Dominate Fantasy - Sync your team
NFL

Josh Allen or Baker Mayfield

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Josh Allen

Josh Allen

QBBuffalo Bills BUF
Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield

QBTampa Bay Bucs TB
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Allen over Mayfield

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Josh Allen

Dual-Threat Dominance Continues with Refreshed Pass-Catching Arsenal in Buffalo

Josh Allen enters his ninth NFL season fully healthy after fully recovering from offseason foot surgery. Now 30 years old, the dual-threat superstar is primed to lead Joe Brady's offense with no physical limitations. Coming off a year where he totaled 39 touchdowns, his rushing upside remains arguably the highest of any quarterback in fantasy football.

The Bills rebuilt their passing offense this offseason to better support their elite signal-caller. Allen has already shown immediate, lethal chemistry in practices with newly acquired top target DJ Moore. Combined with ascending tight end Dalton Kincaid and young receivers like Keon Coleman, this refreshed aerial attack preserves Allen's elite ceiling.

His draft market valuation has settled securely in the late second round, with his ADP holding steady around pick 24. Our projections peg him for 3,763 passing yards and 11 rushing scores, confirming that his high market price is a justifiable investment. Draft him with confidence as a top-tier fantasy anchor.


Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Josh Allen
Loading...
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mayfield over Allen

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Baker Mayfield

Stable Late-Round Value Despite Contract Clouds and a Revamped Tampa Bay Receiving Corps

Baker Mayfield enters the season as the clear starting quarterback for Tampa Bay, leading an offense transitioning after the departure of Mike Evans. He still commands a capable group featuring Chris Godwin Jr. and rookie Emeka Egbuka. He's coming off a 2025 campaign where he threw for 3,734 yards and 27 touchdowns despite battling nagging injuries.

The team wants Mayfield to protect himself better, but his offseason dedication is clear after putting on notable muscle. Though contract talks with the front office remain far apart, he remains committed to playing out his current deal, providing a highly motivated veteran presence.

His ADP is incredibly stable, hovering around the late-11th round at 136 after a brief, temporary spike in early June. At this draft cost, our projections view him as an outstanding late-round value for managers waiting on a quarterback. Our models expect a solid 264.8 fantasy points, making him a highly profitable backup or streaming option.


Updated 9 hrs ago

Latest News Baker Mayfield
Loading...
Performance Josh Allen
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Baker Mayfield
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Josh Allen

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Baker Mayfield

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Josh Allen
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
89%
No change since last week.
OWN/START Baker Mayfield
OWN
87%
+1.25 compared to last week
START
40%
+2.5 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Josh Allen
1st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Baker Mayfield
20th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Josh Allen

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 1st among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 3rd with 424.88 total points (21.24 avg).
  • Currently 9.36 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 21.2.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 10 in pass yards with 3921 (217.83 per game) and is currently ranked 10th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass tds with 25 (1.39 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among QB.
  • Top 15 in pass completions with 343 (19.06 per game) and is currently ranked 12th.
  • Top 15 in interceptions with 12 (0.67 per game) and is currently ranked 11th.
  • Top 3 in rushing yards with 599 (33.28 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among QB.
  • Top 3 in rushing TDs with 14 (0.78 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among QB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 3 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +387, TDs: -1, INTs: +6
  • He has recorded some deep balls down the field. If your league gives out bonuses for long TD passes then he has some added value.
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3763, PASS TDS: 27, RUSH YDS: 554, RUSH TDS: 11
Breakdown Baker Mayfield

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 21st among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 13th with 275.46 total points (15.30 avg).
  • Currently 158.78 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 15.3.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 15 in pass yards with 3734 (207.44 per game) and is currently ranked 11th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass tds with 27 (1.50 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among QB.
  • Top 10 in pass completions with 352 (19.56 per game) and is currently ranked 7th.
  • Top 6 in interceptions with 13 (0.72 per game) and is currently ranked 6th.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: -682, TDs: -12, INTs: -2
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3777, PASS TDS: 26, RUSH YDS: 327, RUSH TDS: 2
Next Up Health Check
Injury Josh Allen

