nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Alvin Kamara

    Overview

  • Just about every team utilizies the dreaded 'running backs by comittee' policy. Two solid #1 starters are hard to find.
  • Experts rank this player at 50th among RB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 54th with 69.20 total points (3.84 avg).
  • Currently 296.4 points behind the leader: Christian McCaffrey
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Decline in numbers lately by 3.8 PPG.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 25 in receptions and is currently ranked 25th among RB.
  • Top 35 in targets and is currently ranked 29th among RB.
  • Ranked 121st in Rec TDs among RB.
  • Top 35 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 30th among RB.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 50 in rush yards with 482 (26.78 per game) and is currently ranked 47th among RB.
  • He is top 75 in rush tds with 1 (0.06 per game), though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 69th among RB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Rush Yards: -468, Rush AVG: -0.6 Rush TDs: -5, Receptions: -33, Rec Yards: -353 Rec TDs: -2,
  • He is not getting enough touches to make a significant impact on the ground
  • Season Outlook

  • RUSH ATT: 86, RUSH YDS: 356, RUSH TDS: 2, REC: 25, REC YDS: 171, REC TDS: 1
Breakdown J.K. Dobbins

    Overview

  • Just about every team utilizies the dreaded 'running backs by comittee' policy. Two solid #1 starters are hard to find.
  • Experts rank this player at 33rd among RB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 40th with 104.90 total points (10.49 avg).
  • Currently 260.7 points behind the leader: Christian McCaffrey
  • He is putting up close to the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 10.5.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 75 in receptions, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 67th among RB.
  • Top 75 in targets, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 67th among RB.
  • Ranked 131st in Rec TDs among RB.
  • Ranked 149th in targets and is currently among RB.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 25 in rush attempts with 153 (15.30 per game) and is currently ranked 35th among RB.
  • Top 35 in rush yards with 772 (77.20 per game) and is currently ranked 28th among RB.
  • Top 50 in rush tds with 4 (0.40 per game) and is currently ranked 40th among RB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Rush Yards: -70, Rush AVG: +0.2 Rush TDs: -5, Receptions: -18, Rec Yards: -104 Rec TDs: EVEN,
  • His touches per game on the ground are great.
  • Season Outlook

  • RUSH ATT: 188, RUSH YDS: 924, RUSH TDS: 6, REC: 20, REC YDS: 119, REC TDS: 1
Next Up Health Check
Injury Alvin Kamara

No Injury Reported

Injury J.K. Dobbins

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Alvin Kamara

Week 1
New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
24.29382.0619134913.15
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 18th with 97.00 total points (5.71 avg).
  • Currently 130 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.7.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 17th in rush defense with 2069 (121.71 per game).
  • Ranked 25th in pass defense with 4426 (260.35 per game).
  • Top 4 in sacks with 49 (2.88 per game) and currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Top 12 in interceptions with 13 (0.76 per game) and currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Top 22 in points against with 24.29 per game and currently ranked 22nd among DST.
  • Currently ranked 26th in Total TDs with 1 (0.06 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +83.49, Turnovers: -10 Sacks: -3, INTs: -8, TDs: EVEN, Points Allowed: +2.29,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 24, INT: 13, TDS: 2, PA/G: 25.8, YDS/G: 352.6
Matchups J.K. Dobbins

Week 1
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
19.29325.8214103503.39
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 21st with 90.00 total points (5.29 avg).
  • Currently 137 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.3.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 8 in total yards against with 325.82 per game and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 8 in rush defense with 1871 (110.06 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 8 in pass defense with 3668 (215.76 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 6 in points against with 19.29 per game and currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 32nd in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +71.09, Turnovers: -14 Sacks: -20, INTs: -6, TDs: -2, Points Allowed: +2.79,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 36, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 20.5, YDS/G: 320.4
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Alvin Kamara
9.98
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating J.K. Dobbins
18.45
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Alvin Kamara
RUSH RECEIVING
YEAR TEAM GP ATT YD AVG TD TGTS REC YD AVG TD
2017 NO 16 120 728 6.1 8 101 82 826 10.1 5
2018 NO 15 194 883 4.6 14 105 81 709 8.8 4
2019 NO 14 171 797 4.7 5 97 81 533 6.6 1
2020 NO 16 210 1031 4.9 17 109 85 773 9.1 5
2021 NO 13 240 898 3.7 4 67 47 439 9.3 5
2022 NO 15 223 898 4.0 2 77 57 490 8.6 2
2023 NO 13 180 694 3.9 5 87 75 466 6.2 1
2024 NO 14 228 950 4.2 6 89 68 543 8.0 2
2025 NO 12 134 482 3.6 1 41 35 190 5.4 0
3-YEAR AVG 13 181 709 3.9 4 72 59 400 6.7 1
Totals 129 1718 7446 4.3 62 779 614 4989 8.1 25
Career J.K. Dobbins
RUSH RECEIVING
YEAR TEAM GP ATT YD AVG TD TGTS REC YD AVG TD
2020 BAL 16 143 848 5.9 10 25 19 114 6.0 0
2022 BAL 8 92 520 5.7 2 8 7 42 6.0 1
2023 BAL 1 8 22 2.8 1 3 2 15 7.5 0
2024 LAC 13 195 905 4.6 9 38 32 153 4.8 0
2025 DEN 10 153 772 5.0 4 14 11 37 3.4 0
3-YEAR AVG 8 103 503 4.9 4 18 15 84 5.6 1
Totals 51 623 3197 5.1 26 99 78 455 5.8 2
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Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs WAS 09:40 EDT EST
ATH @HOU 08:10 EDT EST
ATL vs PIT 07:15 EDT EST
BAL @TOR 07:07 EDT EST
BOS @NYY 07:05 EDT EST
CHC vs SF 02:20 EDT EST
CHW @PHI 06:40 EDT EST
CIN @STL 08:15 EDT EST
CLE @TEX 08:15 EDT EST
COL vs MIL 08:40 EDT EST
DET vs SEA 06:40 EDT EST
KC @MIN 08:15 EDT EST
LAA @LAD 10:10 EDT EST
MIA vs TB 07:10 EDT EST
NYM @SD 09:40 EDT EST
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled