Outlook Dustin May
Dustin May battles severe ratio turbulence ahead of weekend start against Cincinnati
May has endured a turbulent stretch, posting a bloated 7.68 ERA and 1.77 WHIP over his last 30 days for the first-place Brewers, who are riding a three-game win streak. After escaping structural damage from a 106-mph comebacker in late August, he was hit hard again versus Texas and bluntly voiced frustration with his execution. He remains locked into Milwaukee's rotation as a reliable rotation staple, but recent command issues have severely compromised his immediate reliability.
This brutal slump is a steep decline from our season projection of a 4.21 ERA and 1.28 WHIP across 139 innings. While May flashed dominant upside earlier in the year, fatigue and recurring traffic trouble are catching up to him following his heaviest workload in years. His strikeout ability remains intact, but elevated contact rates suggest positive regression will not arrive until he recaptures the strike zone.
May makes one remaining start this week on Saturday at home against Cincinnati, squaring off against Brady Singer. While the matchup looks decent on paper, our weekly models project an abbreviated outing with an ERA north of 6.00 and high WHIP risk. Given his current tailspin, keep him benched in all competitive formats. Sit.
Updated 1 day ago
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Outlook Mason Adams
Mason Adams brings strikeout upside but carries severe ratio risk for Colorado
Adams has flashed intriguing strikeout stuff since stepping into the rotation, racking up 17 strikeouts across 13.2 innings over his last three starts. However, traffic has been an issue, evidenced by a 2.14 WHIP and 6.43 ERA in his most recent outing. With rotation injuries to Kyle Freeland and Chase Dollander keeping him slotted as a back-end starter, Adams looks to find consistency for a fifth-place Rockies squad that sits at 55-90 riding a three-game slide.
The right-hander's 11.59 K/9 proves his swing-and-miss ability is legitimate, but his 1.67 WHIP in his brief major league career warns of ongoing danger. Our projections anticipate his ratios settling near a 4.50 ERA and 1.39 WHIP over a larger sample, suggesting some slight positive regression. Even so, Adams allows too many hits to comfortably roster without significant risk to your weekly pitching categories.
Looking at the remaining slate, Adams is scheduled for a single outing on Friday on the road against the Detroit Tigers, opposing Framber Valdez. While pitching away from altitude helps his cause, his vulnerability to base traffic makes him far too risky for standard mixed leagues. Keep him on the bench this week until his command stabilizes. Sit.
Updated 1 day ago
