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Travis Kelce or AJ Barner

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce

TEKansas City Chiefs KC
AJ Barner

AJ Barner

TESeattle Seahawks SEA
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Kelce over Barner

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Travis Kelce

Proven Veteran Remains a High-Floor Value in Drafts

Kelce enters his 14th NFL campaign anchoring Kansas City's tight end room ahead of Noah Gray and Jared Wiley. Even at this stage of his career, he remains Patrick Mahomes' most trusted safety valve over the middle, maintaining a pivotal role in an evolving Chiefs passing attack alongside Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.

Our season projections forecast another productive year, slotting him for 73 receptions on 107 targets for 765 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns (184.0 fantasy points). While explosive yardage totals may be tapering off, his route volume and elite red-zone awareness provide a dependable weekly floor.

Draft sentiment has softened notably in recent weeks, with his ADP tumbling from the 107 range down to around 144 to 148. That declining cost presents a tremendous value opportunity in 1.0 PPR leagues for managers seeking reliable tight end production without early-round capital.


Updated 18 hrs ago

Latest News Travis Kelce
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Barner over Kelce

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook AJ Barner

Promising Role in Seattle Offers Late-Round Value Despite Cooling Market

Barner enters his third NFL season positioned as Seattle's primary tight end atop the depth chart. Coming off a 54-reception, 537-yard, and six-touchdown campaign, the 24-year-old figures to see regular snaps in an offense planning to utilize two-tight-end sets frequently alongside Elijah Arroyo.

Our season projections forecast Barner for 52 catches, 510 receiving yards, and five touchdowns for 129.0 fantasy points. While Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Cooper Kupp, and Rashid Shaheed will command plenty of target volume, Barner's reliable hands and scoring ability give him a solid baseline.

Fantasy drafters have grown skeptical, causing Barner's ADP to plummet from around pick 170 in July to outside the top 245 in full-PPR leagues. That market slide presents an intriguing late-round buying opportunity where our projections view him as an inexpensive depth piece.


Updated 18 hrs ago

Latest News AJ Barner
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Performance Travis Kelce
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance AJ Barner
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
45413.5161
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
45413.5161
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Travis Kelce
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 DEN 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 IND 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 @MIA 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 @LV 🔓 🔓 🔓
5 BYE 🔓 🔓 🔓
6 LAC 🔓 🔓 🔓
7 @SEA 🔓 🔓 🔓
8 @DEN 🔓 🔓 🔓
9 NYJ 🔓 🔓 🔓
11 @ATL 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 ARI 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 @BUF 🔓 🔓 🔓
13 @LAR 🔓 🔓 🔓
14 @CIN 🔓 🔓 🔓
15 NE 🔓 🔓 🔓
16 SF 🔓 🔓 🔓
17 @LAC 🔓 🔓 🔓
18 LV 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches AJ Barner
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 NE 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 @ARI 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 @WAS 🔓 🔓 🔓
4 LAC 🔓 🔓 🔓
5 SF 🔓 🔓 🔓
6 @DEN 🔓 🔓 🔓
7 KC 🔓 🔓 🔓
9 CHI 🔓 🔓 🔓
10 ARI 🔓 🔓 🔓
11 @LV 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 BYE 🔓 🔓 🔓
12 @SF 🔓 🔓 🔓
13 DAL 🔓 🔓 🔓
14 NYG 🔓 🔓 🔓
15 @PHI 🔓 🔓 🔓
16 LAR 🔓 🔓 🔓
17 @CAR 🔓 🔓 🔓
18 @LAR 🔓 🔓 🔓
20 🔓 🔓 🔓
21 🔓 🔓 🔓
22 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Travis Kelce
OWN
96%
+2.01 compared to last week
START
53%
-3.47 compared to last week
OWN/START AJ Barner
OWN
16%
+1.07 compared to last week
START
 
5%
-1.49 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Travis Kelce
10th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus AJ Barner
24th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Travis Kelce

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 10th among TE's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 6th with 121.60 total points (6.76 avg).
  • Currently 76.2 points behind the leader: Trey McBride
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 6.8.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 10 in receptions and is currently ranked 7th among TE.
  • Top 6 in targets and is currently ranked 4th among TE.
  • Top 20 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 16th among TE.
  • Top 15 in red zone receptions and is currently ranked 11th among TE.
  • Top 6 in reception yards with 894 and 11.18 YPC and is currently ranked 4th among TE.
  • Top 20 in Rec TDs with 5 and is currently ranked 16th among TE.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: -17, Rec Yards: +71 Rec TDs: +2,
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 72, REC YDS: 760, REC TDS: 5
Breakdown AJ Barner

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 23rd among TE's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 14th with 110.00 total points (5.24 avg).
  • Currently 87.8 points behind the leader: Trey McBride
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 5.2.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 20 in receptions and is currently ranked 17th among TE.
  • Top 20 in targets and is currently ranked 20th among TE.
  • Top 15 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 11th among TE.
  • Top 10 in red zone receptions and is currently ranked 9th among TE.
  • Top 20 in reception yards with 537 and 9.94 YPC and is currently ranked 20th among TE.
  • Top 15 in Rec TDs with 6 and is currently ranked 11th among TE.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 5 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +35, Rec Yards: +393 Rec TDs: +4,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 52, REC YDS: 515, REC TDS: 5
Next Up Health Check
Injury Travis Kelce

No Injury Reported

Injury AJ Barner

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Travis Kelce

Week 1
Kansas City Chiefs VS Denver Broncos

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
18.47271.2619127624.97
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 4th with 160.00 total points (8.42 avg).
  • Currently 67 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 8.4.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 2 in total yards against with 303.18 per game and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 2 in rush defense with 1548 (91.06 per game) and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 6 in pass defense with 3606 (212.12 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among DST.
  • Top 2 in sacks with 68 (4.00 per game) and currently ranked 1st among DST.
  • Top 4 in points against with 18.29 per game and currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Currently ranked 18th in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -75.68, Turnovers: -6 Sacks: +15, INTs: -3, TDs: -3, Points Allowed: +0.47,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 60, INT: 14, TDS: 4, PA/G: 19.4, YDS/G: 295.6
Matchups AJ Barner

Week 1
Seattle Seahawks VS New England Patriots

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
17.86264.6727154863.51
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 3rd with 174.00 total points (8.29 avg).
  • Currently 53 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 8.3.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in total yards against with 326.94 per game and is currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Top 8 in rush defense with 1849 (108.76 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 10 in pass defense with 3709 (218.18 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Top 4 in points against with 18.82 per game and currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Top 2 in Total TDs with 5 (0.29 per game) and currently ranked 2nd among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -80.45, Turnovers: +15 Sacks: +19, INTs: +8, TDs: +4, Points Allowed: -7.14,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 36, INT: 13, TDS: 6, PA/G: 20, YDS/G: 313.7
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Travis Kelce
15.96
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating AJ Barner
11.31
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Travis Kelce
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2014 KC 16 87 67 862 12.9 5 0 0 0 0
2015 KC 16 103 72 875 12.2 5 0 0 0 0
2016 KC 16 117 85 1125 13.2 4 1 -5 -5 0
2017 KC 15 122 83 1038 12.5 8 2 7 3.5 0
2018 KC 16 150 103 1336 13.0 10 0 0 0 0
2019 KC 16 136 97 1229 12.7 5 1 4 4 1
2020 KC 15 145 105 1416 13.5 11 0 0 0 0
2021 KC 16 135 92 1125 12.2 9 2 3 1.5 1
2022 KC 16 152 110 1338 12.2 12 2 5 2.5 0
2023 KC 15 121 93 984 10.6 5 0 0 0 0
2024 KC 16 133 97 823 8.5 3 1 1 1 0
2025 KC 16 114 80 894 11.2 5 2 2 1 0
ON PACE 72 513 360 4023 11.2 23 9 9 1 0
3-YEAR AVG 19 141 105 1077 10.3 6 1 3 2 0
Totals 204 1636 1181 14111 11.9 92 12 22 1.8 2
Career AJ Barner
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2024 SEA 14 38 30 245 8.2 4 0 0 0 0
2025 SEA 16 72 54 537 9.9 6 10 14 1.4 1
ON PACE 72 324 243 2417 9.9 27 45 63 1.4 5
3-YEAR AVG 11 37 28 261 9.3 3 3 5 1.4 0
Totals 35 117 90 849 9.4 11 11 16 1.5 1
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs PHI 03:40 EDT EST
ATH @TEX 02:35 EDT EST
ATL @WAS 01:05 EDT EST
BAL @COL 03:10 EDT EST
BOS vs SEA 04:10 EDT EST
CHC vs MIL 07:40 EDT EST
CHW @HOU 08:10 EDT EST
CIN vs SD 12:40 EDT EST
CLE vs TOR 06:40 EDT EST
DET @MIN 07:40 EDT EST
KC vs MIA 07:40 EDT EST
LAA vs NYY 09:38 EDT EST
LAD vs STL 10:10 EDT EST
NYM @TB 06:40 EDT EST
PIT vs SF 06:40 EDT EST
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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