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Tetairoa McMillan or Justin Jefferson

Who Should I Start? - Week 1 • Start New
Tetairoa McMillan

Tetairoa McMillan

WRCarolina Panthers CAR
Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson

WRMinnesota Vikings MIN
OR
πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting McMillan over Jefferson

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Tetairoa McMillan

Sophomore Sensation Tetairoa McMillan Primed to Build on Rookie of the Year Campaign

Following an impressive Offensive Rookie of the Year campaign in which he posted 1,130 receiving yards and eight touchdowns, Tetairoa McMillan enters his second season as the undisputed top target on the outside for Bryce Young and this developing Carolina offense.

This offseason, McMillan focused on regaining power and building back muscle after dropping weight during his rookie year. Our projections expect him to remain highly productive and efficient, forecasting 76 receptions on 122 targets for 1,071 yards and six touchdowns as a locked-in starter.

In fantasy drafts, his ADP has stabilized around the mid-30s. This rising market confidence matches our expectations, making him a phenomenal value selection as a premium WR2. Fantasy managers can confidently draft him as a cornerstone of their receiving corps.


Updated 15 hrs ago

Latest News Tetairoa McMillan
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πŸ”“ EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Jefferson over McMillan

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Justin Jefferson

Elite Receiver Set to Reclaim Dominant Form in Revamped Minnesota Passing Game

Justin Jefferson remains the undisputed leader of the Minnesota passing attack, operating alongside Jordan Addison and tight end T.J. Hockenson. Following a quieter 2025 campaign where he caught 88 passes for 1,096 yards and two touchdowns, Jefferson is primed for a major bounce-back. He will catch passes from a restructured quarterback room featuring veteran Kyler Murray and a steadily improving J.J. McCarthy.

Our models project Jefferson to command a heavy workload of 139 targets, translating into 95 receptions, 1,250 yards, and six touchdowns. At just 26 years old, his masterclass route-running and elite release techniques ensure his weekly floor remains remarkably safe. We expect him to serve as a high-volume target hog who will anchor fantasy lineups.

His draft stock has shown interesting momentum lately, shifting from an early June high ADP of 6 down to a current ADP of 12. At this late first-round price tag, he represents an absolute value steal in 1.0 PPR formats. Managers should eagerly capitalize on this minor market discount before his ADP inevitably climbs back toward the top five.


Updated 15 hrs ago

Latest News Justin Jefferson
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Performance Tetairoa McMillan
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Justin Jefferson
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
00000
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Tetairoa McMillan
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 CHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 @ATL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 @CLE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 DET πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
5 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
6 @PHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
7 TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 @GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 DEN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
10 @NO πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 BAL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 @TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 @MIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 NO πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 CIN πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 @PIT πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 SEA πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
18 ATL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
19 πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Justin Jefferson
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
2 @CHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
3 @TB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
4 MIA πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
5 @NO πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
7 BYE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
8 IND πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
9 @DET πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
10 BUF πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
11 @GB πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 @SF πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
12 ATL πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
13 CAR πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
14 @NE πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
15 DET πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
16 WAS πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
17 @NYJ πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“
18 CHI πŸ”“ πŸ”“ πŸ”“

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Tetairoa McMillan
OWN
96%
+0.36 compared to last week
START
69%
+0.5 compared to last week
OWN/START Justin Jefferson
OWN
100%
No change since last week.
START
88%
+3.32 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Tetairoa McMillan
16th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Justin Jefferson
7th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Tetairoa McMillan

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 17th among WR's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 12th with 159.00 total points (8.37 avg).
  • Currently 150.3 points behind the leader: Puka Nacua
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 8.4.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 25 in receptions and is currently ranked 21st among WR.
  • Top 15 in targets and is currently ranked 12th among WR.
  • Top 20 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 19th among WR.
  • Top 20 in reception yards with 1049 and 14.57 YPC and is currently ranked 16th among WR.
  • Top 10 in Rec TDs with 8 and is currently ranked 10th among WR.
  • Rushing Stats

    Bonus Qualities

  • Played in 19 more games this year than last year.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +77, Rec Yards: +1130 Rec TDs: +8,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 76, REC YDS: 1071, REC TDS: 6
Breakdown Justin Jefferson

