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Jaxson Dart or Joe Burrow

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Jaxson Dart

Jaxson Dart

QBNew York Giants NYG
Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow

QBCincinnati Bengals CIN
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Dart over Burrow

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Jaxson Dart

Dual-Threat Ceiling Makes Rising Sophomore a Premium Late-Round Draft Target

Entering his second NFL season as New York's starting quarterback, Jaxson Dart offers intriguing dual-threat ability for fantasy managers. In 14 games as a rookie, Dart flashed dynamic mobility by rushing for 487 yards and nine touchdowns, providing a resilient baseline regardless of passing game script.

With dynamic target Malik Nabers and rookie Malachi Fields stretching the field, our projections anticipate 3,350 passing yards, 19 passing touchdowns, and 510 rushing yards (301.0 fantasy points). While preseason pass-protection hiccups led to brief injury checks, his athletic ceiling keeps him fantasy-relevant.

Draft markets have cooled considerably, with Dart's ADP tumbling from the mid-80s in late July to around 143 by early September. This sliding draft cost presents a clear buying window, transforming Dart from a mid-round gamble into an exceptional late-round value with dual-threat upside.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Jaxson Dart
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Burrow over Dart

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Joe Burrow

Elite Passing Ceiling Presents Premium Draft-Day Value

Burrow enters the campaign commanding Cincinnati's explosive passing attack, surrounded by premier targets Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. The Bengals have emphasized increased play-action and under-center formations this summer to sustain drives, keep him clean in the pocket, and maximize downfield efficiency.

When healthy, Burrow has proven capable of elite fantasy production, highlighted by a 4,918-yard, 43-touchdown campaign in 2024. Our projections forecast another prolific season with 4,665 passing yards, 39 touchdowns, and 299.0 fantasy points, solidifying his status as a premier passer.

Burrow's draft cost has steadily cooled from a late fifth-round ADP of 57 in July down into the 80s. Given his near-universal 95% fantasy start rate and immense ceiling, our models view this softening market price as a premier value steal on draft day.


Updated 14 hrs ago

Latest News Joe Burrow
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Performance Jaxson Dart
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
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Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Joe Burrow
Fantasy Chart Loading...

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

YDS CMP% TD INT RUSH YDS TD
000000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
Redzone Touches Jaxson Dart

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Redzone Touches Joe Burrow

Redzone information only applies to RB, WR, TE.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Jaxson Dart
OWN
99%
-1.19 compared to last week
START
69%
+0.76 compared to last week
OWN/START Joe Burrow
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
95%
No change since last week.
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Jaxson Dart
14th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Joe Burrow
4th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Jaxson Dart

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 14th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 18th with 241.58 total points (13.42 avg).
  • Currently 192.66 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 13.4.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 25 in pass yards with 2272 (126.22 per game) and is currently ranked 27th among QB.
  • Top 25 in pass tds with 15 (0.83 per game) and is currently ranked 27th among QB.
  • Top 3 in rushing yards with 487 (27.06 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among QB.
  • Top 3 in rushing TDs with 9 (0.50 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among QB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 18 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: +2272, TDs: +15, INTs: +5
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 3350, PASS TDS: 18, RUSH YDS: 510, RUSH TDS: 6
Breakdown Joe Burrow

    Overview

  • A good quarterback can mean the world of difference in such a pass heavy league.
  • Experts rank this player at 4th among QB's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 28th with 134.46 total points (16.81 avg).
  • Currently 299.78 points behind the leader: Matthew Stafford
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • He has missed playing in at least 2 games but is not listed on the injury report as of today. Check out his player news to see if he has any nagging injuries.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 16.8.
  • QB Stats

  • Top 25 in pass yards with 1809 (226.13 per game) and is currently ranked 31st among QB.
  • Top 25 in pass tds with 17 (2.13 per game) and is currently ranked 24th among QB.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 8 less games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Yards: -2832, TDs: -25, INTs: -3
  • Known to throw for big gains. If your league has bonus points for long TDs then this guy would be great to have.
  • Like guys who average a lot of tds per game? Then you'll love him.
  • Season Outlook

  • PASS YDS: 4665, PASS TDS: 39, RUSH YDS: 180, RUSH TDS: 2
Next Up Health Check
Injury Jaxson Dart

No Injury Reported

Injury Joe Burrow

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Jaxson Dart

Week 1
New York Giants VS Dallas Cowboys

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
30.06412.121263523.39
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 31st with 55.00 total points (3.24 avg).
  • Currently 172 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 3.2 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Ranked 20th in rush defense with 2196 (129.18 per game).
  • Ranked 31st in pass defense with 4810 (282.94 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 30.06 per game and currently ranked 32nd among DST.
  • Currently ranked 20th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +76.54, Turnovers: -13 Sacks: -14, INTs: -11, TDs: -2, Points Allowed: +1.48,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 36, INT: 9, TDS: 3, PA/G: 31.9, YDS/G: 400.6
Matchups Joe Burrow

Week 1
Cincinnati Bengals VS Tampa Bay Bucs

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
24.18374.0623133723.45
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 17th with 98.00 total points (5.76 avg).
  • Currently 129 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.8.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in turnovers with 23 (1.35 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Top 6 in rush defense with 1754 (103.18 per game) and is currently ranked 5th among DST.
  • Ranked 28th in pass defense with 4605 (270.88 per game).
  • Top 12 in interceptions with 13 (0.76 per game) and currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Top 20 in points against with 24.18 per game and currently ranked 20th among DST.
  • Top 12 in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) and currently ranked 12th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +60.95, Turnovers: +4 Sacks: -12, INTs: +6, TDs: EVEN, Points Allowed: +3.18,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 33, INT: 12, TDS: 3, PA/G: 25.7, YDS/G: 358.3
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Jaxson Dart
17.21
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Joe Burrow
19.45
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Jaxson Dart
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2025 NYG 14 2272 64% 15 5 91.7 487 9 2
ON PACE 63 10224 64% 68 23 91.7 2192 41 9
3-YEAR AVG 7 1136 64% 8 3 91.7 244 5 1
Totals 14 2272 64% 15 5 91.7 487 9 2
Career Joe Burrow
PASS RUSH
YR TM GP YD CMP% TD INT RAT YD TD FUM
2020 CIN 10 2688 65% 13 5 89.8 142 3 4
2021 CIN 16 4611 70% 34 14 108.3 118 2 2
2022 CIN 16 4527 69% 36 12 101.6 259 5 3
2023 CIN 10 2309 67% 15 6 91.0 88 0 1
2024 CIN 16 4918 71% 43 9 108.5 201 2 5
2025 CIN 8 1809 67% 17 5 100.7 41 0 0
ON PACE 36 8141 67% 77 23 100.7 185 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 12 3012 69% 25 7 101.9 110 1 2
Totals 81 21583 68% 162 53 100.8 919 13 15
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs PHI 03:40 EDT EST
ATH @TEX 02:35 EDT EST
ATL @WAS 01:05 EDT EST
BAL @COL 03:10 EDT EST
BOS vs SEA 04:10 EDT EST
CHC vs MIL 07:40 EDT EST
CHW @HOU 08:10 EDT EST
CIN vs SD 12:40 EDT EST
CLE vs TOR 06:40 EDT EST
DET @MIN 07:40 EDT EST
KC vs MIA 07:40 EDT EST
LAA vs NYY 09:38 EDT EST
LAD vs STL 10:10 EDT EST
NYM @TB 06:40 EDT EST
PIT vs SF 06:40 EDT EST
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