NFL
PHI
JAX
o41.5
-8
9:30AM • PREVIEW NFLN
TB
DAL
24
16
FINALFINAL
CIN
MIA
o43.5
+7
1:00PM • PREVIEW FOX
LV
NE
o45
-3.5
1:00PM • PREVIEW CBS/P
MIN
NO
o41.5
+2
1:00PM • PREVIEW FOX
CLE
NYJ
o39.5
-2.5
1:00PM • PREVIEW CBS/P
IND
PIT
o43.5
-2.5
1:00PM • PREVIEW CBS/P
HOU
TEN
o37.5
+7
1:00PM • PREVIEW CBS/P
NYG
WAS
o41.5
-3.5
1:00PM • PREVIEW FOX
DEN
LAC
o42
+3.5
4:05PM • PREVIEW CBS/P
DET
ARI
o54.5
+5.5
4:25PM • PREVIEW FOX
CHI
GB
o46.5
+1.5
1:00PM • PREVIEW FOX
SF
SEA
o46.5
-3
4:25PM • PREVIEW FOX
BAL
ATL
o43.5
-3.5
8:20PM • PREVIEW NBC/P
BUF
LAR
o54
-3.5
8:15PM • PREVIEW ABC/E

Josh Downs or Justin Herbert

Who Should I Start? - Week 5 • Start New
Josh Downs

Josh Downs

WR • Indianapolis Colts IND
Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert

QB • Los Angeles Chargers LAC
OR
EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Downs over Herbert

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Downs ... 33.85%

BOTH ... 16.92%

PROJECTION
FPTS: 11.7
REC REC YD REC TD FPTS
4.5 55.2 0.3 11.7
No projection for today.
Coming soon.
Outlook Josh Downs

Josh Downs at Pittsburgh — High-Volume Slot Outlook on the Road

Downs enters Week 5 healthy and locked into his primary slot role for the Colts. With receiver Alec Pierce sidelined on injured reserve, Downs should continue to see steady volume after commanding 15 targets over his previous two outings. His quick separation over the middle gives the offense a reliable safety valve regardless of rainy outdoor conditions in Pittsburgh.

Our weekly projection tabs Downs for approximately 4.6 receptions and 57 receiving yards on 7.2 targets, yielding 11.9 fantasy points. Currently started in roughly 53% of leagues, Downs provides a stable floor and profiles as a dependable WR3 or flex starter across all PPR leagues.


FantasySP AI Analysis Updated 19 hrs ago
Latest News Josh Downs
Loading...
EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Herbert over Downs

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Herbert ... 25.76%

BOTH ... 16.67%

PROJECTION
FPTS: 16.3
CMP/ATT PASS YD PASS TD INT RUSH YD RUSH TD FPTS
20/33 230.45 1.2 1.42 24.84 0.03 16.3
No projection for today.
Coming soon.
Outlook Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert vs. DEN at Home — Severe Protection Woes Cloud Fantasy Outlook

Herbert faces a steep challenge this week as Los Angeles looks to snap an 0-4 start. Pocket protection is a critical red flag after starting offensive tackles Rashawn Slater and Joe Alt were both ruled out. Compounding issues, wide receiver Quentin Johnston is sidelined and Ladd McConkey is battling a foot injury, leaving Herbert with limited reliable weapons.

Fantasy managers have grown wary, with his start rate dropping to 17% following six interceptions through four weeks. Our weekly projection forecasts 16.3 fantasy points alongside 230 passing yards and 25 rushing yards, but the lack of blocking lowers his floor significantly. Consider him a bench option in traditional 1QB leagues for this low-scoring divisional matchup.


FantasySP AI Analysis Updated 19 hrs ago
Latest News Justin Herbert
Loading...
Performance Josh Downs
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
3165.390
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
89311.6240
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Justin Herbert
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
18961.312400
Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
41560.023570
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up ❱ Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Josh Downs
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 BAL 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 @KC 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 HOU 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 @WAS 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Justin Herbert
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 ARI 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 LV 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 @BUF 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 @SEA 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up ❱ Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Josh Downs
OWN
96%
-2.26 compared to last week
START
54%
-18.64 compared to last week
OWN/START Justin Herbert
OWN
59%
-18.77 compared to last week
START
17%
-0.3 compared to last week
Next Up ❱ Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Josh Downs
27th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Justin Herbert
23rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up ❱ Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Josh Downs

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 27th among WR's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 57th with 20.20 total points (5.05 avg).
  • Currently 64.46 points behind the leader: Jaxon Smith-Njigba
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 35 in receptions and is currently ranked 26th among WR.
  • Top 20 in targets and is currently ranked 17th among WR.
  • Top 25 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 24th among WR.
  • Top 50 in reception yards with 202 and 11.88 YPC and is currently ranked 36th among WR.
  • Top 100 in Rec TDs with 0, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 94th among WR.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 10 in rush tds with 0 (0.00 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among WR.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +3, Rec Yards: +81 Rec TDs: EVEN,
  • You do realize that this guy has no receiving touchdowns right?
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 68, REC YDS: 750, REC TDS: 4
Breakdown Justin Herbert

