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Patrick Mahomes or Drake Maye

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes

QBKansas City Chiefs KC
Drake Maye

Drake Maye

QBNew England Patriots NE
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mahomes over Maye

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Patrick Mahomes

Injury Recovery and Contract Extension Set Up Major Draft-Day Discount

Patrick Mahomes enters the year following a massive $504.75 million contract extension, though his immediate focus is recovering from ACL surgery. While he was limited to 7-on-7 drills during OTAs, reports indicate both Mahomes and the Chiefs are targeting a Week 1 return.

When healthy, he remains the leader of this passing attack alongside Travis Kelce, Rashee Rice, and Xavier Worthy. Our models project a highly efficient season with 3,879 passing yards and 27 touchdowns, representing a steady rebound from his 2025 campaign.

Mahomes' ADP has remained stubbornly stable around 104 over the last month, despite a brief June spike. This deflated cost reflects market hesitation surrounding his ACL rehab. Our models view this price as a massive draft-day value, allowing managers to secure an elite passer at a significant discount.


Updated 15 hrs ago

Latest News Patrick Mahomes
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Maye over Mahomes

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Drake Maye

Elite Weapon Addition Spikes Dual-Threat Quarterback Into Premium Value Territory

Coming off a sensational sophomore campaign with 4,688 passing yards and 32 touchdowns, Maye is primed for another massive year. The Patriots completely transformed his ceiling by trading for elite wideout A.J. Brown, who instantly joins a pass-catching group featuring Romeo Doubs, DeMario Douglas, and veteran tight end Hunter Henry.

Maye's offseason development has drawn rave reviews from camp, with coaches noting he has leveled up his command of the offense. Our projections slate him for 3,950 passing yards and 28 touchdowns. His high-end rushing ability, projected at 452 yards and four scores, gives him an incredibly safe weekly floor.

Draft markets have reacted wildly to the Patriots' offensive upgrades. His ADP spiked into the third round before settling into a more reasonable fifth-round cost. At this current price, he represents a monumental value steal in 1.0 PPR formats, especially given his elite dual-threat profile and upgraded arsenal of perimeter weapons.


Updated 15 hrs ago

Latest News Drake Maye
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Performance Patrick Mahomes
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Drake Maye
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
29562.822370
Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
29562.822370
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Patrick Mahomes

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Drake Maye

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Patrick Mahomes
OWN
71%
+2.54 compared to last week
START
31%
-2.72 compared to last week
OWN/START Drake Maye
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
82%
No change since last week.
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Patrick Mahomes
14th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Drake Maye
3rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Patrick Mahomes

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 14th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 10th with 301.76 total points (20.12 avg).
  • Currently 132.48 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 20.1.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 10 in pass yards with 3939 (262.60 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among QB.
  • Top 20 in pass tds with 22 (1.47 per game) and is currently ranked 17th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass completions with 344 (22.93 per game) and is currently ranked 11th.
  • Top 10 in interceptions with 12 (0.80 per game) and is currently ranked 10th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +11, TDs: -4, INTs: +1
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3879, PASS TDS: 27, RUSH YDS: 293, RUSH TDS: 2
Breakdown Drake Maye

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 3rd among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 2nd with 431.84 total points (19.63 avg).
  • Currently 2.4 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 19.6.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 6 in pass yards with 4688 (260.44 per game) and is currently ranked 4th among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass tds with 32 (1.78 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among QB.
  • Top 6 in pass completions with 376 (20.89 per game) and is currently ranked 5th.
  • Top 20 in interceptions with 9 (0.50 per game) and is currently ranked 16th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 6 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +3240, TDs: +23, INTs: +3
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3950, PASS TDS: 28, RUSH YDS: 452, RUSH TDS: 4
Next Up Health Check
Injury Patrick Mahomes

No Injury Reported

Injury Drake Maye

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Patrick Mahomes

Week 1
Kansas City Chiefs VS Denver Broncos

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
18.47271.2619127624.42
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 4th with 160.00 total points (8.42 avg).
  • Currently 67 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 8.4.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 2 in total yards against with 303.18 per game and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 2 in rush defense with 1548 (91.06 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 6 in pass defense with 3606 (212.12 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Top 2 in sacks with 68 (4.00 per game) and currently ranked 1st among DST.
  • Top 4 in points against with 18.29 per game and currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Currently ranked 17th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -75.68, Turnovers: -6 Sacks: +15, INTs: -3, TDs: -3, Points Allowed: +0.47,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 52, INT: 13, TDS: 4, PA/G: 19.4, YDS/G: 295.6
Matchups Drake Maye

Week 1
New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
16.90276.10332156104.12
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 1st with 227.00 total points (11.35 avg).
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 11.4.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 6 in total yards against with 324.82 per game and is currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Top 6 in turnovers with 26 (1.53 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Top 4 in rush defense with 1622 (95.41 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Ranked 14th in pass defense with 3900 (229.41 per game).
  • Top 8 in sacks with 47 (2.76 per game) and currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 6 in interceptions with 18 (1.06 per game) and currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Top 2 in points against with 17.18 per game and currently ranked 1st among DST.
  • Top 2 in Total TDs with 8 (0.47 per game) and currently ranked 1st among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -85.25, Turnovers: +17 Sacks: +12, INTs: +10, TDs: +5, Points Allowed: -4.69,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 45, INT: 14, TDS: 7, PA/G: 18.3, YDS/G: 303.8
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Patrick Mahomes
17.17
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Drake Maye
19.19
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Patrick Mahomes
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2018 KC 16 5097 66% 50 12 113.8 272 2 4
2019 KC 14 4031 66% 26 5 105.3 218 2 4
2020 KC 15 4740 66% 38 6 108.2 308 2 2
2021 KC 16 4839 66% 37 13 98.5 381 2 4
2022 KC 16 5250 67% 41 12 105.2 358 4 0
2023 KC 16 4184 67% 27 14 92.6 389 0 3
2024 KC 16 3928 68% 26 11 93.5 307 2 0
2025 KC 15 3939 63% 22 12 88.6 452 5 0
3-YEAR AVG 18 4978 68% 35 13 97.9 404 2 1
Totals 138 39109 66% 286 90 100.6 2976 22 20
Career Drake Maye
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2024 NE 13 2276 67% 15 10 88.1 421 2 6
2025 NE 16 4688 71% 32 9 111.7 472 4 3
3-YEAR AVG 10 2321 70% 16 6 102.5 298 2 3
Totals 35 7792 68% 53 23 100.0 1071 7 13
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Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @CIN 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs COL 10:05 EDT EST
ATL @NYM 04:10 EDT EST
BAL vs SD 04:05 EDT EST
BOS vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST
CHC @SF 10:05 EDT EST
CHW vs LAD 04:10 EDT EST
CLE vs DET 04:10 EDT EST
HOU @KC 07:10 EDT EST
LAA vs TB 10:07 EDT EST
MIA @PIT 04:05 EDT EST
MIL vs PHI 07:10 EDT EST
MIN vs STL 02:10 EDT EST
NYY @TOR 03:07 EDT EST
SEA @WAS 04:05 EDT EST
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled