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Dak Prescott or Geno Smith

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott

QBDallas Cowboys DAL
Geno Smith

Geno Smith

QBNew York Jets NYJ
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Prescott over Smith

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Dak Prescott

High-Floor Passing Volume and Dynamic Weapons Solidify Him as a Major Draft Value

Prescott enters the season commanding a high-powered Cowboys passing attack featuring top-tier perimeter targets CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens, alongside tight end Jake Ferguson. Coming off a 4,906-yard, 32-touchdown campaign in 2025, he remains the engine of Dallas's high-tempo offense.

Our projections forecast another prolific season through the air, estimating 4,325 passing yards and 31 passing touchdowns alongside modest rushing contributions (165 yards, two scores). Prescott's decision-making and efficiency keep his weekly scoring floor remarkably safe in standard fantasy formats.

In drafts, his ADP has steadily slipped from the mid-80s in July down toward the 120s entering September. That cooling market price presents massive profit potential, as our models view Prescott as a dependable starter being drafted at a discount in 1.0 PPR leagues.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Dak Prescott
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Smith over Prescott

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Geno Smith

Low-Cost Starting Quarterback With Superflex Streaming Appeal

Geno enters the season as the starting quarterback in New York, looking to revitalize the passing attack. He showed solid command during training camp, completing 67.6 percent of his passes with 12 touchdowns in team drills while building early rapport with perimeter targets like Garrett Wilson and Adonai Mitchell.

Our projections forecast a modest passing output of 3,275 yards, 19 touchdowns, and 15 interceptions across 517 attempts, alongside 175 rushing yards. Operating alongside a dynamic backfield led by Breece Hall, his limited rushing upside caps his weekly ceiling in standard single-quarterback formats.

Market sentiment has completely collapsed, with his draft cost falling from the mid-200s in July to well past pick 750. While fantasy managers have largely ignored him, his secured starting role makes him a viable zero-cost backup in multi-quarterback leagues and an opportunistic streaming candidate.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Geno Smith
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Performance Dak Prescott
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Geno Smith
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Dak Prescott

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Geno Smith

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Dak Prescott
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
80%
No change since last week.
OWN/START Geno Smith
OWN
 
5%
+2.83 compared to last week
START
 
1%
+0.6 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Dak Prescott
7th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Geno Smith
27th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Dak Prescott

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 7th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 7th with 340.84 total points (18.94 avg).
  • Currently 93.4 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • Wow, would you look at that. The experts got it right on the money.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 18.9.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 3 in pass yards with 4906 (272.56 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd among QB.
  • Top 3 in pass tds with 32 (1.78 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among QB.
  • Top 3 in pass completions with 427 (23.72 per game) and is currently ranked 1st.
  • Top 15 in interceptions with 11 (0.61 per game) and is currently ranked 15th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 8 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +2649, TDs: +17, INTs: +2
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 4325, PASS TDS: 31, RUSH YDS: 165, RUSH TDS: 2
Breakdown Geno Smith

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 27th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 24th with 188.10 total points (10.45 avg).
  • Currently 246.14 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 10.5.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 20 in pass yards with 3310 (183.89 per game) and is currently ranked 18th among QB.
  • Top 25 in pass tds with 20 (1.11 per game) and is currently ranked 22nd among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass completions with 332 (18.44 per game) and is currently ranked 15th.
  • Top 3 in interceptions with 17 (0.94 per game) and is currently ranked 1st.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: -976, TDs: +1, INTs: +2
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3275, PASS TDS: 18, RUSH YDS: 165, RUSH TDS: 1
Next Up Health Check
Injury Dak Prescott

No Injury Reported

Injury Geno Smith

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Dak Prescott

Week 1
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
25.82405.531593923.21
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 25th with 77.00 total points (4.53 avg).
  • Currently 150 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.5 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 32nd in rush defense with 2707 (159.24 per game).
  • Ranked 19th in pass defense with 4187 (246.29 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 25.82 per game and currently ranked 26th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 21st in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +37.06, Turnovers: -7 Sacks: -13, INTs: EVEN, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: +2.06,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 33, INT: 11, TDS: 4, PA/G: 27.4, YDS/G: 382
Matchups Geno Smith

Week 1
New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.12383.941364243.70
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 23rd with 83.00 total points (4.88 avg).
  • Currently 144 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.9 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 16th in rush defense with 2062 (121.29 per game).
  • Ranked 26th in pass defense with 4465 (262.65 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.12 per game and currently ranked 28th among DST.
  • Top 6 in Total TDs with 4 (0.24 per game) and currently ranked 6th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +61.7, Turnovers: -2 Sacks: +14, INTs: -5, TDs: +4, Points Allowed: +0.71,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 44, INT: 10, TDS: 5, PA/G: 29.9, YDS/G: 366.7
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Dak Prescott
17.83
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Geno Smith
13.12
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Dak Prescott
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2016 DAL 16 3667 68% 23 4 104.9 282 6 7
2017 DAL 16 3325 63% 22 13 86.6 357 6 6
2018 DAL 16 3884 68% 22 8 96.9 305 6 13
2019 DAL 16 4901 65% 30 11 99.7 277 3 4
2020 DAL 5 1856 68% 9 4 99.6 93 3 3
2021 DAL 16 4449 69% 37 10 104.2 146 1 6
2022 DAL 12 2860 66% 23 15 91.1 182 1 1
2023 DAL 16 4516 70% 36 9 105.9 242 2 2
2024 DAL 8 1978 65% 11 8 86.0 54 1 1
2025 DAL 16 4906 67% 32 11 99.7 186 3 2
ON PACE 72 22077 67% 144 50 99.7 837 14 9
3-YEAR AVG 15 3934 68% 27 10 99.2 176 2 2
Totals 143 37256 67% 253 97 98.3 2215 33 45
Career Geno Smith
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2013 NYJ 16 3046 56% 12 21 66.5 366 6 6
2014 NYJ 14 2525 60% 13 13 77.5 238 1 3
2015 NYJ 1 265 64% 2 1 87.9 34 0 0
2016 NYJ 2 126 57% 1 1 81.3 9 0 0
2017 NYG 2 212 58% 1 0 84.5 12 0 4
2018 LAC 4 8 25% 0 0 31.3 2 0 1
2020 SEA 1 33 80% 0 0 96.3 -2 0 0
2021 SEA 4 702 68% 5 1 103.0 42 1 1
2022 SEA 16 4282 70% 30 11 100.9 366 1 4
2023 SEA 15 3621 65% 20 9 92.1 155 1 3
2024 SEA 16 4320 70% 21 15 93.2 272 2 0
2025 LV 16 3310 68% 20 17 85.5 117 0 2
ON PACE 72 14895 68% 90 77 85.5 527 0 9
3-YEAR AVG 16 3750 68% 20 14 90.4 181 1 2
Totals 110 22703 65% 127 90 87.8 1639 12 25
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs PHI 03:40 EDT EST
ATH @TEX 02:35 EDT EST
ATL @WAS 01:05 EDT EST
BAL @COL 03:10 EDT EST
BOS vs SEA 04:10 EDT EST
CHC vs MIL 07:40 EDT EST
CHW @HOU 08:10 EDT EST
CIN vs SD 12:40 EDT EST
CLE vs TOR 06:40 EDT EST
DET @MIN 07:40 EDT EST
KC vs MIA 07:40 EDT EST
LAA vs NYY 09:38 EDT EST
LAD vs STL 10:10 EDT EST
NYM @TB 06:40 EDT EST
PIT vs SF 06:40 EDT EST
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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