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 23rd among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 24th with 43.44 total points (10.86 avg).
  • Currently 68.02 points behind the leader: Josh Allen
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.3 PPG.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 25 in pass yards with 816 (204.00 per game) and is currently ranked 21st among QB.
  • Top 25 in pass tds with 4 (1.00 per game) and is currently ranked 24th among QB.
  • Top 3 in interceptions with 6 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: -247, TDs: -3, INTs: +3
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3600, PASS TDS: 23, RUSH YDS: 225, RUSH TDS: 2
Next Up ❱ Health Check
Injury Josh Downs

No Injury Reported

Injury Justin Herbert

No Injury Reported

Next Up ❱ Matchup Comparison
Matchups Josh Downs

Week 5
Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
21.75338.00841014.43
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 7th among DST's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 3rd with 37.00 total points (9.25 avg).
  • Currently 11 points behind the leader: Vikings DST
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Decline in numbers lately by 3.8 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 4 in turnovers with 8 (2.00 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Ranked 17th in rush defense with 451 (112.75 per game).
  • Ranked 13th in pass defense with 901 (225.25 per game).
  • Top 10 in sacks with 10 (2.50 per game) and currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Top 12 in interceptions with 4 (1.00 per game) and currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Top 14 in points against with 21.75 per game and currently ranked 14th among DST.
  • Top 10 in Total TDs with 1 (0.25 per game) and currently ranked 9th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +68.17, Turnovers: -2 Sacks: -6, INTs: -1, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: -3.92,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 44, INT: 13, TDS: 3, PA/G: 24.2, YDS/G: 379.3
Matchups Justin Herbert

Week 5
Los Angeles Chargers VS Denver Broncos

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
23.50388.0044814.54
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 3rd among DST's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 12th with 25.00 total points (6.25 avg).
  • Currently 23 points behind the leader: Vikings DST
  • He should be doing a bit better than this. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.8 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 29th in rush defense with 571 (142.75 per game).
  • Ranked 22nd in pass defense with 981 (245.25 per game).
  • Top 8 in interceptions with 4 (1.00 per game) and currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 18 in points against with 23.50 per game and currently ranked 17th among DST.
  • Top 2 in Total TDs with 1 (0.25 per game) and currently ranked 1st among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +179.67, Turnovers: EVEN Sacks: -11, INTs: +3, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +2,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 60, INT: 14, TDS: 4, PA/G: 19.4, YDS/G: 295.6
Next Up ❱ Ratings Comparison
Rating Josh Downs
14.69
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Justin Herbert
14.40
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up ❱ Career Comparison
Career Josh Downs
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2023 IND 16 98 68 771 11.3 2 0 0 0 0
2024 IND 14 107 72 803 11.2 5 1 12 12 0
2025 IND 16 93 60 576 9.6 4 2 -2 -1 0
2026 IND 4 28 17 202 11.9 0 0 0 0 0
ON PACE 18 126 77 909 11.9 0 0 0 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 16 99 67 717 10.8 4 1 3 3.3 0
Totals 52 326 217 2352 10.8 11 3 10 3.3 0
Career Justin Herbert
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2020 LAC 15 4336 67% 31 10 98.3 234 5 1
2021 LAC 16 5014 66% 38 15 97.7 302 3 1
2022 LAC 16 4739 68% 25 10 93.2 147 0 3
2023 LAC 13 3134 65% 20 7 93.2 228 3 1
2024 LAC 16 3870 66% 23 3 101.7 306 2 2
2025 LAC 16 3727 66% 26 13 94.1 498 2 2
2026 LAC 4 816 60% 4 6 70.6 88 0 1
ON PACE 18 3672 60% 18 27 70.6 396 0 5
3-YEAR AVG 16 3658 65% 23 9 95 344 2 2
Totals 102 26310 66% 169 68 94.6 1872 15 12
The Premium Start tool.
  • Optimal Lineups
  • Predictive Analytics Waiver Advice
  • Trade Suggestions & More

RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 5
ARI vs DET
ATL vs BAL
BUF @LAR
CAR vs BYE
CHI @GB
CIN @MIA
CLE @NYJ
DAL vs TB
DEN @LAC
HOU @TEN
IND @PIT
JAC vs PHI
KC vs BYE
LV @NE
MIN @NO
NYG @WAS
SEA vs SF
Matchup Time Pitchers
LAD @MIL 08:00 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
CAR @PHI 7:00 PM EST
NYR vs VAN 6:00 PM EST
SEA @WAS 5:00 PM EST