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DeVonta Smith or A.J. Brown

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith

WR • Philadelphia Eagles PHI
A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown

WR • New England Patriots NE
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Smith over Brown

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Learn More
Outlook DeVonta Smith

Poised for a Massive Leap as Philadelphia's Undisputed WR1

With the departure of A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith enters the season as Philadelphia's undisputed lead target. Our data projects Smith for a substantial workload, pacing an Eagles receiving corps that features Dontayvion Wicks and rookie Makai Lemon. Operating as Jalen Hurts' go-to option, he is primed to exceed his previous career benchmarks.

Our models project Smith to excel with 82 receptions, 1,084 yards, and six touchdowns on 122 targets. Having posted four seasons of at least 900 receiving yards already in his five-year career, his high-volume consistency provides a remarkably secure floor alongside a newly elevated ceiling in this revamped passing offense.

Fantasy managers are noticing this elite opportunity, driving his 1.0 PPR ADP up from 46 in early June to 38. Even with this climbing draft cost, our projections view him as an exceptional value, giving managers a low-risk WR1 profile at a reasonable WR2 price tag.

Updated 15 hrs ago

Latest News DeVonta Smith
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Brown over Smith

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Learn More
Outlook A.J. Brown

Elite WR1 Value Awaits in New England After Blockbuster Trade

A.J. Brown transitions to New England as the undisputed top option in the passing game following a blockbuster offseason trade. Catching passes from rookie quarterback Drake Maye, Brown is locked in to command a dominant target share. Our models project him for 127 targets, translating to 83 receptions, 1,190 yards, and eight touchdowns.

Fantasy managers have reacted dynamically to his relocation. His ADP briefly spiked to the early second round before stabilizing at 27.00. In a 1.0 PPR format, this late third-round price tag represents an incredible draft-day value. We view him as a major value target, given his history of elite production and encouraging early red-zone chemistry with Maye.

While adjusting to a new system carries some developmental risk, Brown's physical dominance makes him relatively matchup-proof. Operating alongside Romeo Doubs and Hunter Henry, he remains a high-end WR1 with weekly game-winning upside.

Updated 15 hrs ago

Latest News A.J. Brown
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Next Up ❱ Performance Comparison
Performance DeVonta Smith
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance A.J. Brown
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up ❱ Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches DeVonta Smith
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 WAS 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 @TEN 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 @CHI 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 LAR 🔓 🔓 🔓
5 @JAC 🔓 🔓 🔓
6 CAR 🔓 🔓 🔓
7 DAL 🔓 🔓 🔓
8 @WAS 🔓 🔓 🔓
10 NYG 🔓 🔓 🔓
11 BYE 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 PIT 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 @DAL 🔓 🔓 🔓
13 @ARI 🔓 🔓 🔓
14 IND 🔓 🔓 🔓
15 SEA 🔓 🔓 🔓
16 HOU 🔓 🔓 🔓
17 @SF 🔓 🔓 🔓
18 @NYG 🔓 🔓 🔓
19 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches A.J. Brown
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @SEA 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 PIT 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 @JAC 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 @BUF 🔓 🔓 🔓
5 LV 🔓 🔓 🔓
6 NYJ 🔓 🔓 🔓
7 @CHI 🔓 🔓 🔓
8 @MIA 🔓 🔓 🔓
10 GB 🔓 🔓 🔓
11 @DET 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 BYE 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 @LAC 🔓 🔓 🔓
13 BUF 🔓 🔓 🔓
14 MIN 🔓 🔓 🔓
15 @KC 🔓 🔓 🔓
16 @NYJ 🔓 🔓 🔓
17 DEN 🔓 🔓 🔓
18 MIA 🔓 🔓 🔓
19 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up ❱ Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START DeVonta Smith
OWN
98%
-0.17 compared to last week
START
78%
-1.57 compared to last week
OWN/START A.J. Brown
OWN
98%
-2.5 compared to last week
START
90%
+1.63 compared to last week
Next Up ❱ Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus DeVonta Smith
14th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus A.J. Brown
11th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up ❱ Player Breakdowns
Breakdown DeVonta Smith

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 15th among WR's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 20th with 140.70 total points (7.41 avg).
  • Currently 168.6 points behind the leader: Puka Nacua
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 7.4.

    • Receiving Stats

  • Top 15 in receptions and is currently ranked 14th among WR.
  • Top 15 in targets and is currently ranked 14th among WR.
  • Top 15 in reception yards with 1097 and 13.22 YPC and is currently ranked 14th among WR.
  • Top 75 in Rec TDs with 4, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 54th among WR.

    • Rushing Stats

    Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +23, Rec Yards: +334 Rec TDs: -4,
  • Known to break out for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long REC TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

    • Season Outlook

  • REC: 82, REC YDS: 1084, REC TDS: 6
Breakdown A.J. Brown

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 11th among WR's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 10th with 161.80 total points (8.52 avg).
  • Currently 147.5 points behind the leader: Puka Nacua
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 8.5.

