NFL
IND
WAS
o48.5
+3.5
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CLE
24
27
FINALFINAL
TEN
BAL
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BUF
o48
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CHI
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CIN
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-2.5
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o48
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+2.5
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o39
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o39
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LV
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Luther Burden or Josh Downs

Who Should I Start? - Week 4 • Start New
Luther Burden

Luther Burden

WR • Chicago Bears CHI
Josh Downs

Josh Downs

WR • Indianapolis Colts IND
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Burden over Downs

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Luther Burden

Luther Burden vs NYJ — Target Surge Fuels Flex Appeal

Burden is rolling after commanding 11 targets and scoring his first touchdown of the season in Week 3, cementing his starting role on the outside alongside Rome Odunze. Chicago has increasingly schemed touches for him on early downs, though starting quarterback Caleb Williams missed practice with a hamstring injury, which warrants close monitoring heading into Sunday.

With his start rate climbing back over 53%, fantasy managers are regaining confidence in the second-year receiver. Our models project Burden for 4.4 receptions and 47 receiving yards (11.6 fantasy points), keeping him in the solid flex conversation even in a lower-scoring outdoor matchup against the Jets.


Updated 20 hrs ago

Latest News Luther Burden
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Downs over Burden

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Josh Downs

Josh Downs vs. Washington in London — Surging Target Volume Cementing Strong Lineup Value

Downs has seized an expanded role in the Colts' passing attack, commanding 20 targets over the last two weeks with perimeter receiver Alec Pierce recently landing on injured reserve. Operating as the primary slot weapon, Downs has displayed exceptional route running and earned consistent looks from Daniel Jones across all three levels.

Fantasy managers should feel confident slotting him into their lineups across all formats as his start rate has jumped over 50 percentage points in recent weeks. In a favorable London matchup with a healthy projected game total, our models project Downs for roughly 14.6 fantasy points on nearly 10 targets and 73 receiving yards.


Updated 20 hrs ago

Latest News Josh Downs
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Performance Luther Burden
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
7618.7251
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
10939.3251
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Josh Downs
Fantasy Chart Loading...

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
57715.4240
Season stats based on the past 7 days

REC YDS AVG LONG TD
1214912.4240
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up ❱ Redzone Touches
Redzone Touches Luther Burden
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 @CAR 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 MIN 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 PHI 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Redzone Touches Josh Downs
REDZONE
WK OPP ATT TAR REC
1 BAL 🔓 🔓 🔓
2 @KC 🔓 🔓 🔓
3 HOU 🔓 🔓 🔓

Redzone data is for premium members only.

Next Up ❱ Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Luther Burden
OWN
99%
+0.11 compared to last week
START
54%
+13.8 compared to last week
OWN/START Josh Downs
OWN
98%
+3.77 compared to last week
START
63%
+24.44 compared to last week
Next Up ❱ Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Luther Burden
24th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Josh Downs
18th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up ❱ Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Luther Burden

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 24th among WR's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 31st with 20.50 total points (6.83 avg).
  • Currently 56.56 points behind the leader: Jaxon Smith-Njigba
  • He is putting up close to the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.2 PPG.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 20 in receptions and is currently ranked 16th among WR.
  • Top 20 in targets and is currently ranked 17th among WR.
  • Top 6 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 4th among WR.
  • Top 15 in red zone receptions and is currently ranked 13th among WR.
  • Top 35 in reception yards with 156 and 10.40 YPC and is currently ranked 29th among WR.
  • Top 50 in Rec TDs with 1 and is currently ranked 40th among WR.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 10 in rush attempts with 2 (0.67 per game) and is currently ranked 9th among WR.
  • Top 15 in rush yards with 9 (3.00 per game) and is currently ranked 14th among WR.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +10, Rec Yards: +53 Rec TDs: EVEN,
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 78, REC YDS: 965, REC TDS: 6
Breakdown Josh Downs

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 18th among WR's. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 35th with 18.60 total points (6.20 avg).
  • Currently 58.46 points behind the leader: Jaxon Smith-Njigba
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • Average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.3 PPG.
  • Receiving Stats

