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Patrick Mahomes or Joe Burrow

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes

QB • Kansas City Chiefs KC
Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow

QB • Cincinnati Bengals CIN
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mahomes over Burrow

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Learn More
Outlook Patrick Mahomes

Rapid Rehab Progress and OTA Return Position Patrick Mahomes as a High-Value Bounce-Back Target

Mahomes is recovering remarkably fast from a torn ACL suffered late last season. After undergoing surgery, he is already back on the field participating in Chiefs OTAs, showing rapid progress with individual drills and 7-on-7s. Head coach Andy Reid and the front office have expressed great optimism regarding his timeline, and he is firmly on track to start under center in Week 1.

Kansas City's offense remains highly potent, anchored by veteran tight end Travis Kelce and a dynamic, young receiving corps featuring Xavier Worthy and Rashee Rice. With Eric Bieniemy back in the mix, our models project Mahomes for 3,879 passing yards and 27 touchdowns. He remains the undisputed leader of this passing attack, offering an exceptionally stable floor.

Historically valued as an early-round selection, Mahomes' draft stock has fluctuated due to his injury. His ADP hovered around the double-digit rounds throughout May but has spiked to 64 as positive OTA reports emerge. In 1.0 PPR formats, this discounted price presents a premier value opportunity for fantasy managers looking to secure an elite quarterback.

Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Patrick Mahomes
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Burrow over Mahomes

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Learn More
Outlook Joe Burrow

Physique Transformation and Elite Weapons Fuel High-End Fantasy Expectations

Healthy and reportedly in the best shape of his life after transforming his physique, Burrow enters the year with immense optimism. He has declared this Cincinnati roster the most talented of his career, which features elite targets Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins anchoring the passing attack.

Fantasy managers are buying the hype, causing his ADP to skyrocket from the late-50s in May to a premium early-third-round price of 34 in early June. While this climbing cost reflects his high ceiling, our models view him as a fair-value elite starter rather than a clear bargain at this elevated draft capital.

Our projections slate him for 4,183 passing yards and 34 touchdowns. If he maintains his health across a full schedule, Burrow offers a high-floor weekly starter with the elite offensive environment to push for the top tier of fantasy quarterbacks.

Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Joe Burrow
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Next Up ❱ Performance Comparison
Performance Patrick Mahomes
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YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Joe Burrow
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YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up ❱ Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Patrick Mahomes

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Joe Burrow

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up ❱ Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Patrick Mahomes
OWN
69%
+0.8 compared to last week
START
33%
-0.71 compared to last week
OWN/START Joe Burrow
OWN
98%
-0.09 compared to last week
START
84%
+1.46 compared to last week
Next Up ❱ Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Patrick Mahomes
15th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Joe Burrow
4th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up ❱ Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Patrick Mahomes

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 15th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 10th with 301.76 total points (20.12 avg).
  • Currently 132.48 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 20.1.

    • QB Stats

  • Top 10 in pass yards with 3939 (262.60 per game) and is currently ranked 8th among QB.
  • Top 20 in pass tds with 22 (1.47 per game) and is currently ranked 17th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass completions with 344 (22.93 per game) and is currently ranked 11th.
  • Top 15 in interceptions with 12 (0.80 per game) and is currently ranked 11th.

    • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 2 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +11, TDs: -4, INTs: +1
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.

    • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3879, PASS TDS: 27, RUSH YDS: 293, RUSH TDS: 2
Breakdown Joe Burrow

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 4th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 28th with 134.46 total points (16.81 avg).
  • Currently 299.78 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 16.8.

    • QB Stats

  • Top 25 in pass yards with 1809 (226.13 per game) and is currently ranked 31st among QB.
  • Top 25 in pass tds with 17 (2.13 per game) and is currently ranked 24th among QB.

    • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 8 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: -2832, TDs: -25, INTs: -3
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Like guys who average a lot of tds per game? Then you'll love him.

    • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 4183, PASS TDS: 34, RUSH YDS: 149, RUSH TDS: 2
Next Up ❱ Health Check
Injury Patrick Mahomes

No Injury Reported

Injury Joe Burrow

No Injury Reported

Next Up ❱ Matchup Comparison
Matchups Patrick Mahomes

Week 1
Kansas City Chiefs VS Denver Broncos

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
18.47271.2619127623.15
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 4th with 160.00 total points (8.42 avg).
  • Currently 67 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 8.4.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 2 in total yards against with 303.18 per game and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 2 in rush defense with 1548 (91.06 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 6 in pass defense with 3606 (212.12 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Top 2 in sacks with 68 (4.00 per game) and currently ranked 1st among DST.
  • Top 4 in points against with 18.29 per game and currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Currently ranked 17th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -75.68, Turnovers: -6 Sacks: +15, INTs: -3, TDs: -3, Points Allowed: +0.47,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 31, INT: 13, TDS: 3, PA/G: 19.4, YDS/G: 295.6
Matchups Joe Burrow

Week 1
Cincinnati Bengals VS Tampa Bay Bucs

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
24.18374.0623133723.94
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 17th with 98.00 total points (5.76 avg).
  • Currently 129 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.8.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in turnovers with 23 (1.35 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Top 6 in rush defense with 1754 (103.18 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Ranked 28th in pass defense with 4605 (270.88 per game).
  • Top 20 in points against with 24.18 per game and currently ranked 20th among DST.
  • Top 14 in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) and currently ranked 13th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +60.95, Turnovers: +4 Sacks: -12, INTs: +6, TDs: EVEN, Points Allowed: +3.18,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 25.7, YDS/G: 358.3
Next Up ❱ Ratings Comparison
Rating Patrick Mahomes
17.17
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Joe Burrow
17.41
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up ❱ Career Comparison
Career Patrick Mahomes
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2018 KC 16 5097 66% 50 12 113.8 272 2 4
2019 KC 14 4031 66% 26 5 105.3 218 2 4
2020 KC 15 4740 66% 38 6 108.2 308 2 2
2021 KC 16 4839 66% 37 13 98.5 381 2 4
2022 KC 16 5250 67% 41 12 105.2 358 4 0
2023 KC 16 4184 67% 27 14 92.6 389 0 3
2024 KC 16 3928 68% 26 11 93.5 307 2 0
2025 KC 15 3939 63% 22 12 88.6 452 5 0
3-YEAR AVG 18 4978 68% 35 13 97.9 404 2 1
Totals 138 39109 66% 286 90 100.6 2976 22 20
Career Joe Burrow
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2020 CIN 10 2688 65% 13 5 89.8 142 3 4
2021 CIN 16 4611 70% 34 14 108.3 118 2 2
2022 CIN 16 4527 69% 36 12 101.6 259 5 3
2023 CIN 10 2309 67% 15 6 91.0 88 0 1
2024 CIN 16 4918 71% 43 9 108.5 201 2 5
2025 CIN 8 1809 67% 17 5 100.7 41 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 12 3012 69% 25 7 101.9 110 1 2
Totals 81 21583 68% 162 53 100.8 919 13 15
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Waiver Help

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Player News

  • Brandon Nimmo RF • TEX MLB

    Rangers to Give Away Brandon Nimmo Bull Rider Bobbleheads Sunday at Globe Life Field

    @JeffWilsonTXR

  • Brayan Rocchio SS • CLE MLB

    Brayan Rocchio Hits a Line Drive Off the Foul Pole

    @MLB

  • Mark Stone RW • VGK NHL

    Mark Stone Delivers Two Big Hits on Seth Jarvis in Offensive Zone

    @JesseGranger_

  • Sean Burke SP • CHW MLB

    Sean Burke Records 7 Strikeouts in White Sox Action

    @whitesox

  • Lazaro Montes RF • SEA MLB

    Mariners Prospect Lazaro Montes Homers Four Times in Four Games, Nears Texas League Lead

    @SeaTimesSports

  • Aaron Boone HC • NYY MLB

    Aaron Boone Announces Cam Schlittler to Pitch Tomorrow, Will Warren to Start Monday

    @snyyankees

  • Fernando Mendoza QB • LV

    Fernando Mendoza Rings in Stanley Cup Final Game 3 with Raiders O-Line

    @samwarren83

  • Courtland Sutton WR • DEN

    Courtland Sutton: Winning Matters More Than Targets if Jaylen Waddle Joins Broncos

    @AroundTheNFL

  • Daron Payne DT • WAS

    Commanders Players Pose with Barack Obama at Virginia Golf Club

    @NickiJhabvala

  • Russell Wilson QB •

    Russell Wilson’s Hall of Fame Chances: Do His Last Four Seasons Hurt His Case?

