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CeeDee Lamb or Patrick Mahomes

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb

WRDallas Cowboys DAL
Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes

QBKansas City Chiefs KC
OR
πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Lamb over Mahomes

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook CeeDee Lamb

Elite WR1 Production Backed by Unrivaled Target Share

CeeDee Lamb enters the upcoming season firmly entrenched as the undisputed top weapon in the passing game, operating as the clear primary target out wide. Our projections anticipate another stellar campaign, forecasting roughly 97 receptions and 1,311 receiving yards while serving as a focal point of the offensive attack. Draft market trends show his ADP hovering steadily around the early second round, reflecting unwavering confidence from fantasy managers who view him as a rock-solid cornerstone in 1.0 PPR formats.

His elite volume is further reinforced by a stellar track record of durability and high-end production, highlighted by past seasons eclipsing 1,700 yards. Even with minor training camp absences handled as excused, his role remains completely secure, and managers drafting him at his current price are getting fair value for a perennial top-tier wide receiver.

While minor offensive line depth concerns loom following training camp injuries, Lamb's exceptional route-running and unmatched chemistry with Dak Prescott insulate his fantasy floor. Expect him to easily outperform his draft cost if he maintains his customary triple-digit target volume.


Updated 11 hrs ago

Latest News CeeDee Lamb
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πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mahomes over Lamb

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Patrick Mahomes

Recovering from knee surgery with a stable draft cost, poised to anchor fantasy lineups once fully integrated.

Patrick Mahomes enters the season following offseason recovery from a torn ACL and LCL, yet has been fully cleared to participate in training camp while wearing a supportive brace. Our data projects him for 3,990 passing yards and 27 passing touchdowns over a full campaign, maintaining his status as a high-end option despite concerns regarding his supporting cast and a slight dip in rushing volume.

His draft stock has remained remarkably stable throughout the summer, hovering steadily around an ADP of 101 to 104 in standard PPR formats. This steady market pricing presents a potential value opportunity for managers willing to invest in his elite passing ceiling as he looks to prove his mobility remains intact alongside weapons like Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.

Operating as the clear leader of the offense alongside Justin Fields and Garrett Nussmeier, Mahomes is positioned to command the passing game completely once he regains full game-action rhythm. Our models suggest that as long as his knee holds up under a normal training camp workload, he should comfortably clear his baseline fantasy expectations.


Updated 11 hrs ago

Latest News Patrick Mahomes
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Performance CeeDee Lamb
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Patrick Mahomes
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches CeeDee Lamb
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @NYG πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 WAS πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 BAL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 @HOU πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
5 TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 @GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
7 @PHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 ARI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 @IND πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 SF πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 TEN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 PHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 @SEA πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 @LAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 JAC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 NYG πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
18 @WAS πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Patrick Mahomes
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 DEN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 IND πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 @MIA πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 @LV πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
5 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 LAC πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
7 @SEA πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 @DEN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 NYJ πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 @ATL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 ARI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 @BUF πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 @LAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 @CIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 NE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START CeeDee Lamb
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
95%
+0.24 compared to last week
OWN/START Patrick Mahomes
OWN
62%
-0.6 compared to last week
START
17%
-0.83 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus CeeDee Lamb
5th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Patrick Mahomes
14th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown CeeDee Lamb

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 5th among WR's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 26th with 133.40 total points (7.41 avg).
  • Currently 175.9 points behind the leader: Puka Nacua
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.4.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 20 in receptions and is currently ranked 17th among WR.
  • Top 15 in targets and is currently ranked 13th among WR.
  • Top 20 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 17th among WR.
  • Top 10 in reception yards with 1152 and 14.58 YPC and is currently ranked 10th among WR.
  • Top 75 in Rec TDs with 3, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 63rd among WR.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 75 in rush yards with 2 (0.11 per game), though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 73rd among WR.
  • He is top 100 in rush tds with 0 (0.00 per game), though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 76th among WR.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: -35, Rec Yards: -140 Rec TDs: -5,
  • Known to break out for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long REC TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 97, REC YDS: 1311, REC TDS: 5
Breakdown Patrick Mahomes

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 15th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 10th with 301.76 total points (20.12 avg).
  • Currently 132.48 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 20.1.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 10 in pass yards with 3939 (262.60 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among QB.
  • Top 20 in pass tds with 22 (1.47 per game) and is currently ranked 17th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass completions with 344 (22.93 per game) and is currently ranked 11th.
  • Top 15 in interceptions with 12 (0.80 per game) and is currently ranked 11th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +11, TDs: -4, INTs: +1
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3990, PASS TDS: 27, RUSH YDS: 313, RUSH TDS: 2
Next Up Health Check
Injury CeeDee Lamb

No Injury Reported

Injury Patrick Mahomes

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups CeeDee Lamb

Week 1
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
25.82405.531593923.76
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 25th with 77.00 total points (4.53 avg).
  • Currently 150 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.5 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 32nd in rush defense with 2707 (159.24 per game).
  • Ranked 19th in pass defense with 4187 (246.29 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 25.82 per game and currently ranked 26th among DST.
  • Top 12 in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) and currently ranked 12th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +37.06, Turnovers: -7 Sacks: -13, INTs: EVEN, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: +2.06,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 27.4, YDS/G: 382
Matchups Patrick Mahomes

Week 1
Kansas City Chiefs VS Denver Broncos

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
18.47271.2619127624.42
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 4th with 160.00 total points (8.42 avg).
  • Currently 67 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 8.4.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 2 in total yards against with 303.18 per game and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 2 in rush defense with 1548 (91.06 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 6 in pass defense with 3606 (212.12 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Top 2 in sacks with 68 (4.00 per game) and currently ranked 1st among DST.
  • Top 4 in points against with 18.29 per game and currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Top 14 in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) and currently ranked 13th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -75.68, Turnovers: -6 Sacks: +15, INTs: -3, TDs: -3, Points Allowed: +0.47,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 52, INT: 13, TDS: 3, PA/G: 19.4, YDS/G: 295.6
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating CeeDee Lamb
25.73
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Patrick Mahomes
17.72
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career CeeDee Lamb
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2020 DAL 16 111 74 935 12.6 5 10 82 8.2 1
2021 DAL 16 120 79 1102 13.9 6 9 76 8.4 0
2022 DAL 16 156 107 1359 12.7 9 10 47 4.7 0
2023 DAL 16 181 135 1749 13.0 12 14 113 8.1 2
2024 DAL 15 152 101 1194 11.8 6 14 70 5 0
2025 DAL 14 128 79 1152 14.6 3 1 2 2 0
3-YEAR AVG 16 159 108 1402 13 7 10 63 6.3 1
Totals 98 884 598 7786 13.0 42 61 401 6.6 3
Career Patrick Mahomes
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2018 KC 16 5097 66% 50 12 113.8 272 2 4
2019 KC 14 4031 66% 26 5 105.3 218 2 4
2020 KC 15 4740 66% 38 6 108.2 308 2 2
2021 KC 16 4839 66% 37 13 98.5 381 2 4
2022 KC 16 5250 67% 41 12 105.2 358 4 0
2023 KC 16 4184 67% 27 14 92.6 389 0 3
2024 KC 16 3928 68% 26 11 93.5 307 2 0
2025 KC 15 3939 63% 22 12 88.6 452 5 0
3-YEAR AVG 18 4978 68% 35 13 97.9 404 2 1
Totals 138 39109 66% 286 90 100.6 2976 22 20
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Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @WAS 01:35 EDT EST
ATH @MIN 02:10 EDT EST
ATL @BAL 01:35 EDT EST
BOS vs TOR 01:35 EDT EST
CHC @PIT 01:35 EDT EST
CHW vs HOU 02:10 EDT EST
CIN @STL 02:15 EDT EST
CLE @TB 12:15 EDT EST
COL @MIL 02:10 EDT EST
DET vs KC 01:40 EDT EST
LAA @SF 04:05 EDT EST
LAD @NYM 01:40 EDT EST
MIA vs SD 01:40 EDT EST
NYY @PHI 07:20 EDT EST
SEA @TEX 02:35 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled