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Josh Hader or Devin Williams

Who Should I Start? - Week 12 • Start New
Josh Hader

Josh Hader

RPHouston Astros HOU
Devin Williams

Devin Williams

RPNew York Mets NYM
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Hader over Williams

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Josh Hader

Elite closer looks to overcome spring injuries and anchor the Houston bullpen

Josh Hader enters his second full season in Houston with clear security at the back of the bullpen. Despite a delayed start to his preparation due to shoulder issues and biceps tendinitis, the veteran southpaw remains the undisputed staff anchor for ninth-inning duties. At 32 years old, Hader still possesses elite, late-inning swing-and-miss stuff, though the Astros' training staff has indicated they will restrict him to single-inning appearances in the early going to preserve his arm health.

Our projections expect Hader to deliver an excellent 3.09 ERA, a 1.06 WHIP, and 30 saves over 64.0 innings. This baseline aligns well with his stellar career metrics, such as his 2025 campaign where he compiled a pristine 2.10 ERA and 28 saves with 76 strikeouts in 51.5 frames. While his walk rates can occasionally tick upward, his premium strikeout upside (projected for 75 strikeouts) more than offsets any minor ratio inflation, maintaining his status as a true category-stabilizing asset.

Drafted around ADP 133, Hader represents a premium closer target for fantasy managers willing to accept mild early-season health risks. Because his late-spring injury delayed his ramp-up, he may require a brief adjustment period, but his elite ceiling makes him a top-tier relief option who can easily anchor a fantasy bullpen. He remains a high-floor, high-upside investment on a competitive Houston squad.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Josh Hader
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Williams over Hader

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Devin Williams

Devin Williams battles walk issues but remains locked in as the Mets' primary closer.

Despite recent high-leverage control struggles, Williams remains the unquestioned primary closer for the fifth-place Mets (27-35). Over his last 30 days, he has pitched to a 4.34 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP with 13 strikeouts in 8.3 innings, locking down eight saves on the year. He continues to hold down the ninth inning of a bullpen currently missing injured arms like Clay Holmes.

While his current 5.81 ERA and 1.67 WHIP look scary, our models expect positive regression back toward his elite career baseline, projecting a 3.19 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. His high-strikeout upside remains fully intact with a 15.00 K/9 this season, meaning his trademark changeup should help him settle down and easily reach our projected 20-save mark.

Looking at the remainder of the week following a mid-week set with Seattle, the Mets travel to San Diego for a three-game series starting June 5. Facing Padres starters like Griffin Canning, who carries a vulnerable 7.16 ERA, should put the Mets in plenty of late-inning lead situations. Fire up Williams as a reliable weekly Start for saves and strikeouts.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Devin Williams
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Performance Josh Hader
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-001410.502
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-001410.502
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Devin Williams
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-000300.002
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
11.610-101652.264
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Josh Hader
OWN
90%
-0.1 compared to last week
START
75%
+61.7 compared to last week
OWN/START Devin Williams
OWN
85%
-0.83 compared to last week
START
80%
-2.22 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Josh Hader
10th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Devin Williams
11th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Josh Hader

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 11th among RP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 444th.
  • The current leader among RP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Not too impressive in saves and is currently ranked 107th with 1
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -1, L: EVEN, WHIP: -0.204, ERA: -1.333, K's: -37, Walks: -5
Breakdown Devin Williams

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 11th among RP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 36th.
  • The current leader among RP's is Cade Smith
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 233rd in WHIP with 1.78
  • Currently ranked 273rd in ERA with 7.40
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 59th with 11
  • Top 100 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 99th with 26
  • Top 100 in wins and is currently ranked 98th
  • Top 20 in saves and is currently ranked 16th with 6
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +1, L: EVEN, WHIP: -0.01, ERA: -1.618, K's: +1, Walks: +1
Next Up Health Check
Injury Josh Hader

No Injury Reported

Injury Devin Williams

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Josh Hader
DateOpponentResult
Jun 02VS PITBubba ChandlerL 6-10
Jun 03VS PITAJ BlubaughW 11-9
Jun 04VS PITJared JonesL 1-5
Jun 05VS ATHPeter LambertW 5-1
Jun 06VS ATHKade Morris
Jun 07VS ATHGage Jump
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-001410.502
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Devin Williams
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01@SEAGabe SpeierL 3-2
Jun 02@SEALogan GilbertL 8-3
Jun 03@SEAFreddy PeraltaW 1-7
Jun 05@SDChristian ScottW 0-5
Jun 06@SDGriffin Canning
Jun 07@SDRandy Vasquez
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-000200.001
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Josh Hader
11.36
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Devin Williams
10.98
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Josh Hader
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2017 MIL 35 43.0 779 68 22 0 2-3 2.3 1.09 14.2 137
2018 MIL 55 74.1 1316 143 30 12 6-1 2.66 0.89 17.3 358
2019 MIL 62 72.0 1211 140 21 37 3-6 3 0.89 17.5 496
2020 MIL 23 21.1 413 35 10 14 1-2 3.38 0.89 14.8 156
2021 MIL 59 59.1 950 101 24 32 4-3 1.37 0.83 15.3 348
2022 MIL 55 51.0 930 85 20 36 2-4 3.88 1.08 15 306
2023 SD 61 54.0 1042 85 30 33 2-3 1.33 1.15 14.2 319
2024 HOU 73 71.0 1216 105 27 34 8-8 3.93 1.04 13.3 354
2025 HOU 48 52.2 847 76 16 28 6-2 2.05 0.85 13 307
2026 HOU 2 2.0 35 4 1 1 0-0 0 0.5 18 13
ON PACE 4 5 87 9 2 2 0-0 0 0.5 18 31
3-YEAR AVG 61 58 1035 89 24 32 5-4 2.58 1.01 13.5 326
Career 473 493.2 8739 842 201 0 0-0 2.68 0.98 15.4
Career Devin Williams
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2019 MIL 13 13.2 270 14 6 0 0-0 3.95 1.76 9.2 23
2020 MIL 23 29.0 453 54 9 0 5-1 0.31 0.66 16.8 118
2021 MIL 57 53.0 979 85 28 3 7-2 2.55 1.21 14.4 184
2022 MIL 60 56.0 990 88 28 12 5-3 1.77 1.04 14.1 230
2023 MIL 62 57.0 979 88 31 36 8-3 1.89 1.02 13.9 371
2024 MIL 24 23.1 435 39 12 15 1-1 2.7 1.07 15 141
2025 NYY 71 63.2 1194 94 27 18 5-6 4.81 1.19 13.3 239
2026 NYM 23 20.0 360 31 13 8 3-2 5.4 1.55 14 89
ON PACE 59 52 925 79 33 20 7-5 5.4 1.55 14 227
3-YEAR AVG 52 47 869 74 23 23 5-3 3.33 1.09 13.7 250
Career 333 308.2 5660 493 154 0 0-0 2.86 1.15 14.4
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs WAS 04:10 EDT EST Eduardo Rodriguez
Zack Littell
ATH @HOU 04:10 EDT EST Kade Morris
Tatsuya Imai
ATL vs PIT 04:10 EDT EST Spencer Strider
Braxton Ashcraft
BAL @TOR 03:07 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Braydon Fisher
BOS @NYY 07:35 EDT EST Ranger Suarez
Will Warren
CHC vs SF 02:20 EDT EST Ben Brown
Landen Roupp
CHW @PHI 04:05 EDT EST Brandon Eisert
Andrew Painter
CIN @STL 02:15 EDT EST Nick Lodolo
Matthew Liberatore
CLE @TEX 07:35 EDT EST Tanner Bibee
Jack Leiter
COL vs MIL 09:10 EDT EST
Jacob Misiorowski
DET vs SEA 01:10 EDT EST Keider Montero
Bryce Miller
KC @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Luinder Avila
Joe Ryan
LAA @LAD 10:10 EDT EST Jack Kochanowicz
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
MIA vs TB 04:10 EDT EST Lake Bachar
Shane McClanahan
NYM @SD 10:10 EDT EST Nolan McLean
Griffin Canning
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
CAR @VGK 8:00 PM EST