    @SandoNFL

  • Casey Hayward CB •

    Richard Sherman Tops NFL Cornerback Yards Allowed per Coverage Snap Since 2019

    @LombardiHimself

  • Daron Payne DT • WAS

    Commanders Players Golf With Barack Obama in Offseason Meetup

    @NickiJhabvala

  • Brandon Nimmo RF • TEX

    Rangers to Give Away Brandon Nimmo Bull Rider Bobbleheads Sunday at Globe Life Field

    @JeffWilsonTXR

  • Brayan Rocchio SS • CLE

    Brayan Rocchio Hits a Line Drive Off the Foul Pole

    @MLB

  • Sean Burke SP • CHW

    Sean Burke Records 7 Strikeouts in White Sox Action

    @whitesox

  • Lazaro Montes RF • SEA

    Mariners Prospect Lazaro Montes Homers Four Times in Four Games, Nears Texas League Lead

    @SeaTimesSports

  • Aaron Boone HC • NYY

    Aaron Boone Announces Cam Schlittler to Pitch Tomorrow, Will Warren to Start Monday

    @snyyankees

  • Joel Kuhnel RP •

    Brewers Acquire RHP Joel Kuhnel From A’s; Quinn Priester Moved to 60-Day IL

    @AdamMcCalvy

  • Cade Cunningham PG • DET

    Cameron Boozer Draws NBA Buzz as a 6'10", 250-Pound Cade Cunningham Type

    @DLocke09

  • Jordan Walker PG •

    Jordan Walker Ties Career High with 16 Home Runs on June 6

    @hochman

  • Victor Wembanyama PF • SA

    Wembanyama Shows Signs of Breaking Out After Spurs’ Game 2 Loss

    @JMcDonald_SAEN

  • Mitchell Robinson C • NY

    NBA rescinds Mitchell Robinson’s technical foul from last night

    @FredKatz

  • Mitchell Robinson C • NY

    NBA Rescinds Mitchell Robinson’s Tech After Shoving Match with Wembanyama

    @ChrisBHaynes

  • Jose Alvarado PG • NY

    Jose Alvarado, Julian Champagnie bring HS rivalry, similar career paths to MSG’s grand NBA Finals stage

    New York Post

  • Mark Stone RW • VGK

    Mark Stone Delivers Two Big Hits on Seth Jarvis in Offensive Zone

    @JesseGranger_

  • Brayden McNabb D • VGK

    Brayden McNabb Returns to Golden Knights Lineup Just 48 Hours After Taking 87 MPH Slapshot to the Face

    @GoldenKnights

  • Andrei Svechnikov RW • CAR

    Hurricanes Return to Usual Forward Lines for Game 3 Warmups in Vegas

    @WaltRuff

  • Brayden McNabb D • VGK

    Brayden McNabb Skates in Golden Knights Warmup Wearing Full Cage

    @SaraCivian

  • Brayden McNabb D • VGK

    Brayden McNabb Skates in Warmups Wearing a Cage

    @irfgaffar

  • Brayden McNabb D • VGK

    Brayden McNabb Returns to Golden Knights Lineup After Taking 87 MPH Shot to the Face

    @reporterchris

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs WAS 04:10 EDT EST
ATH @HOU 04:10 EDT EST
ATL vs PIT 04:10 EDT EST
BAL @TOR 03:07 EDT EST
BOS @NYY 07:35 EDT EST
CHC vs SF 02:20 EDT EST
CHW @PHI 04:05 EDT EST
CIN @STL 02:15 EDT EST
CLE @TEX 07:35 EDT EST
COL vs MIL 09:10 EDT EST
DET vs SEA 01:10 EDT EST
KC @MIN 02:10 EDT EST
LAA @LAD 10:10 EDT EST
MIA vs TB 04:10 EDT EST
NYM @SD 10:10 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
CAR @VGK 8:00 PM EST