No Injury Reported

Injury Baker Mayfield

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Josh Allen

Week 1
Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
17.32288.1634215664.48
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 2nd with 196.00 total points (10.32 avg).
  • Currently 31 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 10.3.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 6 in total yards against with 322.06 per game and is currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Top 4 in turnovers with 29 (1.71 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Top 4 in rush defense with 1736 (102.12 per game) and is currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Top 10 in pass defense with 3739 (219.94 per game) and is currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Top 8 in sacks with 47 (2.76 per game) and currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 4 in interceptions with 19 (1.12 per game) and currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Top 2 in points against with 17.35 per game and currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 8 in Total TDs with 4 (0.24 per game) and currently ranked 7th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +5.41, Turnovers: +1 Sacks: -7, INTs: -2, TDs: -2, Points Allowed: -3.73,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 46, INT: 14, TDS: 3, PA/G: 18.4, YDS/G: 294.6
Matchups Baker Mayfield

Week 1
Tampa Bay Bucs @ Cincinnati Bengals

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
28.94416.2420133523.88
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 26th with 77.00 total points (4.53 avg).
  • Currently 150 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.5 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 31st in rush defense with 2607 (153.35 per game).
  • Ranked 27th in pass defense with 4469 (262.88 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 28.94 per game and currently ranked 30th among DST.
  • Top 12 in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) and currently ranked 12th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +45.36, Turnovers: -5 Sacks: +3, INTs: -4, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: +3.53,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 12, TDS: 3, PA/G: 30.8, YDS/G: 404.7
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Josh Allen
20.08
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Baker Mayfield
16.99
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Josh Allen
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2018 BUF 12 2074 53% 10 12 67.9 631 8 5
2019 BUF 16 3089 59% 20 9 85.3 510 9 8
2020 BUF 16 4868 70% 39 10 108.0 475 9 6
2021 BUF 16 4407 63% 36 15 92.3 763 6 3
2022 BUF 16 4316 63% 35 14 96.3 776 7 5
2023 BUF 16 4306 67% 29 18 92.2 524 15 4
2024 BUF 16 3731 64% 28 6 101.4 531 12 2
2025 BUF 16 3921 69% 25 12 99.8 599 14 3
3-YEAR AVG 18 4328 67% 30 12 98.2 635 15 3
Totals 140 33403 64% 240 102 94.4 5296 88 39
Career Baker Mayfield
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2018 CLE 14 3725 64% 27 14 93.7 131 0 6
2019 CLE 16 3827 59% 22 21 78.8 141 3 3
2020 CLE 16 3826 63% 29 8 97.2 168 1 4
2021 CLE 14 3010 61% 17 13 83.1 134 1 3
2022 CAR 12 2163 60% 10 8 79.0 89 1 2
2023 TB 16 4044 64% 28 10 94.6 163 1 3
2024 TB 16 4500 71% 41 16 106.8 378 3 2
2025 TB 16 3734 63% 27 13 88.3 401 1 3
3-YEAR AVG 18 4383 66% 35 14 97.6 332 2 3
Totals 129 29904 63% 210 106 91.4 1670 11 27
The Premium Start tool.
  • Optimal Lineups
  • Predictive Analytics Waiver Advice
  • Trade Suggestions & More

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs LAA 09:40 EDT EST
ATH vs PIT 09:40 EDT EST
ATL vs SF 07:15 EDT EST
BAL @SEA 09:40 EDT EST
BOS vs TOR 06:45 EDT EST
CHC vs COL 08:05 EDT EST
CHW @NYY 07:05 EDT EST
CIN vs NYM 07:10 EDT EST
CLE @MIL 07:40 EDT EST
DET @HOU 08:10 EDT EST
KC @WAS 06:45 EDT EST
LAD vs TB 10:10 EDT EST
MIA @PHI 06:40 EDT EST
MIN @TEX 08:05 EDT EST
SD @STL 07:45 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled