NBA

Ace Bailey or Franz Wagner

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Ace Bailey

Ace Bailey

SF • Utah Jazz UTA
Franz Wagner

Franz Wagner

SF • Orlando Magic ORL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Bailey over Wagner

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Ace Bailey

Ace Bailey Season Outlook: Second-Year Breakout Potential in Utah

Ace Bailey enters his second NBA campaign pegged as a prime breakout candidate for Utah. At just 20 years old, Bailey flashed dynamic two-way ability during his rookie season, averaging 13.8 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 1.9 three-pointers across 27.2 minutes in 72 games. Fantasy managers have treated him as an intriguing target around pick 98.

Rotational clarity remains the key question. Bailey sits behind veteran forward Lauri Markkanen on Utah's depth chart while sharing wing duties with Brice Sensabaugh. Bailey's dual-forward eligibility provides rotational flexibility, but securing consistent 28-plus minutes will be critical to sustaining standard-league fantasy value.

Currently rostered in roughly 58% of fantasy leagues, Bailey offers appealing category upside if he can elevate his 44.0% shooting from the floor. He profiles as an attractive upside flier capable of outperforming his draft cost if his developmental curve translates to expanded usage.


Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Ace Bailey
Loading...
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Wagner over Bailey

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Franz Wagner

Franz Wagner 2026-27 Fantasy Outlook: Core Wing Primed for Heavy Usage

Entering his fifth NBA season at age 25, Franz Wagner is firmly entrenched as Orlando's starting small forward and co-offensive engine alongside Paolo Banchero. Boasting 100% roster ownership, Wagner's secure rotation slot guarantees major minutes and dependable two-way responsibility on the wing.

Wagner recorded 19.9 points, 5.3 rebounds, and 3.4 assists per contest across 40 games in 2025, converting 48% of his field goals. While injuries shortened his total output last year, his previous 2024 marks of 24.1 points and 1.3 steals per game underline his robust category ceiling.

Currently carrying an ADP around 53.5, Wagner profiles as an appealing mid-round wing target. With Desmond Bane and Banchero drawing defensive focus, Wagner should enjoy quality looks and steady playmaking reps, making him a reliable fantasy producer across standard formats.


Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Franz Wagner
Loading...
Performance Ace Bailey
Fantasy Chart Loading...

PPG APG RPG MPG STLS BLKS GP
0
Season stats based on the past 7 days

PPG APG RPG MPG STLS BLKS GP
0
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Franz Wagner
Fantasy Chart Loading...

PPG APG RPG MPG STLS BLKS GP
0
Season stats based on the past 7 days

PPG APG RPG MPG STLS BLKS GP
0
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up ❱ Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Ace Bailey
OWN
60%
-0.82 compared to last week
START
33%
-6.15 compared to last week
OWN/START Franz Wagner
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
100%
No change since last week.
Next Up ❱ Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Ace Bailey
40th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Franz Wagner
17th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up ❱ Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Ace Bailey

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 40th among SF's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 24th with 1666 total points (23.14 avg).
  • He is currently 1791 points behind the leader: Scottie Barnes
  • He is doing better than most people thought he would.
  • His average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 23.1.
  • Performance Stats

  • Assists per game numbers are 0 apg this month.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 72 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: PPG: +13.79, APG: +1.82, RPG: +4.18, MPG: +27.15 STLS: +0.83 BLKS: +0.68
Breakdown Franz Wagner

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 17th among SF's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 41st with 1299 total points (32.48 avg).
  • He is currently 2158 points behind the leader: Scottie Barnes
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • His average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 32.5.
  • Performance Stats

  • Assists per game numbers are 0 apg this month.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 48 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: PPG: +1.82, APG: -0.18, RPG: +0.94, MPG: +4.19 STLS: +0.16 BLKS: +0.03
Next Up ❱ Health Check
Injury Ace Bailey

No Injury Reported

Injury Franz Wagner

No Injury Reported

Next Up ❱ Matchup Comparison
Matchups Ace Bailey
DateOpponentResult
No games scheduled this week
PPG APG RPG MPG STLS BLKS GP
0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Franz Wagner
DateOpponentResult
No games scheduled this week
PPG APG RPG MPG STLS BLKS GP
0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up ❱ Ratings Comparison
Rating Ace Bailey
16.16
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Franz Wagner
22.59
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up ❱ Career Comparison
Career Ace Bailey
YEAR TEAM GP M FG% 3P% FT% PPG AST REB BLK STL TO
25-26 UTA 72 27.2 .443 .344 .750 13.8 1.8 4.2 0.7 0.8 1.5
3-YEAR AVG 36 27.2 .443 .344 .750 13.8 1.8 4.2 0.7 0.8 1.5
Totals 72 27.2 .443 .344 .750 13.8 1.8 4.2 0.7 0.8 1.5
Career Franz Wagner
YEAR TEAM GP M FG% 3P% FT% PPG AST REB BLK STL TO
21-22 ORL 82 30.2 .463 .352 .864 14.8 2.9 4.4 0.4 0.9 1.5
22-23 ORL 78 32.0 .480 .359 .841 18.4 3.5 4.1 0.2 0.9 2.1
23-24 ORL 77 32.2 .481 .286 .848 19.8 3.8 5.4 0.4 1.0 1.9
24-25 ORL 66 33.6 .460 .282 .861 24.1 4.8 5.7 0.4 1.3 2.3
25-26 ORL 40 29.4 .477 .338 .831 19.9 3.4 5.3 0.3 1.1 1.7
3-YEAR AVG 62 32.2 .469 .291 .851 21.3 4.1 5.5 0.4 1.1 2.0
Totals 345 31.7 .470 .317 .851 19.1 3.6 4.9 0.4 1.0 1.9
The Premium Start tool.
  • Optimal Lineups
  • Predictive Analytics Waiver Advice
  • Trade Suggestions & More

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 4
ARI @NYG
ATL @NO
BAL vs TEN
BUF vs NE
CAR vs DET
CHI vs NYJ
CIN vs JAC
CLE vs PIT
DAL @HOU
DEN @SF
GB @TB
IND @WAS
KC @LV
LAC @SEA
LAR @PHI
MIA @MIN
Matchup Time Pitchers
ATL vs PHI 02:00 EDT EST
BOS @NYY 08:00 EDT EST
CHC @SD 10:00 EDT EST
CHW @HOU 05:00 EDT EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
NYR @BOS 8:00 PM EST
VGK vs CHI 10:30 PM EST