    • Receiving Stats

  • Top 15 in receptions and is currently ranked 12th among WR.
  • Top 15 in targets and is currently ranked 11th among WR.
  • Top 25 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 22nd among WR.
  • Top 15 in reception yards with 1113 and 12.94 YPC and is currently ranked 13th among WR.
  • Top 15 in Rec TDs with 8 and is currently ranked 12th among WR.

    • Rushing Stats

  • Top 100 in rush yards with 0 (0.00 per game), though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 94th among WR.
  • He is top 100 in rush tds with 0 (0.00 per game), though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 84th among WR.

    • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +21, Rec Yards: +50 Rec TDs: +1,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

    • Season Outlook

  • REC: 83, REC YDS: 1190, REC TDS: 8
Next Up ❱ Health Check
Injury DeVonta Smith

No Injury Reported

Injury A.J. Brown

No Injury Reported

Next Up ❱ Matchup Comparison
Matchups DeVonta Smith

Week 1
Philadelphia Eagles VS Washington Commanders

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
26.53398.651084223.76
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 29th with 72.00 total points (4.24 avg).
  • Currently 155 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.2 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 27th in rush defense with 2406 (141.53 per game).
  • Ranked 23rd in pass defense with 4371 (257.12 per game).
  • Top 12 in sacks with 42 (2.47 per game) and currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • One of the worst in points against with 26.53 per game and currently ranked 27th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 23rd in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +48.94, Turnovers: -7 Sacks: +3, INTs: EVEN, TDs: +1, Points Allowed: +2.12,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 42, INT: 10, TDS: 4, PA/G: 28.2, YDS/G: 408
Matchups A.J. Brown

Week 1
New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
16.90276.10332156104.12
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 1st with 227.00 total points (11.35 avg).
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 11.4.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 6 in total yards against with 324.82 per game and is currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Top 6 in turnovers with 26 (1.53 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Top 4 in rush defense with 1622 (95.41 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Ranked 14th in pass defense with 3900 (229.41 per game).
  • Top 8 in sacks with 47 (2.76 per game) and currently ranked 8th among DST.
  • Top 6 in interceptions with 18 (1.06 per game) and currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Top 2 in points against with 17.18 per game and currently ranked 1st among DST.
  • Top 2 in Total TDs with 8 (0.47 per game) and currently ranked 1st among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -85.25, Turnovers: +17 Sacks: +12, INTs: +10, TDs: +5, Points Allowed: -4.69,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 45, INT: 14, TDS: 7, PA/G: 18.3, YDS/G: 303.8
Next Up ❱ Ratings Comparison
Rating DeVonta Smith
21.40
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating A.J. Brown
23.18
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up ❱ Career Comparison
Career DeVonta Smith
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2021 PHI 16 103 64 916 14.3 5 0 0 0 0
2022 PHI 16 136 95 1210 12.7 7 0 0 0 0
2023 PHI 16 112 81 1066 13.2 7 0 0 0 0
2024 PHI 13 89 68 833 12.3 8 1 1 1 0
2025 PHI 16 124 83 1097 13.2 4 0 0 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 17 118 85 1111 13 7 0 0 1 0
Totals 89 617 431 5627 13.1 33 1 1 1 0
Career A.J. Brown
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2019 TEN 16 84 52 1051 20.2 8 3 60 20 1
2020 TEN 15 116 76 1158 15.2 12 0 0 0 0
2021 TEN 13 105 63 869 13.8 5 2 10 5 0
2022 PHI 16 146 88 1496 17.0 11 0 0 0 0
2023 PHI 16 158 106 1456 13.7 7 0 0 0 0
2024 PHI 13 97 67 1079 16.1 7 0 0 0 0
2025 PHI 16 131 86 1113 12.9 8 0 0 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 17 136 90 1270 14.1 8 0 0 0 0
Totals 114 881 560 8460 15.1 60 5 70 14 1
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  • Jalen Slawson PF • IND NBA

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  • Julio Rodriguez CF • SEA MLB

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  • Khalil Dinkins TE • SF

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  • Makai Lemon WR • PHI

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  • Saquon Barkley RB • PHI

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  • Wilyer Abreu RF • BOS

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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs STL 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs WAS 04:05 EDT EST
ATL vs TEX 01:35 EDT EST
BAL @HOU 02:10 EDT EST
BOS vs TB 01:35 EDT EST
CHC vs MIN 02:20 EDT EST
CHW @TOR 12:15 EDT EST
CIN @COL 03:10 EDT EST
CLE vs PIT 01:40 EDT EST
DET @LAA 04:07 EDT EST
KC vs SD 02:10 EDT EST
LAD @NYY 07:20 EDT EST
MIA @MIL 02:10 EDT EST
NYM @PHI 01:35 EDT EST
SEA vs SF 04:10 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled