Outlook Josh Jacobs
Plummeting Draft Stock and Commissioner's Exempt List Threaten RB1 Value
Josh Jacobs enters the 2026 campaign facing significant uncertainty after being placed on the NFL's Commissioner Exempt List due to off-field legal issues. While he remains the listed lead running back on Green Bay's depth chart, his indefinite absence leaves backfield duties to MarShawn Lloyd and newly acquired Kaleb Johnson.
Jacobs had previously maintained a rock-solid third-round ADP near pick 32 in 1.0 PPR formats throughout the summer. However, following his placement on paid leave, his draft cost has plummeted to pick 74. Fantasy managers are rapidly fading him, with start rates dropping under 40%.
Our projections previously anticipated 800 rushing yards and six touchdowns on 200 carries, but an extended absence makes him a falling knife rather than a draft-day bargain. Until his legal situation clears, drafting Jacobs requires a heavy discount given the lack of availability.
Updated 13 hrs ago
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Outlook Saquon Barkley
Premier RB1 Anchor Primed for Another Massive Workload in Philadelphia
Operating as Philadelphia's clear lead back ahead of Tank Bigsby and Will Shipley, Barkley remains the focal point of the Eagles' ground attack. After quickly moving past a minor mid-August ankle scare, he enters the season completely healthy and well-positioned to command high-value touches in coordinator Sean Mannion's revamped offense.
Volume will not be an issue after logging 290 carries last season. Our models project another heavy workload in 2026, forecasting 298 rushes for 1,250 yards and eight touchdowns, complemented by 39 receptions for 300 yards through the air.
Barkley's draft market momentum has remained exceptionally stable, consistently hovering around an early second-round ADP of 14 in full-PPR formats. Given his secure three-down role and our projection of 266 total fantasy points, he represents a rock-solid RB1 foundation rather than a risky reach.
Updated 13 hrs ago