  • Top 20 in receptions and is currently ranked 20th among WR.
  • Top 15 in targets and is currently ranked 14th among WR.
  • Top 10 in red zone targets and is currently ranked 9th among WR.
  • Top 15 in red zone receptions and is currently ranked 15th among WR.
  • Top 20 in reception yards with 186 and 13.29 YPC and is currently ranked 20th among WR.
  • Rushing Stats

  • Top 35 in rush yards with 0 (0.00 per game) and is currently ranked 26th among WR.
  • Top 6 in rush tds with 0 (0.00 per game) and is currently ranked 6th among WR.
  • Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Receptions: +4, Rec Yards: +89 Rec TDs: EVEN,
  • You do realize that this guy has no receiving touchdowns right?
  • Season Outlook

  • REC: 70, REC YDS: 750, REC TDS: 4
Next Up ❱ Health Check
Injury Luther Burden

No Injury Reported

Injury Josh Downs

No Injury Reported

Next Up ❱ Matchup Comparison
Matchups Luther Burden

Week 4
Chicago Bears VS New York Jets

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
20.33271.6720802.78
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 15th with 16.00 total points (5.33 avg).
  • Currently 24 points behind the leader: Vikings DST
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1.8 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 2 in total yards against with 271.67 per game and is currently ranked 2nd among DST.
  • Top 8 in rush defense with 262 (87.33 per game) and is currently ranked 7th among DST.
  • Top 4 in pass defense with 553 (184.33 per game) and is currently ranked 4th among DST.
  • Top 10 in sacks with 8 (2.67 per game) and currently ranked 9th among DST.
  • Top 12 in points against with 20.33 per game and currently ranked 12th among DST.
  • Top 12 in Total TDs with 0 (0.00 per game) and currently ranked 12th among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: -80.33, Turnovers: +2 Sacks: +2, INTs: EVEN, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: -10.67,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 29, INT: 11, TDS: 7, PA/G: 31.4, YDS/G: 377.8
Matchups Josh Downs

Week 4
Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders

PA/G YDS/G TO INT SACK TDs FSP
30.67373.6732513.10
Compare to same point last season

Overview

  • Experts don"t even rank him among DST's. Either he is on a bye week or is just plain bad. Based on his stats from the past 30 days, he is currently ranked 23rd with 12.00 total points (4.00 avg).
  • Currently 28 points behind the leader: Vikings DST
  • Average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.5 PPG.

Defensive Stats

  • Top 4 in rush defense with 246 (82.00 per game) and is currently ranked 3rd among DST.
  • Ranked 31st in pass defense with 875 (291.67 per game).
  • One of the worst in points against with 30.67 per game and currently ranked 31st among DST.
  • Top 2 in Total TDs with 1 (0.33 per game) and currently ranked 1st among DST.

Bonus Qualities

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: Total Yards Against: +223.53, Turnovers: -4 Sacks: -10, INTs: -2, TDs: -1, Points Allowed: +4.53,

Season Outlook

  • SACK: 38, INT: 11, TDS: 5, PA/G: 28.2, YDS/G: 408
Next Up ❱ Ratings Comparison
Rating Luther Burden
19.57
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Josh Downs
15.54
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up ❱ Career Comparison
Career Luther Burden
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2025 CHI 16 72 53 740 14.0 2 8 48 6 0
2026 CHI 3 23 15 156 10.4 1 2 9 4.5 0
ON PACE 18 138 90 936 10.4 6 12 54 4.5 0
3-YEAR AVG 8 33 25 349 14 1 4 26 7.4 0
Totals 21 102 71 920 13.0 3 11 57 5.2 0
Career Josh Downs
RECEIVING RUSH
YEAR TEAM GP TGTS REC YD AVG TD ATT YD AVG TD
2023 IND 16 98 68 771 11.3 2 0 0 0 0
2024 IND 14 107 72 803 11.2 5 1 12 12 0
2025 IND 16 93 60 576 9.6 4 2 -2 -1 0
2026 IND 3 24 14 186 13.3 0 0 0 0 0
ON PACE 18 144 84 1116 13.3 0 0 0 0 0
3-YEAR AVG 16 99 67 717 10.8 4 1 3 3.3 0
Totals 51 322 214 2336 10.9 11 3 10 3.3 0
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