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 7th among WR's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 30th with 122.30 total points (6.79 avg).
  • Currently 187 points behind the leader: Puka Nacua
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 6.8.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 10 in receptions and is currently ranked 10th among WR.
  • Top 10 in targets and is currently ranked 7th among WR.
  • Top 10 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 10th among WR.
  • Top 15 in reception yards with 1096 and 12.45 YPC and is currently ranked 15th among WR.
  • Top 100 in Rec TDs with 2, though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 85th among WR.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 75 in rush yards with 7 (0.39 per game), though that isn't saying much, and is currently ranked 59th among WR.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: -24, Rec Yards: -575 Rec TDs: -9,
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 95, REC YDS: 1250, REC TDS: 6
Next Up Health Check
Injury Tetairoa McMillan

No Injury Reported

Injury Justin Jefferson

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Tetairoa McMillan

Week 1
Carolina Panthers VS Chicago Bears

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
24.32353.2133234023.94
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 13th with 119.00 total points (6.26 avg).
  • Currently 108 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 6.3.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 2 in turnovers with 33 (1.94 per game) and is currently ranked 1st among DST.
  • Ranked 30th in rush defense with 2473 (145.47 per game).
  • Ranked 20th in pass defense with 4238 (249.29 per game).
  • Top 2 in interceptions with 23 (1.35 per game) and currently ranked 1st among DST.
  • One of the worst in points against with 24.41 per game and currently ranked 23rd among DST.
  • Top 14 in Total TDs with 2 (0.12 per game) and currently ranked 13th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -15.91, Turnovers: +8 Sacks: +3, INTs: +8, TDs: EVEN, Points Allowed: +3.56,
  • Unfortunately two players have the same exact name and his rating may not be entirely accurate at this point. We are working on fixing situations like this!

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 13, TDS: 2, PA/G: 25.9, YDS/G: 384.4
Matchups Justin Jefferson

Week 1
Minnesota Vikings VS Green Bay Packers

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
21.72316.831693703.70
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 24th with 83.00 total points (4.61 avg).
  • Currently 144 points behind the leader: Seahawks DST
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.6 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 10 in total yards against with 335.47 per game and is currently ranked 10th among DST.
  • Ranked 18th in rush defense with 2094 (123.18 per game).
  • Top 8 in pass defense with 3609 (212.29 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 12 in points against with 21.18 per game and currently ranked 11th among DST.
  • Currently ranked 29th in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +35.93, Turnovers: -19 Sacks: -24, INTs: -12, TDs: -3, Points Allowed: +1.87,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 41, INT: 12, TDS: 2, PA/G: 22.5, YDS/G: 331.3
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Tetairoa McMillan
20.85
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Justin Jefferson
24.68
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Tetairoa McMillan
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2025 CAR 16 136 77 1130 14.7 8 0 0 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 9 65 36 525 14.6 4 0 0 0 0
Totals 19 136 77 1130 14.7 8 0 0 0 0
Career Justin Jefferson
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2020 MIN 16 125 88 1400 15.9 7 1 2 2 0
2021 MIN 16 167 108 1616 15.0 10 6 14 2.3 0
2022 MIN 16 184 128 1809 14.1 8 4 24 6 1
2023 MIN 10 100 68 1074 15.8 5 1 -12 -12 0
2024 MIN 16 153 103 1533 14.9 10 1 3 3 0
2025 MIN 16 147 88 1096 12.5 2 2 7 3.5 0
3-YEAR AVG 15 136 88 1254 14.2 6 1 -1 -0.5 0
Totals 97 893 595 8633 14.5 42 15 38 2.5 1
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Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @CIN 04:10 EDT EST
ATH vs COL 10:05 EDT EST
ATL @NYM 04:10 EDT EST
BAL vs SD 04:05 EDT EST
BOS vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST
CHC @SF 10:05 EDT EST
CHW vs LAD 04:10 EDT EST
CLE vs DET 04:10 EDT EST
HOU @KC 07:10 EDT EST
LAA vs TB 10:07 EDT EST
MIA @PIT 04:05 EDT EST
MIL vs PHI 07:10 EDT EST
MIN vs STL 02:10 EDT EST
NYY @TOR 03:07 EDT EST
SEA @WAS 04:05 EDT EST
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled