Outlook J.K. Dobbins
Lead Early-Down Role Creates Appealing Draft-Day Value
Sitting atop Denver's backfield depth chart ahead of RJ Harvey and Jonah Coleman, J.K. Dobbins enters the year poised to handle primary early-down duties in Sean Payton's offense. Coming off a 2025 campaign where he averaged 5.0 yards per carry, Dobbins brings undeniable rushing efficiency to the table.
Draft market sentiment has cooled recently, with his ADP tumbling from around pick 90 in mid-August down past pick 130 following a minor soft-tissue scare in practice. However, with Payton confirming he is fine, this late-summer discount transforms him into a potential draft-day steal in 1.0 PPR formats.
Our projections forecast a solid workload of 215 carries for 965 rushing yards and seven total touchdowns (171.0 fantasy points). While limited passing-game involvement caps his overall ceiling, his rushing volume and red-zone role provide strong flex standalone value with high RB2 upside.
Updated 14 hrs ago
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Outlook David Montgomery
Lead Backfield Role in Houston Offers Strong Draft-Day Value
Following his offseason trade to Houston, David Montgomery enters the 2026 season atop the Texans' backfield depth chart. While camp reports indicate a near-even split with rookie Woody Marks, Montgomery’s veteran poise and interior power make him the clear favorite for primary early-down carries and critical goal-line touches in C.J. Stroud’s offense.
Our models project Montgomery for 227 rushing attempts, 935 yards, and seven touchdowns, paired with 30 receptions for 215 yards. Even if he cedes some third-down reps, his scoring upside in this productive offense ensures consistent fantasy utility and a steady weekly floor.
In the draft market, Montgomery’s ADP has steadily drifted from pick 50 down into the mid-60s over the past month as committee concerns emerged. For fantasy managers in full-PPR formats, this late-summer slide turns him into an outstanding draft-day bargain rather than an over-hyped reach.
Updated 14 hrs ago
